← Smart money
0xfde1…3690
SharpEdge
+11.3pp
ROI
+23%
Win rate
51% @ 39.8¢
Brier
0.173
Resolved
139
Avg size
$210
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 78% (31/40) | +16% | 40 |
| Geopolitics | 79% (11/14) | +3% | 14 |
| Other | 69% (9/13) | +6% | 13 |
| Sports | 58% (7/12) | -20% | 12 |
| Science | 100% (4/4) | +4% | 4 |
| Tech | 100% (2/2) | +3% | 2 |
| Economy | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Culture | 100% (1/1) | +1% | 1 |
| Business | 100% (1/1) | +2% | 1 |
- Politics40 bets
- Hit rate
- 78% (31/40)
- ROI
- +16%
- Geopolitics14 bets
- Hit rate
- 79% (11/14)
- ROI
- +3%
- Other13 bets
- Hit rate
- 69% (9/13)
- ROI
- +6%
- Sports12 bets
- Hit rate
- 58% (7/12)
- ROI
- -20%
- Science4 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (4/4)
- ROI
- +4%
- Tech2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +3%
- Economy1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Culture1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +1%
- Business1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +2%
Track record
75% hit · 66/88- No$124 @ 99.2¢
- No$1.5k @ 99.2¢
- No$2.0k @ 99.2¢
- Yes$2.0k @ 99.1¢
- No$469 @ 99.3¢
- No$341 @ 95.0¢
- Yes$2.4k @ 97.7¢
- Yes$518 @ 93.0¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 0.2¢
- No$1.6k @ 91.8¢
- Yes$51 @ 85.0¢
- No$592 @ 98.6¢
- Yes$695 @ 81.0¢
- Hike 25 bps$112 @ 13.0¢
- No$862 @ 95.0¢
- No$3.3k @ 96.1¢
- No$1.5k @ 96.9¢
- Yes$590 @ 98.4¢
- No$1 @ 3.0¢
- No$14 @ 99.0¢
- No$313 @ 99.0¢
- Yes$92 @ 92.0¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 97.7¢
- Yes$128 @ 92.1¢
- No$13 @ 99.0¢
- No$1.1k @ 26.1¢
- No$238 @ 99.6¢
- No$55 @ 95.2¢
- Yes$2.0k @ 34.4¢
- No$756 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$21 @ 51.0¢
- Yes$104 @ 35.0¢
- No$204 @ 88.8¢
- Yes$18 @ 12.0¢
- No$40 @ 29.0¢
- Yes$402 @ 13.9¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
- No$11 @ 0.3¢
- Over$3.6k @ 79.4¢
- No$109 @ 75.0¢
- No$29 @ 67.0¢
- No$422 @ 66.4¢
- No$366 @ 85.6¢
- Yes$792 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 29.0¢
- METANOIA WOLVES$872 @ 27.1¢
- No$792 @ 88.0¢
- Over$259 @ 25.0¢
- No$383 @ 76.5¢
- Over$5.2k @ 76.1¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dota 2: Rottweilas Latam vs Mena Warriors - Game 2 Winner | Sports | Mena Warriors | $6.1k | 87.8¢ |
| Will Jensen Huang join Trump at APEC in China? | Politics | No | $652 | 98.6¢ |
| Will the Xi and Takaichi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the summit? | Politics | No | $530 | 95.5¢ |
| Will Trump and Xi kiss at APEC? | Politics | No | $318 | 99.2¢ |
| Will the Xi and Takaichi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the summit? | Politics | No | $272 | 97.6¢ |
| Will Trump and Xi hug at APEC? | Politics | No | $242 | 94.1¢ |
| Will Xi and Takaichi not shake hands during the summit? | Politics | No | $174 | 87.0¢ |
| Will Steve Witkoff join Trump at APEC in China? | Politics | No | $29 | 90.0¢ |
| Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan by end of APEC trip? | Politics | No | $19 | 89.0¢ |
| Will Melania Trump join Trump at APEC in China? | Politics | No | $8 | 97.4¢ |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. join Trump at APEC in China? | Politics | No | $6 | 96.0¢ |
- Mena Warriors$6.1k @ 87.8¢
- No$652 @ 98.6¢
- No$530 @ 95.5¢
- Will Trump and Xi kiss at APEC?PoliticsNo$318 @ 99.2¢
- No$272 @ 97.6¢
- Will Trump and Xi hug at APEC?PoliticsNo$242 @ 94.1¢
- No$174 @ 87.0¢
- No$29 @ 90.0¢
- No$19 @ 89.0¢
- No$8 @ 97.4¢
- No$6 @ 96.0¢