0x0371…70c3

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x03710baffa9885597676ed34778136ea36e170c3
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+14.8pp

ROI

+163%

Win rate

23% @ 7.9¢

Brier

0.189

Resolved

633

Avg size

$21

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	13% (16/126)	+624%	126
Politics	5% (1/21)	-96%	21
Geopolitics	6% (1/17)	-13%	17
Sports	14% (2/14)	-92%	14
Culture	0% (0/3)	-100%	3
Science	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other126 bets
Hit rate
13% (16/126)
ROI
+624%
Politics21 bets
Hit rate
5% (1/21)
ROI
-96%
Geopolitics17 bets
Hit rate
6% (1/17)
ROI
-13%
Sports14 bets
Hit rate
14% (2/14)
ROI
-92%
Culture3 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%
Science1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

11% hit · 20/182

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Mohammad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	$2	0.2¢	Lost
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of February?	Yes	$4	0.6¢	Lost
Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$6	4.2¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	Yes	$2	13.0¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?	Yes	$11	1.1¢	Lost
Will Desire Doue win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Lost
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	$982	12.8¢	Lost
Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$6	1.7¢	Lost
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	$739	6.5¢	Lost
Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Lost
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alex Pereira	$52	50.0¢	Lost
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?	No	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Trump and Netanyahu only be photographed together by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$35	3.1¢	Lost
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of February?	Yes	$3	1.1¢	Lost
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 13, 2026?	No	$160	63.2¢	Won
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?	Yes	$2	10.0¢	Lost
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	$10	0.6¢	Lost
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,450 by end of February?	Yes	$1	7.0¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?	Yes	$10	3.9¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?	Yes	$1	3.7¢	Lost
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	$7	2.4¢	Lost
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	$2	0.2¢	Lost
Will Pedri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$2	0.2¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$16	0.1¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Megaquake by July 31?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$1	0.6¢	Lost
Will Dominik Szoboszlai win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$22	0.8¢	Lost
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?	No	$5	1.7¢	Lost
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?	Yes	$49	41.0¢	Lost
Will the US next strike Iran during the week of March 15-21, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$3	8.0¢	Lost
Will Trump attend UFC 330?	Yes	$8	1.1¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$3	15.0¢	Won
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?	No	$3	0.2¢	Lost
Iran leadership change by March 13?	Yes	$43	3.5¢	Lost
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Lost
Will Sadegh Mahsouli be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Lost
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?	Yes	$1	0.8¢	Lost
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$12	3.2¢	Lost
Will the US next strike Iran during the week of March 22-28, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$3	6.1¢	Lost
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by August 31?	Yes	$2	10.5¢	Lost
Will the US next strike Iran during the week of March 8-14, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$3	7.0¢	Lost
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by July 31?	Yes	$1	1.1¢	Lost
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	$11	0.9¢	Lost
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	$98	56.0¢	Won
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	$97	6.6¢	Won
Will the US next strike Iran on February 25, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$6	1.5¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	$10	20.0¢	Lost
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by March 31?	Yes	$5	1.5¢	Lost

Will Mohammad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.2¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of February?Lost
Yes$4 @ 0.6¢
Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?Lost
Yes$6 @ 4.2¢
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 13.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?Lost
Yes$11 @ 1.1¢
Will Desire Doue win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Lost
Yes$982 @ 12.8¢
Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?Lost
Yes$6 @ 1.7¢
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Lost
Yes$739 @ 6.5¢
Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)Lost
Alex Pereira$52 @ 50.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?Lost
No$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Trump and Netanyahu only be photographed together by July 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$35 @ 3.1¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of February?Lost
Yes$3 @ 1.1¢
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 13, 2026?Won
No$160 @ 63.2¢
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 10.0¢
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Lost
Yes$10 @ 0.6¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,450 by end of February?Lost
Yes$1 @ 7.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?Lost
Yes$10 @ 3.9¢
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 3.7¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Lost
Yes$7 @ 2.4¢
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.2¢
Will Pedri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.2¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$16 @ 0.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Megaquake by July 31?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.6¢
Will Dominik Szoboszlai win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$22 @ 0.8¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?Lost
No$5 @ 1.7¢
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?Lost
Yes$49 @ 41.0¢
Will the US next strike Iran during the week of March 15-21, 2026 (ET)?Lost
Yes$3 @ 8.0¢
Will Trump attend UFC 330?Lost
Yes$8 @ 1.1¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Won
Yes$3 @ 15.0¢
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?Lost
No$3 @ 0.2¢
Iran leadership change by March 13?Lost
Yes$43 @ 3.5¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Will Sadegh Mahsouli be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.8¢
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$12 @ 3.2¢
Will the US next strike Iran during the week of March 22-28, 2026 (ET)?Lost
Yes$3 @ 6.1¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by August 31?Lost
Yes$2 @ 10.5¢
Will the US next strike Iran during the week of March 8-14, 2026 (ET)?Lost
Yes$3 @ 7.0¢
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by July 31?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.1¢
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Lost
Yes$11 @ 0.9¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?Won
Yes$98 @ 56.0¢
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Won
Yes$97 @ 6.6¢
Will the US next strike Iran on February 25, 2026 (ET)?Lost
Yes$6 @ 1.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Lost
Yes$10 @ 20.0¢
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by March 31?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.5¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$1	0.5¢
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$1	0.4¢
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$1	0.1¢
Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$1	0.1¢
Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$1	0.1¢

Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$1 @ 0.5¢
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$1 @ 0.4¢
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢