0x0182…9ffe

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x018239187c4b9137daf718de3b88fefa72969ffe
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+22.8pp

ROI

+41%

Win rate

48% @ 25.0¢

Brier

0.225

Resolved

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	46% (12/26)	+163%	26
Sports	15% (2/13)	-62%	13
Politics	0% (0/10)	-100%	10

Other26 bets
Hit rate
46% (12/26)
ROI
+163%
Sports13 bets
Hit rate
15% (2/13)
ROI
-62%
Politics10 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/10)
ROI
-100%

Track record

29% hit · 14/49

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	$5	6.0¢	Lost
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	$2	71.0¢	Won
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	$6	48.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Khamenei" or "Khomeini" this week?	Yes	$2	6.8¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 14, 2026?	Yes	$4	43.0¢	Won
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$10	8.3¢	Lost
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$21	11.2¢	Lost
Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$10	8.0¢	Lost
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?	Yes	$5	14.0¢	Lost
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	$5	2.2¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	Yes	$6	44.0¢	Won
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	$5	21.0¢	Lost
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$2	3.2¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 13, 2026?	Yes	$4	45.0¢	Won
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?	Yes	$5	15.4¢	Lost
Will Trump post "Ballroom" this week on Truth Social?	No	$1	3.2¢	Lost
Will Enzo Maresca be the next manager of Manchester City FC?	No	$1	0.9¢	Lost
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	$5	28.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 15, 2026?	Yes	$2	38.0¢	Won
Will Trump post "JD" or "Vance" on Truth Social this week?	Yes	$11	28.4¢	Won
Will Karoline Leavitt be between 20 and 25 minutes late to the next press briefing?	Yes	$1	1.4¢	Lost
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	Yes	$10	1.9¢	Lost
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$5	17.4¢	Won
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Lost
Will Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?	Yes	$1	24.0¢	Lost
Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?	Yes	$11	5.0¢	Lost
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?	Yes	$5	46.0¢	Won
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?	Yes	$5	6.0¢	Won
Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?	Yes	$10	6.3¢	Lost
English Premier League: Bruno Fernandes breaks assists record?	Yes	$20	42.0¢	Won
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$2	8.4¢	Lost
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	$5	3.2¢	Lost
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	$5	8.0¢	Lost
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$10	39.3¢	Won
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	$20	25.0¢	Won
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	$10	76.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 11?	No	$5	1.7¢	Lost
Will Trump post "Keir" or "Starmer" on Truth Social this week?	Yes	$3	25.0¢	Lost
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	Yes	$5	83.1¢	Lost
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	$1	0.3¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 11?	Yes	$3	4.3¢	Lost
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	$5	60.0¢	Won
Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?	Yes	$3	6.0¢	Lost
Will Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	$5	20.0¢	Lost
Will Karoline Leavitt be between 15 and 20 minutes late to the next press briefing?	Yes	$1	1.8¢	Lost
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	$1	0.3¢	Lost
Trump out as President by June 30?	Yes	$1	1.3¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Ballroom" during Bret Baier interview?	Yes	$5	27.8¢	Lost
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18?	Yes	$10	31.4¢	Won

Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 6.0¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Won
Yes$2 @ 71.0¢
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?Lost
Yes$6 @ 48.0¢
Will Trump say "Khamenei" or "Khomeini" this week?Lost
Yes$2 @ 6.8¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 14, 2026?Won
Yes$4 @ 43.0¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$10 @ 8.3¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$21 @ 11.2¢
Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$10 @ 8.0¢
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?Lost
Yes$5 @ 14.0¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Lost
Yes$5 @ 2.2¢
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?Won
Yes$6 @ 44.0¢
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?Lost
Yes$5 @ 21.0¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$2 @ 3.2¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 13, 2026?Won
Yes$4 @ 45.0¢
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?Lost
Yes$5 @ 15.4¢
Will Trump post "Ballroom" this week on Truth Social?Lost
No$1 @ 3.2¢
Will Enzo Maresca be the next manager of Manchester City FC?Lost
No$1 @ 0.9¢
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?Lost
Yes$5 @ 28.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 15, 2026?Won
Yes$2 @ 38.0¢
Will Trump post "JD" or "Vance" on Truth Social this week?Won
Yes$11 @ 28.4¢
Will Karoline Leavitt be between 20 and 25 minutes late to the next press briefing?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.4¢
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?Lost
Yes$10 @ 1.9¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$5 @ 17.4¢
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Will Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?Lost
Yes$1 @ 24.0¢
Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?Lost
Yes$11 @ 5.0¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?Won
Yes$5 @ 46.0¢
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?Won
Yes$5 @ 6.0¢
Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?Lost
Yes$10 @ 6.3¢
English Premier League: Bruno Fernandes breaks assists record?Won
Yes$20 @ 42.0¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$2 @ 8.4¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?Lost
Yes$5 @ 3.2¢
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?Lost
Yes$5 @ 8.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Won
Yes$10 @ 39.3¢
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?Won
Yes$20 @ 25.0¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Lost
Yes$10 @ 76.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 11?Lost
No$5 @ 1.7¢
Will Trump post "Keir" or "Starmer" on Truth Social this week?Lost
Yes$3 @ 25.0¢
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?Lost
Yes$5 @ 83.1¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.3¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 11?Lost
Yes$3 @ 4.3¢
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?Won
Yes$5 @ 60.0¢
Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?Lost
Yes$3 @ 6.0¢
Will Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?Lost
Yes$5 @ 20.0¢
Will Karoline Leavitt be between 15 and 20 minutes late to the next press briefing?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.8¢
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.3¢
Trump out as President by June 30?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.3¢
Will Trump say "Ballroom" during Bret Baier interview?Lost
Yes$5 @ 27.8¢
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18?Won
Yes$10 @ 31.4¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$25	51.2¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$20	24.1¢
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Sports	Yes	$15	14.5¢
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Sports	Yes	$10	37.5¢
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$5	2.3¢
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$1	14.0¢
Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?	Politics	Yes	$1	10.3¢

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$25 @ 51.2¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$20 @ 24.1¢
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Sports
Yes$15 @ 14.5¢
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Sports
Yes$10 @ 37.5¢
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$5 @ 2.3¢
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$1 @ 14.0¢
Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?Politics
Yes$1 @ 10.3¢