← Smart money
0xfffa…b631
SharpEdge
+13.8pp
ROI
+27%
Win rate
76% @ 62.2¢
Brier
0.110
Resolved
150
Avg size
$40
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 68% (15/22) | +13% | 22 |
| Other | 100% (2/2) | +27% | 2 |
- Politics22 bets
- Hit rate
- 68% (15/22)
- ROI
- +13%
- Other2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +27%
Track record
71% hit · 17/24- No$281 @ 75.6¢
- No$433 @ 86.6¢
- No$306 @ 76.1¢
- No$295 @ 19.2¢
- No$312 @ 86.8¢
- No$230 @ 75.9¢
- No$456 @ 69.1¢
- Yes$534 @ 89.0¢
- No$34 @ 87.9¢
- No$177 @ 88.0¢
- No$106 @ 8.1¢
- No$52 @ 85.0¢
- No$532 @ 87.6¢
- No$59 @ 77.0¢
- No$135 @ 72.8¢
- No$350 @ 87.0¢
- No$525 @ 88.5¢
- No$690 @ 67.4¢
- No$68 @ 34.0¢
- No$130 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 3.6¢
- No$134 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$91 @ 11.2¢
- Yes$755 @ 81.7¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | Politics | No | $749 | 83.2¢ |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026? | Politics | No | $454 | 69.1¢ |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026? | Politics | No | $281 | 75.6¢ |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026? | — | No | $139 | 84.2¢ |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | Politics | No | $105 | 8.1¢ |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $86 | 11.2¢ |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $6 | 3.6¢ |
- No$749 @ 83.2¢
- No$454 @ 69.1¢
- No$281 @ 75.6¢
- No$139 @ 84.2¢
- No$105 @ 8.1¢
- Yes$86 @ 11.2¢
- Yes$6 @ 3.6¢