← Smart money
0xfed7…e405
ProfitableEdge
+3.0pp
ROI
+4%
Win rate
55% @ 52.2¢
Brier
0.205
Resolved
1710
Avg size
$9
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 50% (269/538) | +3% | 538 |
| Sports | 57% (36/63) | +0% | 63 |
- Other538 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (269/538)
- ROI
- +3%
- Sports63 bets
- Hit rate
- 57% (36/63)
- ROI
- +0%
Track record
51% hit · 305/601- Seattle Mariners$34 @ 56.0¢
- No$152 @ 47.6¢
- Houston Astros$15 @ 74.0¢
- Houston Astros$17 @ 86.0¢
- Houston Astros$5 @ 23.0¢
- Seattle Mariners$5 @ 24.0¢
- San Diego Padres$7 @ 32.0¢
- San Diego Padres$42 @ 70.0¢
- Athletics$5 @ 27.0¢
- Athletics$56 @ 34.9¢
- Athletics$12 @ 59.0¢
- Athletics$19 @ 47.0¢
- No$33 @ 83.0¢
- América de Cali$4 @ 21.0¢
- No$21 @ 35.3¢
- América de Cali$26 @ 44.0¢
- Toronto Blue Jays$16 @ 39.0¢
- No$4 @ 89.0¢
- Washington Nationals$13 @ 63.0¢
- No$7 @ 66.0¢
- No$13 @ 31.0¢
- New York Mets$19 @ 31.0¢
- No$107 @ 65.5¢
- CA Lanús$17 @ 27.3¢
- Commanders$7 @ 68.0¢
- No$87 @ 47.3¢
- No$0 @ 67.0¢
- Colorado Rockies$32 @ 71.0¢
- New York Yankees$18 @ 44.5¢
- No$16 @ 81.0¢
- St. Louis Cardinals$13 @ 62.0¢
- No$47 @ 76.7¢
- Cleveland Guardians$4 @ 19.0¢
- Juventus FC$34 @ 41.8¢
- San Diego Padres$69 @ 61.7¢
- No$4 @ 42.0¢
- New York Yankees$256 @ 54.3¢
- RC Deportivo A Coruña$15 @ 73.0¢
- Club Tijuana$12 @ 14.0¢
- No$52 @ 51.2¢
- No$63 @ 51.3¢
- No$16 @ 77.0¢
- No$66 @ 71.9¢
- New York Mets$38 @ 37.0¢
- No$15 @ 73.0¢
- No$7 @ 34.0¢
- Los Angeles Angels$17 @ 26.7¢
- No$9 @ 21.0¢
- Lions$2 @ 10.0¢
- No$18 @ 75.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Vancouver FC win on 2026-09-23? | Sports | No | $152 | 47.6¢ |
| Spread: Athletics (-3.5) | — | Athletics | $56 | 34.9¢ |
| Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) | Sports | San Diego Padres | $42 | 70.0¢ |
| Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5) | Sports | Seattle Mariners | $34 | 56.0¢ |
| Will América de Cali vs. Águilas Doradas Rionegro end in a draw? | Sports | No | $33 | 83.0¢ |
| Spread: América de Cali (-1.5) | Sports | América de Cali | $26 | 44.0¢ |
| Will América de Cali win on 2026-09-23? | Sports | No | $21 | 35.3¢ |
| Spread: Athletics (-2.5) | — | Athletics | $19 | 47.0¢ |
| Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5) | Sports | Houston Astros | $17 | 86.0¢ |
| Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5) | Sports | Houston Astros | $15 | 74.0¢ |
| Spread: Athletics (-1.5) | — | Athletics | $12 | 59.0¢ |
| Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5) | Sports | San Diego Padres | $7 | 32.0¢ |
| Spread: Athletics (-4.5) | — | Athletics | $5 | 27.0¢ |
| Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5) | Sports | Seattle Mariners | $5 | 24.0¢ |
| Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5) | Sports | Houston Astros | $5 | 23.0¢ |
| Spread: América de Cali (-2.5) | Sports | América de Cali | $4 | 21.0¢ |
- No$152 @ 47.6¢
- Athletics$56 @ 34.9¢
- San Diego Padres$42 @ 70.0¢
- Seattle Mariners$34 @ 56.0¢
- No$33 @ 83.0¢
- América de Cali$26 @ 44.0¢
- No$21 @ 35.3¢
- Athletics$19 @ 47.0¢
- Houston Astros$17 @ 86.0¢
- Houston Astros$15 @ 74.0¢
- Athletics$12 @ 59.0¢
- San Diego Padres$7 @ 32.0¢
- Athletics$5 @ 27.0¢
- Seattle Mariners$5 @ 24.0¢
- Houston Astros$5 @ 23.0¢
- América de Cali$4 @ 21.0¢