0x0484…e0ee

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x0484ced2f7764c28c0eef3514b48682ee0cde0ee
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+8.5pp

ROI

+33%

Win rate

31% @ 22.4¢

Brier

0.193

Resolved

1806

Avg size

$113

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	38% (66/175)	+13%	175
Sports	31% (17/55)	+26%	55
Politics	35% (17/48)	+58%	48
Geopolitics	0% (0/23)	-100%	23

Other175 bets
Hit rate
38% (66/175)
ROI
+13%
Sports55 bets
Hit rate
31% (17/55)
ROI
+26%
Politics48 bets
Hit rate
35% (17/48)
ROI
+58%
Geopolitics23 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/23)
ROI
-100%

Track record

33% hit · 100/301

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?	Yes	$225	15.0¢	Lost
76ers vs. Hornets	76ers	$1.1k	32.5¢	Won
Suns vs. Thunder	Thunder	$500	20.0¢	Lost
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?	No	$1.3k	18.6¢	Lost
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?	No	$236	72.0¢	Won
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?	Yes	$180	18.0¢	Won
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5	Over	$112	28.0¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	No	$1.5k	89.0¢	Won
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	$739	16.0¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	Yes	$941	4.2¢	Lost
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	Yes	$35	10.0¢	Lost
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	$184	16.3¢	Lost
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$859	57.1¢	Won
Will Israel win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	$433	16.0¢	Lost
Warriors vs. Kings	Kings	$103	41.0¢	Won
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	No	$131	18.7¢	Won
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	Yes	$612	34.6¢	Lost
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	FC Barcelona	$297	34.0¢	Lost
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?	No	$15	2.7¢	Lost
Knicks vs. Spurs	Knicks	$341	33.0¢	Won
Knicks vs. Spurs	Spurs	$115	23.0¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?	Yes	$351	13.0¢	Lost
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-22?	Yes	$135	30.0¢	Won
Will the US next strike Iran on February 5, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$20	0.2¢	Lost
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	$210	7.0¢	Lost
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	$550	55.0¢	Won
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$56	3.1¢	Lost
Timberwolves vs. Rockets	Rockets	$509	23.1¢	Lost
Timberwolves vs. Rockets	Timberwolves	$300	30.0¢	Won
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	$2.6k	31.1¢	Lost
Lakers vs. Pistons	Lakers	$345	23.0¢	Lost
76ers vs. Jazz	76ers	$100	50.0¢	Won
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	Yes	$189	22.6¢	Lost
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	No	$156	16.0¢	Lost
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	Yes	$590	59.0¢	Won
Barcelona vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv	Hapoel Tel Aviv	$215	43.0¢	Won
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-17?	Yes	$93	9.0¢	Lost
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	$77	5.1¢	Lost
Israel strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?	Yes	$20	2.0¢	Lost
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$259	37.0¢	Won
Rockets vs. Lakers	Lakers	$259	25.7¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?	Yes	$1.8k	26.9¢	Lost
Partizan vs. BC Dubai	BC Dubai	$13	18.0¢	Lost
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?	Yes	$76	6.1¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?	Yes	$461	32.1¢	Won
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$261	13.7¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$5.3k	20.3¢	Won
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?	Yes	$1.4k	59.1¢	Won
Trump out as President by May 31?	Yes	$60	0.3¢	Lost
Will Israel strike 2 countries in March 2026?	Yes	$164	16.1¢	Lost

Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?Lost
Yes$225 @ 15.0¢
76ers vs. HornetsWon
76ers$1.1k @ 32.5¢
Suns vs. ThunderLost
Thunder$500 @ 20.0¢
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Lost
No$1.3k @ 18.6¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?Won
No$236 @ 72.0¢
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?Won
Yes$180 @ 18.0¢
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5Lost
Over$112 @ 28.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Won
No$1.5k @ 89.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Lost
Yes$739 @ 16.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Lost
Yes$941 @ 4.2¢
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?Lost
Yes$35 @ 10.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Lost
No$184 @ 16.3¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$859 @ 57.1¢
Will Israel win on 2026-10-04?Lost
Yes$433 @ 16.0¢
Warriors vs. KingsWon
Kings$103 @ 41.0¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?Won
No$131 @ 18.7¢
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Lost
Yes$612 @ 34.6¢
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)Lost
FC Barcelona$297 @ 34.0¢
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? Lost
No$15 @ 2.7¢
Knicks vs. SpursWon
Knicks$341 @ 33.0¢
Knicks vs. SpursLost
Spurs$115 @ 23.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?Lost
Yes$351 @ 13.0¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-22?Won
Yes$135 @ 30.0¢
Will the US next strike Iran on February 5, 2026 (ET)?Lost
Yes$20 @ 0.2¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?Lost
No$210 @ 7.0¢
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Won
No$550 @ 55.0¢
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Lost
Yes$56 @ 3.1¢
Timberwolves vs. RocketsLost
Rockets$509 @ 23.1¢
Timberwolves vs. RocketsWon
Timberwolves$300 @ 30.0¢
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$2.6k @ 31.1¢
Lakers vs. PistonsLost
Lakers$345 @ 23.0¢
76ers vs. JazzWon
76ers$100 @ 50.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?Lost
Yes$189 @ 22.6¢
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Lost
No$156 @ 16.0¢
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Won
Yes$590 @ 59.0¢
Barcelona vs. Hapoel Tel AvivWon
Hapoel Tel Aviv$215 @ 43.0¢
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-17?Lost
Yes$93 @ 9.0¢
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Lost
No$77 @ 5.1¢
Israel strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?Lost
Yes$20 @ 2.0¢
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Won
Yes$259 @ 37.0¢
Rockets vs. LakersLost
Lakers$259 @ 25.7¢
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$1.8k @ 26.9¢
Partizan vs. BC DubaiLost
BC Dubai$13 @ 18.0¢
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?Lost
Yes$76 @ 6.1¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Won
Yes$461 @ 32.1¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$261 @ 13.7¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Won
Yes$5.3k @ 20.3¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?Won
Yes$1.4k @ 59.1¢
Trump out as President by May 31?Lost
Yes$60 @ 0.3¢
Will Israel strike 2 countries in March 2026?Lost
Yes$164 @ 16.1¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Sports	Yes	$652	4.9¢
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$643	23.2¢
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?	Politics	No	$430	86.0¢
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	Yes	$195	35.3¢
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Sports	Yes	$104	12.3¢
GTA VI released by October 31?	Culture	Yes	$11	12.0¢

Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?Sports
Yes$652 @ 4.9¢
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics
Yes$643 @ 23.2¢
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?Politics
No$430 @ 86.0¢
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
Yes$195 @ 35.3¢
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Sports
Yes$104 @ 12.3¢
GTA VI released by October 31?Culture
Yes$11 @ 12.0¢