← Smart money
0x0484…e0ee
ProfitableSniperEdge
+19.4pp
ROI
+104%
Win rate
45% @ 25.1¢
Brier
0.232
Resolved
429
Avg size
$122
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 47% (23/49) | +63% | 49 |
| Sports | 56% (5/9) | +130% | 9 |
| Politics | 50% (2/4) | +1054% | 4 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/3) | -100% | 3 |
- Other49 bets
- Hit rate
- 47% (23/49)
- ROI
- +63%
- Sports9 bets
- Hit rate
- 56% (5/9)
- ROI
- +130%
- Politics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (2/4)
- ROI
- +1054%
- Geopolitics3 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/3)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
46% hit · 30/65- Yes$225 @ 15.0¢
- Suns vs. ThunderLostThunder$500 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$180 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$35 @ 10.0¢
- No$184 @ 16.3¢
- Yes$604 @ 75.4¢
- Kings$103 @ 41.0¢
- No$550 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$56 @ 3.1¢
- Rockets$509 @ 23.1¢
- Timberwolves$300 @ 30.0¢
- 76ers$100 @ 50.0¢
- No$77 @ 5.1¢
- Yes$76 @ 6.1¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 59.1¢
- Yes$60 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$44 @ 17.9¢
- No$667 @ 17.0¢
- Yes$541 @ 48.1¢
- No$124 @ 6.2¢
- Yes$4.4k @ 25.2¢
- Trail Blazers$346 @ 24.7¢
- Warriors$555 @ 17.0¢
- Yes$193 @ 41.3¢
- Yes$807 @ 25.2¢
- No$23 @ 23.0¢
- Yes$168 @ 53.1¢
- Bulls$87 @ 3.0¢
- Yes$426 @ 60.5¢
- Yes$252 @ 4.0¢
- Yes$3.2k @ 35.0¢
- Yes$5.7k @ 11.2¢
- No$2.0k @ 28.7¢
- Yes$215 @ 14.0¢
- Yes$448 @ 33.0¢
- Knicks vs. 76ersLost76ers$593 @ 36.3¢
- Lakers$101 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$255 @ 17.0¢
- Yes$306 @ 30.0¢
- Yes$957 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$370 @ 37.0¢
- No$4.2k @ 55.0¢
- Yes$3.8k @ 65.3¢
- Yes$111 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$2.4k @ 29.4¢
- Lakers$118 @ 47.0¢
- Rockets$145 @ 29.0¢
- Warriors$325 @ 26.0¢
- Lakers$161 @ 46.0¢
- Yes$135 @ 1.2¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | — | No | $1.7k | 16.0¢ |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Politics | Yes | $1.4k | 32.8¢ |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | Politics | Yes | $643 | 23.2¢ |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | Geopolitics | Yes | $615 | 41.0¢ |
| Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? | Politics | No | $430 | 86.0¢ |
| Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? | Sports | Yes | $319 | 7.2¢ |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Politics | Yes | $195 | 35.3¢ |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | Sports | Yes | $104 | 12.3¢ |
| GTA VI released before November 2026? | Culture | Yes | $11 | 12.0¢ |
| Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27? | — | Yes | $0 | 3.0¢ |
- No$1.7k @ 16.0¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 32.8¢
- Yes$643 @ 23.2¢
- Yes$615 @ 41.0¢
- No$430 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$319 @ 7.2¢
- Yes$195 @ 35.3¢
- Yes$104 @ 12.3¢
- Yes$11 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 3.0¢