0x5edc…bbad

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Other501 bets

  Hit rate

  58% (293/501)

  ROI

  +10%

• Sports299 bets

  Hit rate

  25% (74/299)

  ROI

  +15%

• Politics222 bets

  Hit rate

  20% (45/222)

  ROI

  -32%

• Tech67 bets

  Hit rate

  31% (21/67)

  ROI

  -40%

• Science27 bets

  Hit rate

  74% (20/27)

  ROI

  +17%

• Economy27 bets

  Hit rate

  30% (8/27)

  ROI

  -47%

• Geopolitics14 bets

  Hit rate

  14% (2/14)

  ROI

  -9%

• Culture9 bets

  Hit rate

  56% (5/9)

  ROI

  +14%

• Business7 bets

  Hit rate

  14% (1/7)

  ROI

  -96%

• Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 20?Lost
  No$44 @ 62.0¢
• Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Won
  No$300 @ 47.9¢
• Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?Won
  No$38 @ 28.4¢
• Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 19?Won
  No$28 @ 67.0¢
• Will the June 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?Lost
  No$9 @ 87.0¢
• Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 28, 2026?Won
  No$11 @ 70.3¢
• Will Kimi Antonelli win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?Lost
  No$140 @ 66.1¢
• Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 3?Won
  No$3 @ 58.1¢
• Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on September 21?Lost
  No$17 @ 53.5¢
• Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on July 19?Won
  No$8 @ 50.7¢
• Will the lowest temperature in London be 21°C on July 7?Won
  No$6 @ 38.8¢
• Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Lost
  No$18 @ 45.0¢
• Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 5%?Won
  No$126 @ 63.2¢
• Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on September 21?Lost
  No$24 @ 69.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 2?Won
  No$12 @ 80.1¢
• Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 5?Won
  No$7 @ 45.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 100-101°F on July 4?Won
  No$23 @ 65.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 17?Won
  No$20 @ 77.5¢
• Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 3?Won
  No$7 @ 71.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on September 21?Won
  No$17 @ 47.0¢
• Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 30?Lost
  No$12 @ 33.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 2?Won
  No$21 @ 72.3¢
• Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?Lost
  No$0 @ 1.3¢
• Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Won
  No$126 @ 66.0¢
• Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  No$164 @ 84.2¢
• Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 4?Won
  No$23 @ 89.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on June 29?Lost
  No$32 @ 88.9¢
• Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on July 16?Won
  No$7 @ 67.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on September 18?Won
  No$13 @ 83.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 3?Won
  No$8 @ 87.6¢
• Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Won
  No$2.7k @ 72.8¢
• Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?Lost
  No$4 @ 13.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 3?Won
  No$4 @ 67.0¢
• Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Won
  No$34 @ 85.2¢
• Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Won
  No$13 @ 83.0¢
• Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?Won
  No$37 @ 85.2¢
• Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?Lost
  No$47 @ 62.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on August 11?Won
  No$20 @ 57.0¢
• Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?Won
  No$13 @ 88.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 3?Won
  No$19 @ 75.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 17?Won
  No$28 @ 81.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 17?Won
  No$306 @ 71.7¢
• Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on August 13?Won
  No$13 @ 49.0¢
• Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  No$9 @ 84.3¢
• Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?Won
  No$3 @ 53.5¢
• Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or below on July 4?Lost
  No$47 @ 40.2¢
• Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on August 31?Won
  No$11 @ 77.0¢
• Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 24m?Lost
  No$8 @ 20.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on July 3?Won
  No$22 @ 86.0¢
• Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Lost
  No$26 @ 50.1¢

Current positions

• Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture
  No$80 @ 99.6¢
• Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture
  No$80 @ 99.6¢
• Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture
  No$80 @ 99.6¢
• Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture
  No$80 @ 99.6¢
• Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture
  No$80 @ 99.6¢
• Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture
  No$80 @ 99.5¢
• Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  No$80 @ 99.4¢
• Will Geraldo Alckmin finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  No$80 @ 99.4¢
• Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture
  No$80 @ 99.4¢
• Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  No$79 @ 99.0¢
• Will Camilo Santana finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  No$79 @ 98.6¢
• Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture
  No$79 @ 98.4¢
• Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  No$79 @ 98.2¢
• Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture
  No$78 @ 97.0¢
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  No$78 @ 96.9¢
• Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture
  No$71 @ 89.0¢
• Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  No$70 @ 88.0¢
• Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$51 @ 3.1¢
• Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$51 @ 3.1¢
• Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture
  No$22 @ 27.5¢
• Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$20 @ 3.1¢
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech
  No$17 @ 49.7¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  No$17 @ 21.0¢
• Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy
  Yes$17 @ 7.7¢
• Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy
  Yes$17 @ 7.7¢
• Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy
  Yes$17 @ 7.7¢
• Will Sacramento Kings win the 2027 NBA Finals?Sports
  Yes$16 @ 2.8¢
• Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
  Yes$15 @ 9.2¢
• Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals?Sports
  Yes$15 @ 2.8¢
• Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
  Yes$14 @ 3.6¢