0x01ee…c603

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x01eebb367efb929e486919508e4df7fedd22c603
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+11.2pp

ROI

+3%

Win rate

55% @ 44.0¢

Brier

0.124

Resolved

116

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Politics	44% (14/32)	-16%	32
Other	55% (6/11)	+23%	11
Crypto	50% (2/4)	+76%	4
Sports	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Culture	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Politics32 bets
Hit rate
44% (14/32)
ROI
-16%
Other11 bets
Hit rate
55% (6/11)
ROI
+23%
Crypto4 bets
Hit rate
50% (2/4)
ROI
+76%
Sports1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

44% hit · 22/50

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?	No	$1	76.9¢	Lost
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?	Yes	$2	38.7¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$1	59.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$9	18.5¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$7	11.0¢	Lost
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	$1	86.9¢	Won
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	$3	16.0¢	Lost
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	Yes	$1	13.0¢	Lost
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	$1	71.4¢	Won
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	$4	49.4¢	Lost
Will Denise Powell be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?	Yes	$1	54.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$1	11.0¢	Lost
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$14	57.8¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$1	54.0¢	Lost
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	$2	31.8¢	Won
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?	Yes	$1	13.0¢	Won
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?	No	$1	83.0¢	Lost
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?	Yes	$7	51.1¢	Won
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	$5	0.7¢	Lost
Will "Re:ZERO -Starting Life in Another World- Season 3" win Best Isekai Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?	Yes	$1	89.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	$2	33.3¢	Lost
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$1	13.4¢	Lost
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	$21	77.7¢	Won
Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	Yes	$1	9.3¢	Lost
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31?	Yes	$1	14.7¢	Lost
Will Phil Lyman be the Republican nominee for UT-03?	Yes	$1	1.5¢	Lost
No one announced as next James Bond?	No	$1	0.2¢	Lost
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	$1	42.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	$3	48.4¢	Won
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$1	25.0¢	Lost
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$3	27.4¢	Won
Will Karianne Lisonbee be the Republican nominee for UT-02?	Yes	$2	2.2¢	Lost
Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?	Yes	$1	77.0¢	Won
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	$1	5.0¢	Lost
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	$2	79.5¢	Won
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	$3	78.7¢	Won
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$1	31.0¢	Won
Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?	No	$1	32.0¢	Lost
Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?	Yes	$1	17.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	$2	3.6¢	Lost
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	Yes	$1	4.1¢	Lost
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	No	$1	3.4¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	$3	5.2¢	Lost
Will "Toy Story 5" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?	No	$1	99.8¢	Won
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$1	88.0¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	$2	33.0¢	Lost
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?	No	$3	46.4¢	Lost
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$4	5.7¢	Lost
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	$4	88.3¢	Won
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$2	87.5¢	Won

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?Lost
No$1 @ 76.9¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?Won
Yes$2 @ 38.7¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$1 @ 59.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$9 @ 18.5¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$7 @ 11.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Won
No$1 @ 86.9¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Lost
Yes$3 @ 16.0¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?Lost
Yes$1 @ 13.0¢
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Won
No$1 @ 71.4¢
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Lost
Yes$4 @ 49.4¢
Will Denise Powell be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?Won
Yes$1 @ 54.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 11.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
No$14 @ 57.8¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 54.0¢
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Won
Yes$2 @ 31.8¢
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?Won
Yes$1 @ 13.0¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Lost
No$1 @ 83.0¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Won
Yes$7 @ 51.1¢
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.7¢
Will "Re:ZERO -Starting Life in Another World- Season 3" win Best Isekai Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?Won
Yes$1 @ 89.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Lost
Yes$2 @ 33.3¢
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 13.4¢
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Won
No$21 @ 77.7¢
Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?Lost
Yes$1 @ 9.3¢
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31?Lost
Yes$1 @ 14.7¢
Will Phil Lyman be the Republican nominee for UT-03?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.5¢
No one announced as next James Bond?Lost
No$1 @ 0.2¢
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?Lost
Yes$1 @ 42.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Won
No$3 @ 48.4¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 25.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$3 @ 27.4¢
Will Karianne Lisonbee be the Republican nominee for UT-02?Lost
Yes$2 @ 2.2¢
Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?Won
Yes$1 @ 77.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Lost
No$1 @ 5.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Won
Yes$2 @ 79.5¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?Won
No$3 @ 78.7¢
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$1 @ 31.0¢
Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?Lost
No$1 @ 32.0¢
Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?Won
Yes$1 @ 17.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 3.6¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?Lost
Yes$1 @ 4.1¢
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?Lost
No$1 @ 3.4¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Lost
Yes$3 @ 5.2¢
Will "Toy Story 5" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?Won
No$1 @ 99.8¢
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Won
Yes$1 @ 88.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Lost
No$2 @ 33.0¢
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?Lost
No$3 @ 46.4¢
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$4 @ 5.7¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
No$4 @ 88.3¢
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
Yes$2 @ 87.5¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?	Politics	Yes	$8	99.4¢
Kash Patel out by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$4	60.1¢
Will Jared Golden be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	—	No	$3	99.6¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Politics	No	$3	72.1¢
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$2	87.0¢
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Politics	No	$2	96.0¢
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$2	23.5¢
Kash Patel out by July 31?	Politics	Yes	$2	13.5¢
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Politics	Yes	$2	14.5¢
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Politics	Yes	$2	7.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$1	10.0¢
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Other	Yes	$1	16.0¢
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	Geopolitics	Yes	$1	20.0¢
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$1	25.0¢
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$1	32.0¢
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1	32.0¢
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Geopolitics	Yes	$1	32.0¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Politics	No	$1	63.0¢
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Politics	No	$1	91.0¢
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	Geopolitics	No	$1	78.0¢
Will 0 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$1	99.2¢
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Other	No	$1	84.0¢
Will Nirav Shah be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	—	No	$1	90.3¢
Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Science	Yes	$1	83.0¢
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?	Politics	Yes	$1	79.0¢
Will Anthony DiLorenzo be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?	Politics	Yes	$1	79.0¢
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?	Politics	No	$1	62.0¢
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?	Politics	Yes	$1	62.0¢
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Science	Yes	$1	88.0¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$1	85.0¢

Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Politics
Yes$8 @ 99.4¢
Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics
Yes$4 @ 60.1¢
Will Jared Golden be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?—
No$3 @ 99.6¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
No$3 @ 72.1¢
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?Politics
Yes$2 @ 87.0¢
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Politics
No$2 @ 96.0¢
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$2 @ 23.5¢
Kash Patel out by July 31?Politics
Yes$2 @ 13.5¢
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Politics
Yes$2 @ 14.5¢
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Politics
Yes$2 @ 7.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
Yes$1 @ 10.0¢
Will GameStop acquire eBay?Other
Yes$1 @ 16.0¢
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?Geopolitics
Yes$1 @ 20.0¢
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Politics
Yes$1 @ 25.0¢
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Politics
Yes$1 @ 32.0¢
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?Politics
Yes$1 @ 32.0¢
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Geopolitics
Yes$1 @ 32.0¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics
No$1 @ 63.0¢
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Politics
No$1 @ 91.0¢
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?Geopolitics
No$1 @ 78.0¢
Will 0 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$1 @ 99.2¢
Will GameStop acquire eBay?Other
No$1 @ 84.0¢
Will Nirav Shah be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?—
No$1 @ 90.3¢
Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Science
Yes$1 @ 83.0¢
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Politics
Yes$1 @ 79.0¢
Will Anthony DiLorenzo be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?Politics
Yes$1 @ 79.0¢
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Politics
No$1 @ 62.0¢
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Politics
Yes$1 @ 62.0¢
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Science
Yes$1 @ 88.0¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?Geopolitics
No$1 @ 85.0¢