0x3437…f8f3

Профі

Едж

+13.9pp

ROI

+95%

Частка перемог

50% @ 36.2¢

Brier

0.211

Угод

1193

Сер. розмір

$91

Динаміка ROI

Спеціалізація за сферами

Сфера	Влучання	ROI	Ставки
Політика	44% (24/55)	+101%	55
Other	47% (18/38)	-26%	38
Геополітика	27% (3/11)	+3%	11
Технології	20% (2/10)	-10%	10
Крипто	33% (1/3)	-14%	3
Спорт	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Економіка	100% (1/1)	+43%	1

Політика55 ставки
Влучання
44% (24/55)
ROI
+101%
Other38 ставки
Влучання
47% (18/38)
ROI
-26%
Геополітика11 ставки
Влучання
27% (3/11)
ROI
+3%
Технології10 ставки
Влучання
20% (2/10)
ROI
-10%
Крипто3 ставки
Влучання
33% (1/3)
ROI
-14%
Спорт1 ставки
Влучання
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Економіка1 ставки
Влучання
100% (1/1)
ROI
+43%

Історія результатів

41% влучень · 49/119

Ринок	Результат	Розмір	Вхід	Підсумок
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$490	49.0¢	Перемога
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$35	1.3¢	Поразка
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?	No	$236	58.9¢	Поразка
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?	Yes	$125	25.0¢	Поразка
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?	No	$76	38.0¢	Поразка
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?	Yes	$244	85.3¢	Перемога
Will William Clouston get second place in the Clacton by-election?	Yes	$24	8.0¢	Поразка
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?	Yes	$630	63.0¢	Перемога
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	$17	34.0¢	Перемога
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$265	34.0¢	Поразка
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?	Yes	$26	2.6¢	Поразка
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	No	$5	50.0¢	Перемога
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	No	$400	80.0¢	Перемога
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	Yes	$2.5k	49.1¢	Поразка
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	$350	35.0¢	Перемога
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	Yes	$109	21.8¢	Поразка
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?	No	$110	11.0¢	Поразка
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?	Yes	$79	72.0¢	Перемога
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?	Yes	$610	61.0¢	Перемога
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$801	21.9¢	Поразка
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?	Yes	$205	41.0¢	Поразка
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$176	44.0¢	Поразка
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?	No	$400	80.0¢	Перемога
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	$478	47.4¢	Перемога
Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?	No	$1.0k	94.0¢	Перемога
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 24, 2026?	Yes	$296	28.0¢	Поразка
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	No	$319	21.5¢	Поразка
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?	No	$490	61.3¢	Перемога
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	Yes	$480	16.0¢	Поразка
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?	Yes	$38	1.5¢	Поразка
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?	No	$314	68.2¢	Перемога
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$710	71.0¢	Перемога
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	Yes	$500	57.0¢	Поразка
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	No	$450	90.0¢	Перемога
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?	No	$528	58.9¢	Перемога
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?	Yes	$18	9.0¢	Поразка
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	$765	6.2¢	Поразка
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?	Yes	$3.9k	37.1¢	Перемога
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	$17	3.5¢	Поразка
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?	No	$336	56.0¢	Перемога
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	$468	5.9¢	Поразка
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	$49	4.9¢	Поразка
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	$523	52.3¢	Поразка
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	No	$1.4k	66.2¢	Поразка
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?	Yes	$1.3k	59.2¢	Перемога
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?	Yes	$154	8.9¢	Поразка
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	$114	4.7¢	Поразка
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	No	$302	21.5¢	Поразка
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	$563	29.7¢	Перемога
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?	Yes	$2.3k	83.4¢	Перемога

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Перемога
Yes$490 @ 49.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Поразка
Yes$35 @ 1.3¢
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?Поразка
No$236 @ 58.9¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?Поразка
Yes$125 @ 25.0¢
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?Поразка
No$76 @ 38.0¢
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?Перемога
Yes$244 @ 85.3¢
Will William Clouston get second place in the Clacton by-election?Поразка
Yes$24 @ 8.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?Перемога
Yes$630 @ 63.0¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Перемога
No$17 @ 34.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Поразка
Yes$265 @ 34.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Поразка
Yes$26 @ 2.6¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Перемога
No$5 @ 50.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Перемога
No$400 @ 80.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Поразка
Yes$2.5k @ 49.1¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Перемога
Yes$350 @ 35.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Поразка
Yes$109 @ 21.8¢
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Поразка
No$110 @ 11.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?Перемога
Yes$79 @ 72.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Перемога
Yes$610 @ 61.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Поразка
Yes$801 @ 21.9¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Поразка
Yes$205 @ 41.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Поразка
Yes$176 @ 44.0¢
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?Перемога
No$400 @ 80.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Перемога
Yes$478 @ 47.4¢
Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?Перемога
No$1.0k @ 94.0¢
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 24, 2026?Поразка
Yes$296 @ 28.0¢
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Поразка
No$319 @ 21.5¢
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?Перемога
No$490 @ 61.3¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Поразка
Yes$480 @ 16.0¢
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Поразка
Yes$38 @ 1.5¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Перемога
No$314 @ 68.2¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?Перемога
Yes$710 @ 71.0¢
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Поразка
Yes$500 @ 57.0¢
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Перемога
No$450 @ 90.0¢
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Перемога
No$528 @ 58.9¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Поразка
Yes$18 @ 9.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Поразка
Yes$765 @ 6.2¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Перемога
Yes$3.9k @ 37.1¢
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?Поразка
Yes$17 @ 3.5¢
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Перемога
No$336 @ 56.0¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Поразка
Yes$468 @ 5.9¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Поразка
Yes$49 @ 4.9¢
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Поразка
Yes$523 @ 52.3¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Поразка
No$1.4k @ 66.2¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Перемога
Yes$1.3k @ 59.2¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?Поразка
Yes$154 @ 8.9¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Поразка
Yes$114 @ 4.7¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Поразка
No$302 @ 21.5¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Перемога
Yes$563 @ 29.7¢
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Перемога
Yes$2.3k @ 83.4¢

Останні угоди

у реальному часі з Polymarket · натисніть на стовпець для сортування

Завантаження останніх угод…

Поточні позиції

Ринок	Сфера	Результат	Розмір	Вхід
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	—	Yes	$2.1k	10.4¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Політика	Yes	$640	64.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	—	Yes	$610	61.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Політика	Yes	$495	33.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	—	Yes	$486	15.4¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	—	Yes	$445	37.1¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	—	Yes	$400	80.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Політика	Yes	$340	34.0¢
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	Політика	No	$320	64.0¢
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	—	No	$315	63.0¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Політика	No	$304	76.0¢
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Геополітика	Yes	$274	18.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	—	Yes	$132	22.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?	—	Yes	$84	2.8¢
Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel in US custody by December 31?	Політика	Yes	$46	14.0¢

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?—
Yes$2.1k @ 10.4¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Політика
Yes$640 @ 64.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?—
Yes$610 @ 61.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Політика
Yes$495 @ 33.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?—
Yes$486 @ 15.4¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?—
Yes$445 @ 37.1¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?—
Yes$400 @ 80.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Політика
Yes$340 @ 34.0¢
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Політика
No$320 @ 64.0¢
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?—
No$315 @ 63.0¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Політика
No$304 @ 76.0¢
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Геополітика
Yes$274 @ 18.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?—
Yes$132 @ 22.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?—
Yes$84 @ 2.8¢
Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel in US custody by December 31?Політика
Yes$46 @ 14.0¢