0x6575…b198

Прибыльный

Эдж

+9.3pp

ROI

+4%

Доля побед

56% @ 47.1¢

Brier

0.058

Сделок

670

Ср. размер

$1.0k

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Политика	35% (7/20)	+6%	20
Other	0% (0/10)	-100%	10
Спорт	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Крипто	0% (0/2)	-100%	2

Политика20 ставки
Попадания
35% (7/20)
ROI
+6%
Other10 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/10)
ROI
-100%
Спорт2 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Крипто2 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%

История результатов

21% попаданий · 7/34

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	Yes	$444	9.0¢	Поражение
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	Yes	$346	2.5¢	Поражение
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?	Yes	$25	7.5¢	Поражение
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	Yes	$275	0.7¢	Поражение
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	$989	11.8¢	Поражение
Patriots vs. Seahawks	Patriots	$7	44.0¢	Поражение
Andrew Tate released from custody by August 31, 2026?	No	$8.7k	60.0¢	Победа
Andrew Tate released from custody by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$54	35.4¢	Поражение
Will John Shulli be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Поражение
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$2.5k	0.6¢	Поражение
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	$115	19.0¢	Поражение
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?	Yes	$176	1.8¢	Поражение
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	$784	10.0¢	Поражение
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	$56.9k	21.0¢	Поражение
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$438.3k	77.1¢	Победа
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17?	No	$394	12.0¢	Поражение
Lions vs. Bills	Lions	$105	8.9¢	Поражение
Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$93	4.9¢	Поражение
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	No	$17.9k	27.4¢	Поражение
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August?	Yes	$2.1k	22.0¢	Поражение
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	$37.9k	46.3¢	Поражение
Cardinals vs. 49ers	Cardinals	$996	5.0¢	Поражение
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	Yes	$5.2k	30.5¢	Поражение
Chargers vs. Bills	Chargers	$23	0.1¢	Поражение
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	$12.0k	12.0¢	Поражение
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$1.4k	1.9¢	Поражение
Dolphins vs. 49ers	Dolphins	$5.5k	11.0¢	Поражение
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	No	$1.9k	23.2¢	Победа
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	$39.5k	79.0¢	Победа
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$271	9.0¢	Поражение
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	$3.9k	24.0¢	Победа
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	No	$1.0k	24.0¢	Победа
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	$51.3k	83.3¢	Победа
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$8.2k	22.8¢	Поражение

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?Поражение
Yes$444 @ 9.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?Поражение
Yes$346 @ 2.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?Поражение
Yes$25 @ 7.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?Поражение
Yes$275 @ 0.7¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Поражение
No$989 @ 11.8¢
Patriots vs. SeahawksПоражение
Patriots$7 @ 44.0¢
Andrew Tate released from custody by August 31, 2026?Победа
No$8.7k @ 60.0¢
Andrew Tate released from custody by August 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$54 @ 35.4¢
Will John Shulli be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Поражение
Yes$2.5k @ 0.6¢
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Поражение
Yes$115 @ 19.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?Поражение
Yes$176 @ 1.8¢
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Поражение
No$784 @ 10.0¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Поражение
No$56.9k @ 21.0¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Победа
Yes$438.3k @ 77.1¢
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17?Поражение
No$394 @ 12.0¢
Lions vs. BillsПоражение
Lions$105 @ 8.9¢
Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Поражение
Yes$93 @ 4.9¢
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Поражение
No$17.9k @ 27.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August?Поражение
Yes$2.1k @ 22.0¢
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Поражение
Yes$37.9k @ 46.3¢
Cardinals vs. 49ersПоражение
Cardinals$996 @ 5.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?Поражение
Yes$5.2k @ 30.5¢
Chargers vs. BillsПоражение
Chargers$23 @ 0.1¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Поражение
No$12.0k @ 12.0¢
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Поражение
Yes$1.4k @ 1.9¢
Dolphins vs. 49ersПоражение
Dolphins$5.5k @ 11.0¢
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Победа
No$1.9k @ 23.2¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Победа
No$39.5k @ 79.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Поражение
Yes$271 @ 9.0¢
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Победа
Yes$3.9k @ 24.0¢
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Победа
No$1.0k @ 24.0¢
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Победа
No$51.3k @ 83.3¢
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Поражение
Yes$8.2k @ 22.8¢

Недавние сделки

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Текущие позиции

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Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Политика	No	$187.0k	66.8¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Политика	Yes	$42.3k	15.0¢
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Политика	No	$29.9k	92.5¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Политика	Yes	$21.1k	16.7¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	Геополитика	Yes	$6.6k	6.0¢
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	Бизнес	Yes	$6.0k	59.7¢
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Политика	Yes	$3.4k	19.0¢
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Политика	Yes	$2.8k	50.0¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Политика	No	$1.9k	41.5¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Политика	No	$586	26.0¢
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Политика	Yes	$449	26.0¢
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	Технологии	Yes	$424	17.0¢
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	Бизнес	Yes	$341	87.0¢
Will Kirsten Gillibrand vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	Политика	Yes	$187	20.3¢
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 9, 2026?	Технологии	No	$27	77.0¢

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Политика
No$187.0k @ 66.8¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Политика
Yes$42.3k @ 15.0¢
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Политика
No$29.9k @ 92.5¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Политика
Yes$21.1k @ 16.7¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Геополитика
Yes$6.6k @ 6.0¢
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Бизнес
Yes$6.0k @ 59.7¢
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Политика
Yes$3.4k @ 19.0¢
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Политика
Yes$2.8k @ 50.0¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Политика
No$1.9k @ 41.5¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Политика
No$586 @ 26.0¢
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Политика
Yes$449 @ 26.0¢
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Технологии
Yes$424 @ 17.0¢
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Бизнес
Yes$341 @ 87.0¢
Will Kirsten Gillibrand vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Политика
Yes$187 @ 20.3¢
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 9, 2026?Технологии
No$27 @ 77.0¢