← Умные деньги
0xffb0…fa37
ПрофиЭдж
+9.8pp
ROI
+19%
Доля побед
72% @ 62.5¢
Brier
0.145
Сделок
4073
Ср. размер
$74
Специализация по сферам
| Сфера | Попадания | ROI | Ставки |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 69% (353/515) | +13% | 515 |
| Политика | 80% (57/71) | +41% | 71 |
| Геополитика | 69% (24/35) | +12% | 35 |
| Культура | 100% (2/2) | +39% | 2 |
- Other515 ставки
- Попадания
- 69% (353/515)
- ROI
- +13%
- Политика71 ставки
- Попадания
- 80% (57/71)
- ROI
- +41%
- Геополитика35 ставки
- Попадания
- 69% (24/35)
- ROI
- +12%
- Культура2 ставки
- Попадания
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +39%
История результатов
70% попаданий · 436/623- No$80 @ 80.4¢
- No$15 @ 81.0¢
- No$20 @ 40.0¢
- No$337 @ 84.2¢
- Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?ПоражениеNo$119 @ 19.8¢
- No$281 @ 47.6¢
- Yes$60 @ 9.4¢
- No$624 @ 68.5¢
- No$83 @ 83.0¢
- No$25 @ 84.0¢
- No$87 @ 87.0¢
- No$185 @ 87.0¢
- No$15 @ 79.0¢
- No$50 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$187 @ 3.4¢
- No$57 @ 19.0¢
- Yes$157 @ 88.4¢
- No$218 @ 72.7¢
- No$106 @ 53.0¢
- No$46 @ 86.6¢
- No$176 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$12 @ 70.0¢
- No$64 @ 88.8¢
- No$753 @ 73.0¢
- No$643 @ 74.2¢
- Yes$500 @ 89.3¢
- No$11 @ 1.1¢
- Zelenskyy$315 @ 58.4¢
- No$162 @ 80.5¢
- No$209 @ 35.1¢
- No$82 @ 24.0¢
- No$142 @ 71.0¢
- No$144 @ 72.0¢
- Yes$49 @ 68.0¢
- No$333 @ 76.0¢
- No$87 @ 29.1¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 58.5¢
- No$823 @ 83.7¢
- Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?ПоражениеNo$128 @ 68.0¢
- Yes$305 @ 40.8¢
- Yes$177 @ 59.0¢
- Yes$173 @ 86.3¢
- Israel strikes Gaza by October 31?ПоражениеNo$354 @ 20.8¢
- No$741 @ 67.5¢
- No$1.7k @ 75.0¢
- No$17 @ 87.0¢
- Nothing Ever Happens ПобедаYes$131 @ 85.9¢
- No$422 @ 84.0¢
- No$74 @ 43.8¢
- No$927 @ 57.5¢
Недавние сделки
в реальном времени с Polymarket · нажмите на столбец для сортировкиЗагрузка недавних сделок…
Текущие позиции
| Рынок | Сфера | Исход | Размер | Вход |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | Политика | No | $1.5k | 76.5¢ |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Политика | No | $1.3k | 58.3¢ |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? | Геополитика | No | $1.1k | 82.4¢ |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? | Геополитика | No | $930 | 75.2¢ |
| Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? | Геополитика | No | $731 | 58.2¢ |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | Геополитика | Yes | $480 | 24.0¢ |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | Политика | Yes | $208 | 52.0¢ |
| Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? | Геополитика | No | $170 | 94.2¢ |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Политика | Yes | $168 | 56.0¢ |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026? | Геополитика | Yes | $104 | 26.0¢ |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | Геополитика | Yes | $60 | 12.0¢ |
| China ballistic missile launch by December 31? | Геополитика | Yes | $27 | 16.0¢ |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? | Политика | No | $0 | 0.0¢ |
- No$1.5k @ 76.5¢
- No$1.3k @ 58.3¢
- No$1.1k @ 82.4¢
- No$930 @ 75.2¢
- Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?ГеополитикаNo$731 @ 58.2¢
- Yes$480 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$208 @ 52.0¢
- No$170 @ 94.2¢
- Yes$168 @ 56.0¢
- Yes$104 @ 26.0¢
- Yes$60 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$27 @ 16.0¢
- No$0 @ 0.0¢