0xfdf2…23e3

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xfdf2044cfc60a9c5e792b31d06e8903f301723e3
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+10.0pp

ROI

+240%

Win rate

25% @ 14.6¢

Brier

0.230

Resolved

228

Avg size

$168

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	43% (13/30)	+13%	30
Sports	14% (1/7)	+792%	7

Other30 bets
Hit rate
43% (13/30)
ROI
+13%
Sports7 bets
Hit rate
14% (1/7)
ROI
+792%

Track record

38% hit · 14/37

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 4.5	Over	$1.8k	39.3¢	Won
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 206.5	Over	$578	20.0¢	Lost
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5	Over	$732	67.6¢	Won
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5	Under	$156	11.6¢	Lost
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5	Over	$550	33.5¢	Lost
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)	76ers	$1000	54.0¢	Won
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	Over	$1.7k	27.0¢	Lost
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?	Yes	$1.6k	3.9¢	Lost
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 205.5	Over	$219	14.2¢	Lost
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$713	0.6¢	Lost
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 206.5	Over	$1000	45.4¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?	Yes	$75	0.4¢	Lost
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5	Over	$3.0k	57.1¢	Won
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5	Under	$3	12.0¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	Yes	$884	8.3¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	$316	10.0¢	Lost
Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 216.5	Over	$1.3k	82.2¢	Won
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$3.2k	3.1¢	Won
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$1.1k	1.2¢	Lost
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?	Yes	$1.1k	9.3¢	Lost
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$3.9k	3.0¢	Lost
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)	Magic	$800	49.0¢	Won
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 214.5	Over	$1.1k	25.0¢	Lost
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 207.5	Over	$223	65.9¢	Lost
Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 235.5	Under	$100	4.0¢	Lost
76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	$200	12.0¢	Won
Spread: Thunder (-19.5)	Suns	$1000	59.0¢	Won
Suns vs. Thunder	Suns	$200	9.0¢	Lost
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 207.5	Over	$35	5.0¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	Yes	$32	0.5¢	Lost
Heat vs. Cavaliers	Heat	$2.9k	83.3¢	Won
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 233.5	Under	$15	21.0¢	Won
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5	Over	$534	52.2¢	Lost
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$1.4k	1.4¢	Lost
Pelicans vs. Pistons	Pistons	$3.0k	80.0¢	Won
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$576	0.6¢	Lost
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$650	1.3¢	Lost

FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 4.5Won
Over$1.8k @ 39.3¢
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 206.5Lost
Over$578 @ 20.0¢
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5Won
Over$732 @ 67.6¢
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5Lost
Under$156 @ 11.6¢
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Lost
Over$550 @ 33.5¢
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)Won
76ers$1000 @ 54.0¢
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$1.7k @ 27.0¢
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?Lost
Yes$1.6k @ 3.9¢
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 205.5Lost
Over$219 @ 14.2¢
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?Lost
Yes$713 @ 0.6¢
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 206.5Won
Over$1000 @ 45.4¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?Lost
Yes$75 @ 0.4¢
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5Won
Over$3.0k @ 57.1¢
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5Lost
Under$3 @ 12.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?Lost
Yes$884 @ 8.3¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Lost
Yes$316 @ 10.0¢
Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 216.5Won
Over$1.3k @ 82.2¢
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Won
Yes$3.2k @ 3.1¢
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?Lost
Yes$1.1k @ 1.2¢
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?Lost
Yes$1.1k @ 9.3¢
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Lost
Yes$3.9k @ 3.0¢
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Won
Magic$800 @ 49.0¢
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 214.5Lost
Over$1.1k @ 25.0¢
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 207.5Lost
Over$223 @ 65.9¢
Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 235.5Lost
Under$100 @ 4.0¢
76ers vs. CelticsWon
76ers$200 @ 12.0¢
Spread: Thunder (-19.5)Won
Suns$1000 @ 59.0¢
Suns vs. ThunderLost
Suns$200 @ 9.0¢
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 207.5Won
Over$35 @ 5.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?Lost
Yes$32 @ 0.5¢
Heat vs. CavaliersWon
Heat$2.9k @ 83.3¢
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 233.5Won
Under$15 @ 21.0¢
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5Lost
Over$534 @ 52.2¢
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?Lost
Yes$1.4k @ 1.4¢
Pelicans vs. PistonsWon
Pistons$3.0k @ 80.0¢
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Lost
Yes$576 @ 0.6¢
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$650 @ 1.3¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$907	0.6¢

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$907 @ 0.6¢