← Smart money
0xffa0…cd4a
ProfitableEdge
+33.6pp
ROI
+48%
Win rate
54% @ 20.0¢
Brier
0.377
Resolved
56
Avg size
$55
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 57% (8/14) | +79% | 14 |
| Other | 15% (2/13) | -97% | 13 |
- Politics14 bets
- Hit rate
- 57% (8/14)
- ROI
- +79%
- Other13 bets
- Hit rate
- 15% (2/13)
- ROI
- -97%
Track record
37% hit · 10/27- No$9 @ 83.2¢
- Yes$54 @ 28.7¢
- Yes$13 @ 21.8¢
- Yes$8 @ 4.7¢
- Yes$40 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 8.9¢
- Yes$140 @ 5.8¢
- Yes$16 @ 36.0¢
- Yes$226 @ 1.2¢
- Yes$88 @ 8.9¢
- Yes$17 @ 15.0¢
- Yes$68 @ 47.6¢
- No$51 @ 40.9¢
- Yes$52 @ 24.6¢
- Yes$40 @ 5.6¢
- Yes$19 @ 10.8¢
- Yes$240 @ 30.1¢
- No$17 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$453 @ 78.4¢
- Yes$30 @ 0.3¢
- No$10 @ 11.9¢
- Yes$341 @ 81.6¢
- Yes$111 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$505 @ 73.9¢
- Yes$503 @ 83.2¢
- Yes$15 @ 26.5¢
- No$5 @ 80.4¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá? | Politics | Yes | $607 | 71.0¢ |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas? | Politics | Yes | $300 | 46.6¢ |
| Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31? | Politics | Yes | $200 | 7.5¢ |
| Will Professora Maria do Carmo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election? | Politics | Yes | $30 | 30.5¢ |
- Yes$607 @ 71.0¢
- Yes$300 @ 46.6¢
- Yes$200 @ 7.5¢
- Yes$30 @ 30.5¢