0x0260…0d88

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x0260366a9add43c25d4f4d35d2210526c6750d88
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+19.2pp

ROI

+11%

Win rate

91% @ 72.0¢

Brier

0.094

Resolved

1213

Avg size

$419

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	52% (33/63)	+9%	63
Politics	84% (16/19)	+19%	19
Geopolitics	67% (4/6)	+3%	6
Sports	50% (1/2)	-19%	2
Economy	100% (1/1)	+28%	1
Crypto	100% (1/1)	+17%	1

Other63 bets
Hit rate
52% (33/63)
ROI
+9%
Politics19 bets
Hit rate
84% (16/19)
ROI
+19%
Geopolitics6 bets
Hit rate
67% (4/6)
ROI
+3%
Sports2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-19%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+28%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+17%

Track record

61% hit · 56/92

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?	No	$176	88.0¢	Won
Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?	No	$499	73.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" while addressing the nation on December 17?	No	$1.8k	84.1¢	Won
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?	Yes	$40	1.0¢	Lost
Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?	No	$1.2k	76.1¢	Won
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?	No	$1.3k	30.1¢	Lost
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?	Yes	$10	10.2¢	Lost
Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?	No	$549	33.7¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?	No	$13.0k	86.7¢	Won
Ukraine hits Moscow by September 30?	No	$1.3k	84.0¢	Won
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?	Yes	$5.1k	79.1¢	Won
Will Jean-Louis Borloo be the next Prime Minister of France?	No	$245	65.0¢	Won
North Korea missile test by August 31?	Yes	$20	33.0¢	Won
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	$7.9k	78.8¢	Won
Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 50% by March 31?	No	$890	89.0¢	Won
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 16-22?	No	$19	0.2¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	$480	24.0¢	Lost
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$2.6k	85.2¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	No	$6.0k	75.0¢	Won
Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026?	No	$36	46.9¢	Won
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?	Yes	$1.4k	30.9¢	Lost
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	$490	4.9¢	Lost
Will no qualifying US-Iran meeting occur by February 13, 2026?	Yes	$18	23.6¢	Lost
French election called by October 17?	No	$178	86.0¢	Won
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$22.8k	63.9¢	Won
Will France join the Board of Peace?	No	$482	86.4¢	Won
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	$10.2k	81.3¢	Lost
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	$52	23.0¢	Won
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	$687	12.0¢	Lost
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on September 30 ET?	Yes	$20	8.5¢	Lost
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	$3.2k	75.4¢	Won
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?	No	$142	18.5¢	Won
Will Bryson DeChambeau complete the shot on Day 12?	Yes	$10	5.7¢	Won
Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 20?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	$2.0k	19.5¢	Lost
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	$2.2k	70.8¢	Won
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?	No	$2.7k	83.0¢	Lost
Will MongoDB (MDB) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$20	6.0¢	Lost
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?	No	$80	13.0¢	Lost
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	$36	2.0¢	Lost
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?	No	$24.9k	84.6¢	Lost
Will Union Bordeaux Begles win?	Yes	$3	60.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with UK Prime Minister on September 18?	Yes	$2	0.2¢	Lost
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	No	$4.4k	50.0¢	Won
Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	$4.4k	89.0¢	Won
Will CrowdStrike Holdings (CRWD) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$20	7.0¢	Lost
Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?	No	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Union Bordeaux Begles win?	Yes	$3	48.0¢	Lost
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	No	$54.8k	84.6¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	$10.8k	72.5¢	Won

Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?Won
No$176 @ 88.0¢
Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?Won
No$499 @ 73.0¢
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" while addressing the nation on December 17?Won
No$1.8k @ 84.1¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Lost
Yes$40 @ 1.0¢
Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?Won
No$1.2k @ 76.1¢
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Lost
No$1.3k @ 30.1¢
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?Lost
Yes$10 @ 10.2¢
Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?Lost
No$549 @ 33.7¢
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Won
No$13.0k @ 86.7¢
Ukraine hits Moscow by September 30?Won
No$1.3k @ 84.0¢
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?Won
Yes$5.1k @ 79.1¢
Will Jean-Louis Borloo be the next Prime Minister of France?Won
No$245 @ 65.0¢
North Korea missile test by August 31?Won
Yes$20 @ 33.0¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
No$7.9k @ 78.8¢
Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 50% by March 31?Won
No$890 @ 89.0¢
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 16-22?Lost
No$19 @ 0.2¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Lost
Yes$480 @ 24.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
No$2.6k @ 85.2¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Won
No$6.0k @ 75.0¢
Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026?Won
No$36 @ 46.9¢
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Lost
Yes$1.4k @ 30.9¢
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?Lost
Yes$490 @ 4.9¢
Will no qualifying US-Iran meeting occur by February 13, 2026?Lost
Yes$18 @ 23.6¢
French election called by October 17?Won
No$178 @ 86.0¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Won
Yes$22.8k @ 63.9¢
Will France join the Board of Peace?Won
No$482 @ 86.4¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Lost
No$10.2k @ 81.3¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Won
Yes$52 @ 23.0¢
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Lost
Yes$687 @ 12.0¢
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on September 30 ET?Lost
Yes$20 @ 8.5¢
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Won
No$3.2k @ 75.4¢
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?Won
No$142 @ 18.5¢
Will Bryson DeChambeau complete the shot on Day 12?Won
Yes$10 @ 5.7¢
Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 20?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Lost
Yes$2.0k @ 19.5¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Won
No$2.2k @ 70.8¢
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?Lost
No$2.7k @ 83.0¢
Will MongoDB (MDB) beat quarterly earnings?Lost
No$20 @ 6.0¢
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Lost
No$80 @ 13.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Lost
Yes$36 @ 2.0¢
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?Lost
No$24.9k @ 84.6¢
Will Union Bordeaux Begles win?Lost
Yes$3 @ 60.0¢
Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with UK Prime Minister on September 18?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.2¢
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Won
No$4.4k @ 50.0¢
Netanyahu out by June 30?Won
No$4.4k @ 89.0¢
Will CrowdStrike Holdings (CRWD) beat quarterly earnings?Lost
No$20 @ 7.0¢
Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?Lost
No$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Union Bordeaux Begles win?Lost
Yes$3 @ 48.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Won
No$54.8k @ 84.6¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Won
No$10.8k @ 72.5¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$7.1k	81.0¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Politics	No	$6.1k	80.5¢
Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026?	Crypto	No	$1.6k	84.9¢
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Geopolitics	No	$1.4k	71.0¢

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$7.1k @ 81.0¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics
No$6.1k @ 80.5¢
Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026?Crypto
No$1.6k @ 84.9¢
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Geopolitics
No$1.4k @ 71.0¢