0xfea3…d227

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xfea31bc088000ff909be1dfd8d0e3f2c7ef2d227
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+18.2pp

ROI

+55%

Win rate

65% @ 47.2¢

Brier

0.235

Resolved

765

Avg size

$1.7k

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	67% (129/193)	+14%	193
Other	62% (48/77)	+33%	77
Geopolitics	33% (1/3)	-94%	3
Economy	33% (1/3)	-7%	3
Politics	50% (1/2)	-77%	2
Crypto	100% (1/1)	+1%	1

Sports193 bets
Hit rate
67% (129/193)
ROI
+14%
Other77 bets
Hit rate
62% (48/77)
ROI
+33%
Geopolitics3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
-94%
Economy3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
-7%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-77%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+1%

Track record

65% hit · 181/279

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title?	Yes	$112	56.0¢	Lost
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 AL East title?	Yes	$60	30.0¢	Won
Spread: Packers (-6.5)	Jets	$573	61.0¢	Won
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	No	$1.2k	63.0¢	Lost
Will Belgium be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?	Yes	$479	73.6¢	Won
Will North America Win the WSOP Main Event	No	$84	15.0¢	Lost
Will North America Win the WSOP Main Event	Yes	$1.7k	81.9¢	Won
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	No	$19.8k	54.0¢	Lost
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)	St. Louis Cardinals	$7.7k	30.7¢	Lost
Colts vs. Chiefs	Chiefs	$31.3k	61.0¢	Won
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	Over	$16	45.0¢	Won
Will Morocco reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$3.4k	22.3¢	Lost
Spread: Patriots (-9.5)	Steelers	$77	65.0¢	Lost
Will Spain win the World Cup?	Yes	$447	22.5¢	Won
Will the Bears win the season series against the Vikings during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	$339	56.5¢	Won
Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	Yes	$80	63.0¢	Won
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	$775	39.0¢	Won
Will England be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?	No	$70	76.0¢	Won
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$3.9k	16.4¢	Lost
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	$1.1k	30.0¢	Lost
France vs. Spain: France O/U 0.5	Under	$952	29.0¢	Won
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	$74	19.0¢	Lost
Will Brandon Nakashima Win ATP Montreal	No	$98	68.3¢	Won
Will Brandon Nakashima Win ATP Montreal	Yes	$47	10.0¢	Lost
Giants vs. Rams	Rams	$51.4k	72.0¢	Won
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	$1.6k	40.3¢	Lost
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	$10	56.1¢	Won
Colts vs. Chiefs: O/U 48.5	Under	$487	48.0¢	Lost
Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1.4k	65.0¢	Won
Will Norway be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?	Yes	$690	64.7¢	Won
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners	Under	$306	51.0¢	Lost
Spread: Packers (-3.5)	Jets	$711	54.0¢	Won
Newcastle United FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5	Over	$1.2k	81.0¢	Won
Will MOUZ Win the BLAST Open Porto 2026?	No	$20.6k	81.0¢	Won
Will Colombia be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	Yes	$941	38.9¢	Won
Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16?	No	$117.4k	54.0¢	Won
Will Arthur Fils Win ATP Montreal	No	$57	85.6¢	Won
Will Arthur Fils Win ATP Montreal	Yes	$335	16.0¢	Lost
Will Jakub Mensik Win ATP Montreal	No	$137	86.0¢	Won
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	$18.0k	61.5¢	Won
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. SSG Landers	SSG Landers	$55	50.0¢	Won
Spread: Bills (-5.5)	Lions	$0	15.0¢	Lost
Colts vs. Chiefs: O/U 47.5	Under	$75	45.0¢	Lost
Commanders vs. Cowboys	Cowboys	$58.2k	66.0¢	Won
Colts vs. Chiefs: O/U 49.5	Under	$1.3k	47.0¢	Lost
Will Belgium reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$552	76.4¢	Won
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	$270	45.0¢	Lost
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	$471	62.0¢	Won
Will the semifinals be FRA vs ESP and NOR vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$10	77.0¢	Won
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Under	$17	14.4¢	Lost

Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title?Lost
Yes$112 @ 56.0¢
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 AL East title?Won
Yes$60 @ 30.0¢
Spread: Packers (-6.5)Won
Jets$573 @ 61.0¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?Lost
No$1.2k @ 63.0¢
Will Belgium be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?Won
Yes$479 @ 73.6¢
Will North America Win the WSOP Main EventLost
No$84 @ 15.0¢
Will North America Win the WSOP Main EventWon
Yes$1.7k @ 81.9¢
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Lost
No$19.8k @ 54.0¢
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Lost
St. Louis Cardinals$7.7k @ 30.7¢
Colts vs. ChiefsWon
Chiefs$31.3k @ 61.0¢
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 9.5 Total CornersWon
Over$16 @ 45.0¢
Will Morocco reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$3.4k @ 22.3¢
Spread: Patriots (-9.5)Lost
Steelers$77 @ 65.0¢
Will Spain win the World Cup?Won
Yes$447 @ 22.5¢
Will the Bears win the season series against the Vikings during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Won
No$339 @ 56.5¢
Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?Won
Yes$80 @ 63.0¢
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Won
Yes$775 @ 39.0¢
Will England be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?Won
No$70 @ 76.0¢
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
No$3.9k @ 16.4¢
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Lost
Yes$1.1k @ 30.0¢
France vs. Spain: France O/U 0.5Won
Under$952 @ 29.0¢
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Lost
Yes$74 @ 19.0¢
Will Brandon Nakashima Win ATP MontrealWon
No$98 @ 68.3¢
Will Brandon Nakashima Win ATP MontrealLost
Yes$47 @ 10.0¢
Giants vs. RamsWon
Rams$51.4k @ 72.0¢
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?Lost
No$1.6k @ 40.3¢
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?Won
Yes$10 @ 56.1¢
Colts vs. Chiefs: O/U 48.5Lost
Under$487 @ 48.0¢
Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$1.4k @ 65.0¢
Will Norway be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?Won
Yes$690 @ 64.7¢
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 10.5 Total CornersLost
Under$306 @ 51.0¢
Spread: Packers (-3.5)Won
Jets$711 @ 54.0¢
Newcastle United FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5Won
Over$1.2k @ 81.0¢
Will MOUZ Win the BLAST Open Porto 2026?Won
No$20.6k @ 81.0¢
Will Colombia be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?Won
Yes$941 @ 38.9¢
Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16?Won
No$117.4k @ 54.0¢
Will Arthur Fils Win ATP MontrealWon
No$57 @ 85.6¢
Will Arthur Fils Win ATP MontrealLost
Yes$335 @ 16.0¢
Will Jakub Mensik Win ATP MontrealWon
No$137 @ 86.0¢
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?Won
No$18.0k @ 61.5¢
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. SSG LandersWon
SSG Landers$55 @ 50.0¢
Spread: Bills (-5.5)Lost
Lions$0 @ 15.0¢
Colts vs. Chiefs: O/U 47.5Lost
Under$75 @ 45.0¢
Commanders vs. CowboysWon
Cowboys$58.2k @ 66.0¢
Colts vs. Chiefs: O/U 49.5Lost
Under$1.3k @ 47.0¢
Will Belgium reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$552 @ 76.4¢
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Lost
No$270 @ 45.0¢
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Won
Yes$471 @ 62.0¢
Will the semifinals be FRA vs ESP and NOR vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$10 @ 77.0¢
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$17 @ 14.4¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$84.5k	95.7¢
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$77.4k	90.4¢
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$77.1k	85.7¢
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$40.7k	94.5¢
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	Crypto	No	$34.4k	95.7¢
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$29.8k	96.6¢
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$29.0k	96.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$24.4k	96.6¢
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$19.0k	95.2¢
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$11.6k	98.0¢
MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?	Sports	Soto	$4.2k	27.2¢
Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title?	Sports	Yes	$2.1k	61.0¢
Will Sung-Jae Im win the 2026 Masters tournament?	—	Yes	$1.8k	1.0¢
Will Aaron Judge lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?	Sports	No	$1.1k	79.0¢
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	Sports	Yes	$985	64.0¢
Will Bryce Eldridge win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?	Sports	No	$978	97.8¢
Will Aaron Judge win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award?	Sports	No	$966	65.2¢
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$655	95.0¢
Will Matt Olson hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Sports	No	$485	97.0¢
MLB: Scorigami in 2026?	Sports	No	$426	85.0¢
Will Taylor Ward lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?	Sports	No	$366	97.6¢
KBO: LG Twins vs. NC Dinos	Sports	LG Twins	$288	50.0¢
Will Garrett Crochet win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Sports	No	$272	96.2¢
Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?	Sports	No	$246	63.9¢
KBO: LG Twins vs. Samsung Lions	Sports	Samsung Lions	$203	47.3¢
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Kia Tigers	Sports	Samsung Lions	$195	50.0¢
Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title?	Sports	Yes	$112	56.0¢
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Lotte Giants	Sports	Hanwha Eagles	$103	52.0¢
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 AL East title?	Sports	Yes	$60	30.0¢
Will Tarik Skubal strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Sports	No	$58	76.7¢

Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$84.5k @ 95.7¢
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$77.4k @ 90.4¢
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$77.1k @ 85.7¢
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$40.7k @ 94.5¢
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?Crypto
No$34.4k @ 95.7¢
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$29.8k @ 96.6¢
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$29.0k @ 96.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$24.4k @ 96.6¢
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$19.0k @ 95.2¢
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$11.6k @ 98.0¢
MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?Sports
Soto$4.2k @ 27.2¢
Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title?Sports
Yes$2.1k @ 61.0¢
Will Sung-Jae Im win the 2026 Masters tournament?—
Yes$1.8k @ 1.0¢
Will Aaron Judge lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?Sports
No$1.1k @ 79.0¢
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Sports
Yes$985 @ 64.0¢
Will Bryce Eldridge win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?Sports
No$978 @ 97.8¢
Will Aaron Judge win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award?Sports
No$966 @ 65.2¢
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$655 @ 95.0¢
Will Matt Olson hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?Sports
No$485 @ 97.0¢
MLB: Scorigami in 2026?Sports
No$426 @ 85.0¢
Will Taylor Ward lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?Sports
No$366 @ 97.6¢
KBO: LG Twins vs. NC DinosSports
LG Twins$288 @ 50.0¢
Will Garrett Crochet win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?Sports
No$272 @ 96.2¢
Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?Sports
No$246 @ 63.9¢
KBO: LG Twins vs. Samsung LionsSports
Samsung Lions$203 @ 47.3¢
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Kia TigersSports
Samsung Lions$195 @ 50.0¢
Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title?Sports
Yes$112 @ 56.0¢
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Lotte GiantsSports
Hanwha Eagles$103 @ 52.0¢
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 AL East title?Sports
Yes$60 @ 30.0¢
Will Tarik Skubal strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?Sports
No$58 @ 76.7¢