← Smart money
0x042a…b153
SharpEdge
+7.0pp
ROI
+74%
Win rate
15% @ 8.5¢
Brier
0.077
Resolved
1581
Avg size
$23
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 13% (23/175) | +102% | 175 |
| Sports | 8% (3/38) | +69% | 38 |
| Politics | 0% (0/21) | -100% | 21 |
| Culture | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
| Crypto | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
- Other175 bets
- Hit rate
- 13% (23/175)
- ROI
- +102%
- Sports38 bets
- Hit rate
- 8% (3/38)
- ROI
- +69%
- Politics21 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/21)
- ROI
- -100%
- Culture2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
- Crypto2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
11% hit · 26/238- Yes$12 @ 3.9¢
- No$1 @ 2.1¢
- Yes$13 @ 1.5¢
- Yes$242 @ 1.7¢
- Yes$29 @ 1.3¢
- Yes$19 @ 1.2¢
- Yes$20 @ 1.1¢
- Yes$6 @ 1.2¢
- Yes$12 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$35 @ 7.0¢
- No$139 @ 1.1¢
- Yes$108 @ 3.5¢
- Yes$8 @ 1.8¢
- No$31 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 25.0¢
- Yes$92 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 1.1¢
- No$51 @ 14.8¢
- Yes$192 @ 0.8¢
- Yes$217 @ 9.2¢
- Yes$58 @ 28.4¢
- Yes$10 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 2.3¢
- Yes$331 @ 26.7¢
- Yes$10 @ 3.0¢
- Yes$70 @ 0.7¢
- Yes$844 @ 12.3¢
- Yes$339 @ 13.6¢
- Yes$10 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 2.5¢
- Yes$1.7k @ 48.9¢
- Yes$10 @ 2.0¢
- Yes$160 @ 10.6¢
- Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win between 60 and 69 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?LostYes$0 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$6 @ 1.9¢
- Yes$30 @ 15.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 2.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$412 @ 3.0¢
- Yes$16 @ 1.2¢
- Yes$6 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$13 @ 3.5¢
- No$5 @ 14.3¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 84.9¢
- Yes$20 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$24 @ 1.2¢
- Yes$6 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$33 @ 3.3¢
- Yes$16 @ 1.6¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Sports | Yes | $126 | 9.9¢ |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Sports | Yes | $105 | 2.1¢ |
| Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Sports | Yes | $53 | 0.5¢ |
- Yes$126 @ 9.9¢
- Yes$105 @ 2.1¢
- Yes$53 @ 0.5¢