0x0260…0d88

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x0260366a9add43c25d4f4d35d2210526c6750d88
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+21.2pp

ROI

+22%

Win rate

93% @ 71.4¢

Brier

0.053

Resolved

108

Avg size

$525

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Politics	80% (4/5)	+18%	5
Geopolitics	50% (1/2)	+11%	2
Other	100% (1/1)	+38%	1
Crypto	100% (1/1)	+17%	1

Politics5 bets
Hit rate
80% (4/5)
ROI
+18%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+11%
Other1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+38%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+17%

Track record

78% hit · 7/9

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?	Yes	$40	1.0¢	Lost
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	$7.9k	78.8¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$2.6k	85.2¢	Won
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	$2.2k	70.8¢	Won
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	$36	2.0¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	$10.8k	72.5¢	Won
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	$31.4k	87.1¢	Won
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	$1.8k	88.0¢	Won
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?	No	$15	89.6¢	Won

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Lost
Yes$40 @ 1.0¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
No$7.9k @ 78.8¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
No$2.6k @ 85.2¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Won
No$2.2k @ 70.8¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Lost
Yes$36 @ 2.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Won
No$10.8k @ 72.5¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Won
No$31.4k @ 87.1¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Won
No$1.8k @ 88.0¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?Won
No$15 @ 89.6¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Politics	No	$12.6k	88.3¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?	Politics	No	$6.5k	98.3¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Politics	No	$5.9k	99.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Geopolitics	No	$3.8k	94.0¢
Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026?	Crypto	No	$1.5k	84.0¢

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics
No$12.6k @ 88.3¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?Politics
No$6.5k @ 98.3¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Politics
No$5.9k @ 99.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Geopolitics
No$3.8k @ 94.0¢
Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026?Crypto
No$1.5k @ 84.0¢