0x0484…e0ee

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x0484ced2f7764c28c0eef3514b48682ee0cde0ee
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

ProfitableSniper

Edge

+19.8pp

ROI

+99%

Win rate

46% @ 26.2¢

Brier

0.231

Resolved

448

Avg size

$123

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	47% (23/49)	+64%	49
Sports	56% (5/9)	+130%	9
Politics	50% (2/4)	+1054%	4
Geopolitics	0% (0/3)	-100%	3

Other49 bets
Hit rate
47% (23/49)
ROI
+64%
Sports9 bets
Hit rate
56% (5/9)
ROI
+130%
Politics4 bets
Hit rate
50% (2/4)
ROI
+1054%
Geopolitics3 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%

Track record

46% hit · 30/65

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?	Yes	$225	15.0¢	Lost
Suns vs. Thunder	Thunder	$500	20.0¢	Lost
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?	Yes	$180	18.0¢	Won
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	Yes	$35	10.0¢	Lost
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	$184	16.3¢	Lost
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$604	75.4¢	Won
Warriors vs. Kings	Kings	$103	41.0¢	Won
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	$550	55.0¢	Won
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$56	3.1¢	Lost
Timberwolves vs. Rockets	Rockets	$509	23.1¢	Lost
Timberwolves vs. Rockets	Timberwolves	$300	30.0¢	Won
76ers vs. Jazz	76ers	$100	50.0¢	Won
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	$77	5.1¢	Lost
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?	Yes	$76	6.1¢	Lost
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?	Yes	$1.4k	59.1¢	Won
Trump out as President by May 31?	Yes	$60	0.3¢	Lost
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$143	14.0¢	Lost
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?	Yes	$44	17.9¢	Lost
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	$667	17.0¢	Won
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?	Yes	$541	48.1¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	No	$124	6.2¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	Yes	$4.4k	25.2¢	Won
Trail Blazers vs. Suns	Trail Blazers	$346	24.7¢	Won
Warriors vs. Clippers	Warriors	$555	17.0¢	Won
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?	Yes	$193	41.3¢	Won
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?	Yes	$807	25.2¢	Lost
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	$23	23.0¢	Lost
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$168	53.1¢	Won
Bulls vs. Mavericks	Bulls	$87	3.0¢	Lost
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?	Yes	$426	60.5¢	Won
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$252	4.0¢	Lost
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	Yes	$3.2k	35.0¢	Won
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?	Yes	$5.7k	11.2¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	$2.0k	28.7¢	Won
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?	No	$841	50.3¢	Won
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?	Yes	$175	78.0¢	Lost
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	$215	14.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	$448	33.0¢	Lost
Knicks vs. 76ers	76ers	$593	36.3¢	Lost
Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	$101	0.4¢	Lost
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?	Yes	$410	16.4¢	Lost
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	$255	17.0¢	Lost
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	$306	30.0¢	Won
Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	$957	10.0¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?	Yes	$370	37.0¢	Lost
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	$4.2k	55.0¢	Lost
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$3.8k	65.3¢	Won
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?	Yes	$111	18.0¢	Lost
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?	Yes	$2.4k	29.4¢	Lost
Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	$118	47.0¢	Won

Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?Lost
Yes$225 @ 15.0¢
Suns vs. ThunderLost
Thunder$500 @ 20.0¢
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?Won
Yes$180 @ 18.0¢
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?Lost
Yes$35 @ 10.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Lost
No$184 @ 16.3¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$604 @ 75.4¢
Warriors vs. KingsWon
Kings$103 @ 41.0¢
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Won
No$550 @ 55.0¢
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Lost
Yes$56 @ 3.1¢
Timberwolves vs. RocketsLost
Rockets$509 @ 23.1¢
Timberwolves vs. RocketsWon
Timberwolves$300 @ 30.0¢
76ers vs. JazzWon
76ers$100 @ 50.0¢
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Lost
No$77 @ 5.1¢
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?Lost
Yes$76 @ 6.1¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?Won
Yes$1.4k @ 59.1¢
Trump out as President by May 31?Lost
Yes$60 @ 0.3¢
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?Lost
Yes$143 @ 14.0¢
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$44 @ 17.9¢
Will Trump visit China by April 30?Won
No$667 @ 17.0¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?Won
Yes$541 @ 48.1¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Lost
No$124 @ 6.2¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Won
Yes$4.4k @ 25.2¢
Trail Blazers vs. SunsWon
Trail Blazers$346 @ 24.7¢
Warriors vs. ClippersWon
Warriors$555 @ 17.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?Won
Yes$193 @ 41.3¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?Lost
Yes$807 @ 25.2¢
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Lost
No$23 @ 23.0¢
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Won
Yes$168 @ 53.1¢
Bulls vs. MavericksLost
Bulls$87 @ 3.0¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?Won
Yes$426 @ 60.5¢
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Lost
Yes$252 @ 4.0¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Won
Yes$3.2k @ 35.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$5.7k @ 11.2¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Won
No$2.0k @ 28.7¢
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?Won
No$841 @ 50.3¢
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?Lost
Yes$175 @ 78.0¢
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?Won
Yes$215 @ 14.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Lost
Yes$448 @ 33.0¢
Knicks vs. 76ersLost
76ers$593 @ 36.3¢
Lakers vs. ThunderLost
Lakers$101 @ 0.4¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?Lost
Yes$410 @ 16.4¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Lost
Yes$255 @ 17.0¢
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?Won
Yes$306 @ 30.0¢
Iran leadership change by April 30?Lost
Yes$957 @ 10.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Lost
Yes$370 @ 37.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Lost
No$4.2k @ 55.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Won
Yes$3.8k @ 65.3¢
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?Lost
Yes$111 @ 18.0¢
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?Lost
Yes$2.4k @ 29.4¢
Lakers vs. RocketsWon
Lakers$118 @ 47.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?	—	Yes	$2.1k	26.6¢
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?	—	No	$1.5k	23.5¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$1.4k	32.8¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?	—	No	$1.1k	24.1¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?	Geopolitics	Yes	$812	15.2¢
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$643	23.2¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?	Geopolitics	Yes	$615	41.0¢
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?	—	No	$604	5.8¢
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?	Politics	No	$430	86.0¢
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Sports	Yes	$319	7.2¢
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?	—	No	$287	8.5¢
Iran leadership change by July 31?	Politics	Yes	$203	3.9¢
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	Yes	$195	35.3¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?	Geopolitics	Yes	$155	8.9¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	Geopolitics	Yes	$110	6.5¢
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Sports	Yes	$105	12.3¢
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?	Politics	Yes	$57	19.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	Yes	$47	16.3¢
GTA VI released before November 2026?	Culture	Yes	$11	12.0¢
Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?	—	Yes	$0	3.0¢

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?—
Yes$2.1k @ 26.6¢
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?—
No$1.5k @ 23.5¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics
Yes$1.4k @ 32.8¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?—
No$1.1k @ 24.1¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Geopolitics
Yes$812 @ 15.2¢
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics
Yes$643 @ 23.2¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Geopolitics
Yes$615 @ 41.0¢
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?—
No$604 @ 5.8¢
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?Politics
No$430 @ 86.0¢
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?Sports
Yes$319 @ 7.2¢
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?—
No$287 @ 8.5¢
Iran leadership change by July 31?Politics
Yes$203 @ 3.9¢
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
Yes$195 @ 35.3¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Geopolitics
Yes$155 @ 8.9¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Geopolitics
Yes$110 @ 6.5¢
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Sports
Yes$105 @ 12.3¢
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Politics
Yes$57 @ 19.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Geopolitics
Yes$47 @ 16.3¢
GTA VI released before November 2026?Culture
Yes$11 @ 12.0¢
Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?—
Yes$0 @ 3.0¢