← Smart money
0x0484…e0ee
ProfitableROI
+67%
Win rate
47%
Brier
0.231
Resolved
350
Avg size
$155
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
0% hit · 0/1| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Yes | $143 | 16.7¢ | Lost |
- Yes$143 @ 16.7¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? | Politics | Yes | $2.5k | 52.3¢ |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Politics | Yes | $1.8k | 32.8¢ |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | Politics | No | $1.1k | 81.5¢ |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $980 | 13.2¢ |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Sports | Knicks | $900 | 36.0¢ |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $506 | 26.7¢ |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Politics | Yes | $236 | 38.5¢ |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Geopolitics | Yes | $205 | 18.0¢ |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Politics | Yes | $195 | 35.3¢ |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30? | Politics | Yes | $133 | 59.0¢ |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | Geopolitics | Yes | $120 | 12.0¢ |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $3 | 9.0¢ |
| Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | Politics | Yes | $2 | 37.0¢ |
- Yes$2.5k @ 52.3¢
- Yes$1.8k @ 32.8¢
- Netanyahu out by June 30?PoliticsNo$1.1k @ 81.5¢
- Yes$980 @ 13.2¢
- Knicks vs. SpursSportsKnicks$900 @ 36.0¢
- Yes$506 @ 26.7¢
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?PoliticsYes$236 @ 38.5¢
- Yes$205 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$195 @ 35.3¢
- Yes$133 @ 59.0¢
- Yes$120 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 37.0¢