0x0591…cc74

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x0591d7e0046a269302f55afa8da5d0ecb5bdcc74
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

-8.9pp

ROI

+15%

Win rate

14% @ 22.6¢

Brier

0.091

Resolved

554

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	39% (12/31)	-22%	31
Politics	58% (7/12)	+76%	12
Sports	33% (2/6)	+25%	6
Science	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Geopolitics	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Crypto	100% (1/1)	+12%	1

Other31 bets
Hit rate
39% (12/31)
ROI
-22%
Politics12 bets
Hit rate
58% (7/12)
ROI
+76%
Sports6 bets
Hit rate
33% (2/6)
ROI
+25%
Science2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+12%

Track record

41% hit · 22/54

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$420	43.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 24?	Yes	$2	0.7¢	Lost
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?	Yes	$72	76.0¢	Lost
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	$12	8.8¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$27	11.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 7?	Yes	$15	1.9¢	Lost
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?	No	$26	78.3¢	Won
GamerLegion to win 2-0?	No	$1	17.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 24?	Yes	$21	1.6¢	Lost
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	No	$19	53.1¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	$11	89.0¢	Won
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?	No	$18	83.5¢	Won
Carbajal vs. Cosano: Match O/U 21.5	Over	$439	77.3¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	$20	3.5¢	Lost
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$266	77.8¢	Won
LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs	RED Canids	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 62 and 63 million views on day 6?	Yes	$11	55.0¢	Lost
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	$104	1.5¢	Lost
Dota 2: Miposhka Team vs Nix Team - Game 1 Winner	Miposhka Team	$12	66.0¢	Lost
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	$31	17.3¢	Lost
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Emma Navarro vs Ann Li	Ann Li	$53	57.0¢	Lost
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Polina Kudermetova vs Xiyu Wang	Xiyu Wang	$9	60.1¢	Won
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	Yes	$119	87.0¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	$19	77.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	$25	81.5¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 57 and 58 million views on day 5?	Yes	$3	8.0¢	Lost
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$490	74.0¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 59 and 60 million views on day 5?	No	$29	80.0¢	Won
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	$375	82.0¢	Won
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Panna Udvardy vs Anhelina Kalinina	Panna Udvardy	$199	31.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$168	46.7¢	Won
Will MrBeast's video get between 66 and 67 million views on week 1?	Yes	$32	84.9¢	Won
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	$16	20.3¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	No	$12	68.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 28?	Yes	$15	3.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 24?	Yes	$37	3.6¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	No	$16	61.4¢	Won
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs eSuba (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage	eSuba	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Carbajal vs. Cosano: Match O/U 23.5	Over	$154	72.1¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 61 million views on day 5?	No	$19	89.0¢	Won
LoL: Anubis Gaming vs The Secret Club Esport (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage	The Secret Club Esport	$1	0.1¢	Lost
LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs Colossal Gaming (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage	Colossal Gaming	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	$95	56.2¢	Lost
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?	Yes	$90	64.0¢	Lost
Zug: Cezar Cretu vs Kimmer Coppejans	Cezar Cretu	$112	49.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 79°F or below on June 7?	Yes	$15	1.2¢	Lost
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner	Team Spirit	$29	41.0¢	Lost
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$19	5.2¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 27?	No	$4	2.8¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	$133	15.9¢	Won

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
Yes$420 @ 43.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 24?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.7¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?Lost
Yes$72 @ 76.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$12 @ 8.8¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$27 @ 11.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 7?Lost
Yes$15 @ 1.9¢
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?Won
No$26 @ 78.3¢
GamerLegion to win 2-0?Lost
No$1 @ 17.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 24?Lost
Yes$21 @ 1.6¢
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?Won
No$19 @ 53.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?Won
No$11 @ 89.0¢
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?Won
No$18 @ 83.5¢
Carbajal vs. Cosano: Match O/U 21.5Won
Over$439 @ 77.3¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Lost
Yes$20 @ 3.5¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$266 @ 77.8¢
LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids (BO5) - CBLOL PlayoffsLost
RED Canids$1 @ 0.1¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 62 and 63 million views on day 6?Lost
Yes$11 @ 55.0¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Lost
Yes$104 @ 1.5¢
Dota 2: Miposhka Team vs Nix Team - Game 1 WinnerLost
Miposhka Team$12 @ 66.0¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Lost
Yes$31 @ 17.3¢
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Emma Navarro vs Ann LiLost
Ann Li$53 @ 57.0¢
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Polina Kudermetova vs Xiyu WangWon
Xiyu Wang$9 @ 60.1¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?Lost
Yes$119 @ 87.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?Won
No$19 @ 77.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Won
No$25 @ 81.5¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 57 and 58 million views on day 5?Lost
Yes$3 @ 8.0¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Won
Yes$490 @ 74.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 59 and 60 million views on day 5?Won
No$29 @ 80.0¢
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Won
No$375 @ 82.0¢
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Panna Udvardy vs Anhelina KalininaLost
Panna Udvardy$199 @ 31.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$168 @ 46.7¢
Will MrBeast's video get between 66 and 67 million views on week 1?Won
Yes$32 @ 84.9¢
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 WinnerLost
Team Liquid$16 @ 20.3¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Won
No$12 @ 68.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 28?Lost
Yes$15 @ 3.5¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 24?Lost
Yes$37 @ 3.6¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?Won
No$16 @ 61.4¢
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs eSuba (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss StageLost
eSuba$1 @ 0.1¢
Carbajal vs. Cosano: Match O/U 23.5Won
Over$154 @ 72.1¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 61 million views on day 5?Won
No$19 @ 89.0¢
LoL: Anubis Gaming vs The Secret Club Esport (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss StageLost
The Secret Club Esport$1 @ 0.1¢
LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs Colossal Gaming (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss StageLost
Colossal Gaming$1 @ 0.1¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Lost
Yes$95 @ 56.2¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?Lost
Yes$90 @ 64.0¢
Zug: Cezar Cretu vs Kimmer CoppejansWon
Cezar Cretu$112 @ 49.8¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 79°F or below on June 7?Lost
Yes$15 @ 1.2¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerLost
Team Spirit$29 @ 41.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$19 @ 5.2¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 27?Lost
No$4 @ 2.8¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Won
Yes$133 @ 15.9¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Politics	Yes	$324	66.0¢

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics
Yes$324 @ 66.0¢