0x5edc…bbad

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Other888 bets

  Hit rate

  59% (524/888)

  ROI

  +2%

• Politics463 bets

  Hit rate

  20% (92/463)

  ROI

  -24%

• Sports399 bets

  Hit rate

  23% (91/399)

  ROI

  +11%

• Tech143 bets

  Hit rate

  22% (31/143)

  ROI

  -40%

• Economy38 bets

  Hit rate

  32% (12/38)

  ROI

  -33%

• Science28 bets

  Hit rate

  71% (20/28)

  ROI

  +17%

• Geopolitics21 bets

  Hit rate

  19% (4/21)

  ROI

  -10%

• Culture21 bets

  Hit rate

  48% (10/21)

  ROI

  -18%

• Business7 bets

  Hit rate

  14% (1/7)

  ROI

  -96%

• Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?Lost
  Yes$7 @ 3.6¢
• Will voter turnout be <48% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 16.7¢
• Will voter turnout be 51-54% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Lost
  Yes$8 @ 16.7¢
• Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on August 14?Won
  No$4 @ 83.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 20?Lost
  No$44 @ 62.0¢
• Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Won
  No$300 @ 47.9¢
• Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?Lost
  No$14 @ 55.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on July 30?Lost
  No$36 @ 58.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on September 16?Won
  No$39 @ 70.6¢
• Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 30?Lost
  No$290 @ 69.1¢
• Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 19?Won
  No$28 @ 67.0¢
• Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?Won
  No$84 @ 52.3¢
• Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Won
  No$7 @ 89.9¢
• Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on July 21?Lost
  No$7 @ 49.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 10?Won
  No$11 @ 72.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on August 5?Won
  No$32 @ 81.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 17?Won
  No$22 @ 87.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 24?Lost
  No$27 @ 36.8¢
• Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Won
  No$37 @ 74.6¢
• Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on September 21?Lost
  No$17 @ 53.5¢
• Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 24?Won
  No$28 @ 60.8¢
• Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 5%?Won
  No$126 @ 63.2¢
• Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on September 21?Lost
  No$24 @ 69.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 30?Won
  No$28 @ 68.8¢
• Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 17?Won
  No$20 @ 77.5¢
• Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 1?Lost
  No$60 @ 85.0¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get between 63 and 64 million views on day 4?Won
  No$2 @ 65.0¢
• Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Won
  No$58 @ 71.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 25?Lost
  No$19 @ 63.4¢
• Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on September 21?Won
  No$17 @ 47.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on August 7?Lost
  No$21 @ 36.3¢
• Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 18?Lost
  No$8 @ 53.0¢
• Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Won
  No$61 @ 76.0¢
• Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Won
  No$70 @ 87.0¢
• Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Won
  No$41 @ 36.0¢
• Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?Lost
  No$31 @ 77.0¢
• Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?Lost
  No$28 @ 71.1¢
• Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?Won
  No$70 @ 57.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 26?Won
  No$17 @ 68.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on September 18?Won
  No$13 @ 83.0¢
• Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Won
  No$397 @ 55.2¢
• Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 14?Won
  No$4 @ 79.0¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?Won
  No$11 @ 28.0¢
• Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Lost
  No$21 @ 82.5¢
• Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 12?Lost
  No$16 @ 39.1¢
• Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 12?Won
  Yes$18 @ 70.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 5?Won
  No$32 @ 80.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 14?Lost
  No$46 @ 85.2¢
• Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás?Lost
  No$20 @ 25.4¢
• Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás?Won
  Yes$42 @ 69.0¢

Current positions

• Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Tech
  Yes$90 @ 14.4¢
• Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Tech
  Yes$90 @ 14.4¢
• Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Tech
  Yes$84 @ 14.3¢
• Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Tech
  Yes$84 @ 14.3¢
• Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Tech
  Yes$84 @ 14.3¢
• Will any Moroccan city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?—
  No$71 @ 88.0¢
• Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?—
  No$54 @ 67.0¢
• Will Aviv Kohavi be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
  Yes$45 @ 3.3¢
• Will Daniel Hagari be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
  Yes$45 @ 3.3¢
• Will Eli Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
  Yes$45 @ 3.3¢
• Will Discord’s market cap be $20B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Tech
  Yes$43 @ 9.0¢
• Will Discord’s market cap be between $14B and $17B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Tech
  Yes$43 @ 9.0¢
• Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
  Yes$43 @ 3.3¢
• Will Tom Aspinall be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Sports
  No$40 @ 99.2¢
• Will Fjord win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture
  No$39 @ 98.0¢
• Will Alexander Volkov be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Sports
  No$38 @ 95.0¢
• Will Digger win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture
  No$38 @ 94.7¢
• Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture
  No$38 @ 94.0¢
• Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics
  No$35 @ 50.7¢
• Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture
  No$35 @ 87.0¢
• Will Sebastian Stan win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture
  No$34 @ 98.0¢
• Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics
  No$34 @ 48.3¢
• Will Pedro Pascal win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture
  No$34 @ 97.0¢
• Will John Turturro win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture
  No$33 @ 96.8¢
• Will Jeremy Strong win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture
  No$33 @ 95.0¢
• Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture
  No$32 @ 81.0¢
• Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture
  No$31 @ 91.0¢
• Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture
  No$31 @ 90.0¢
• Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
  Yes$30 @ 3.2¢
• Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
  Yes$30 @ 3.2¢