0xfdc3…f14e

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xfdc334a096930a5380bd3c85958d172cb339f14e
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+4.0pp

ROI

+8%

Win rate

56% @ 51.9¢

Brier

0.223

Resolved

1981

Avg size

$20

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	56% (577/1022)	+10%	1022
Other	60% (84/139)	-2%	139
Science	58% (50/86)	+11%	86
Politics	48% (12/25)	-12%	25
Tech	75% (6/8)	+29%	8
Crypto	17% (1/6)	-94%	6
Culture	60% (3/5)	-9%	5

Sports1022 bets
Hit rate
56% (577/1022)
ROI
+10%
Other139 bets
Hit rate
60% (84/139)
ROI
-2%
Science86 bets
Hit rate
58% (50/86)
ROI
+11%
Politics25 bets
Hit rate
48% (12/25)
ROI
-12%
Tech8 bets
Hit rate
75% (6/8)
ROI
+29%
Crypto6 bets
Hit rate
17% (1/6)
ROI
-94%
Culture5 bets
Hit rate
60% (3/5)
ROI
-9%

Track record

57% hit · 733/1291

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	$4	58.0¢	Won
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	$2	39.0¢	Lost
Game Spread: Iga Swiatek (-5.5) vs Ann Li (+5.5)	Iga Swiatek	$41	46.8¢	Won
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Skyreavers (BO3) - DreamLeague South America Closed Qualifier Playoffs	PlayTime	$9	58.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 15?	Yes	$7	66.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 15?	Yes	$7	31.7¢	Won
PFK Mash AL Mubarek vs. AGMK FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	$16	45.0¢	Lost
Dota 2: Gorgc Team vs zxcursed Team (BO3) - 1win Streamers League #3 Group A	Gorgc Team	$25	68.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 15?	Yes	$7	43.0¢	Lost
Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 14, 2026?	No	$5	95.0¢	Won
Dota 2: Dawn Bulls vs salamit (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B	Dawn Bulls	$10	67.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C or below on October 14?	Yes	$2	34.6¢	Won
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	$3	58.0¢	Won
Dota 2: by Owl Team vs Korb3n Team - Game 2 Winner	by Owl Team	$23	65.7¢	Won
Dota 2: by Owl Team vs Korb3n Team (BO3) - 1win Streamers League #3 Group B	by Owl Team	$6	66.0¢	Won
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Como 1907: Draw at halftime?	No	$25	26.3¢	Lost
Ankara Keciorengucu vs. Igdir FK: O/U 3.5	Under	$5	73.0¢	Won
Dota 2: by Owl Team vs Korb3n Team - Game 1 Winner	by Owl Team	$4	89.0¢	Won
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Power Rangers (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs	Yellow Submarine	$10	79.0¢	Won
Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Rottweilas Latam (BO3) - DreamLeague South America Closed Qualifier Playoffs	Rottweilas Latam	$10	44.0¢	Lost
Rams vs. Eagles	Eagles	$97	37.0¢	Lost
Ravens vs. Falcons: O/U 43.5	Under	$10	51.0¢	Lost
LoL: eSuba vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage	UCAM Esports Club	$8	67.0¢	Won
Sporting Kansas City vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 5.5	Over	$10	33.0¢	Won
Colorado vs. Baylor: O/U 41.5	Over	$27	60.0¢	Lost
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner	LGD Gaming	$15	25.0¢	Lost
Titans vs. Giants	Giants	$49	61.5¢	Won
Spread: Panthers (-3.5)	Browns	$86	61.0¢	Won
LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 3 Winner	LYON	$64	48.6¢	Won
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants	Los Angeles Dodgers	$82	75.0¢	Won
Rams vs. Broncos: O/U 51.5	Under	$6	37.0¢	Lost
Arizona Diamondbacks to win the 1st inning?	No	$25	79.0¢	Lost
Spread: Clemson (-4.5)	Clemson	$38	45.3¢	Won
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	$10	52.0¢	Lost
Rams vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5	Under	$79	57.2¢	Lost
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	PARIVISION	$10	70.0¢	Lost
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	Team Spirit	$32	40.4¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner	Alliance	$15	67.0¢	Lost
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-10-03?	No	$26	39.0¢	Lost
W35 Las Vegas, NV: Yara Bartashevich vs Edda Mamedova	Yara Bartashevich	$4	69.0¢	Lost
FK Neftchi Fargona vs. Xorazm Fk Urganch: O/U 4.5	Over	$3	53.0¢	Lost
LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner	Team WE	$59	48.8¢	Lost
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)	Buccaneers	$48	40.0¢	Won
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner	Team Yandex	$10	53.0¢	Won
Spread: Chiefs (-4.5)	Chiefs	$100	52.0¢	Lost
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Valerion - Game 2 Winner	Valerion	$40	41.5¢	Lost
Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox	$123	60.0¢	Won
Dota 2: Cake Team vs SoloTeam - Game 1 Winner	Cake Team	$37	59.5¢	Won
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner	Natus Vincere	$10	45.0¢	Won
Colorado vs. Baylor: O/U 47.5	Over	$28	63.0¢	Lost

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ETWon
Up$4 @ 58.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETLost
Down$2 @ 39.0¢
Game Spread: Iga Swiatek (-5.5) vs Ann Li (+5.5)Won
Iga Swiatek$41 @ 46.8¢
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Skyreavers (BO3) - DreamLeague South America Closed Qualifier PlayoffsLost
PlayTime$9 @ 58.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 15?Won
Yes$7 @ 66.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 15?Won
Yes$7 @ 31.7¢
PFK Mash AL Mubarek vs. AGMK FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Lost
Over$16 @ 45.0¢
Dota 2: Gorgc Team vs zxcursed Team (BO3) - 1win Streamers League #3 Group AWon
Gorgc Team$25 @ 68.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 15?Lost
Yes$7 @ 43.0¢
Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 14, 2026?Won
No$5 @ 95.0¢
Dota 2: Dawn Bulls vs salamit (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group BWon
Dawn Bulls$10 @ 67.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C or below on October 14?Won
Yes$2 @ 34.6¢
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-10-14?Won
Yes$3 @ 58.0¢
Dota 2: by Owl Team vs Korb3n Team - Game 2 WinnerWon
by Owl Team$23 @ 65.7¢
Dota 2: by Owl Team vs Korb3n Team (BO3) - 1win Streamers League #3 Group BWon
by Owl Team$6 @ 66.0¢
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Como 1907: Draw at halftime?Lost
No$25 @ 26.3¢
Ankara Keciorengucu vs. Igdir FK: O/U 3.5Won
Under$5 @ 73.0¢
Dota 2: by Owl Team vs Korb3n Team - Game 1 WinnerWon
by Owl Team$4 @ 89.0¢
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Power Rangers (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsWon
Yellow Submarine$10 @ 79.0¢
Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Rottweilas Latam (BO3) - DreamLeague South America Closed Qualifier PlayoffsLost
Rottweilas Latam$10 @ 44.0¢
Rams vs. EaglesLost
Eagles$97 @ 37.0¢
Ravens vs. Falcons: O/U 43.5Lost
Under$10 @ 51.0¢
LoL: eSuba vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss StageWon
UCAM Esports Club$8 @ 67.0¢
Sporting Kansas City vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 5.5Won
Over$10 @ 33.0¢
Colorado vs. Baylor: O/U 41.5Lost
Over$27 @ 60.0¢
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerLost
LGD Gaming$15 @ 25.0¢
Titans vs. GiantsWon
Giants$49 @ 61.5¢
Spread: Panthers (-3.5)Won
Browns$86 @ 61.0¢
LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 3 WinnerWon
LYON$64 @ 48.6¢
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco GiantsWon
Los Angeles Dodgers$82 @ 75.0¢
Rams vs. Broncos: O/U 51.5Lost
Under$6 @ 37.0¢
Arizona Diamondbacks to win the 1st inning?Lost
No$25 @ 79.0¢
Spread: Clemson (-4.5)Won
Clemson$38 @ 45.3¢
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-10-11?Lost
Yes$10 @ 52.0¢
Rams vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5Lost
Under$79 @ 57.2¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsLost
PARIVISION$10 @ 70.0¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsWon
Team Spirit$32 @ 40.4¢
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 3DMAX - Map 2 WinnerLost
Alliance$15 @ 67.0¢
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-10-03?Lost
No$26 @ 39.0¢
W35 Las Vegas, NV: Yara Bartashevich vs Edda MamedovaLost
Yara Bartashevich$4 @ 69.0¢
FK Neftchi Fargona vs. Xorazm Fk Urganch: O/U 4.5Lost
Over$3 @ 53.0¢
LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 WinnerLost
Team WE$59 @ 48.8¢
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)Won
Buccaneers$48 @ 40.0¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerWon
Team Yandex$10 @ 53.0¢
Spread: Chiefs (-4.5)Lost
Chiefs$100 @ 52.0¢
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Valerion - Game 2 WinnerLost
Valerion$40 @ 41.5¢
Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago White SoxWon
Chicago White Sox$123 @ 60.0¢
Dota 2: Cake Team vs SoloTeam - Game 1 WinnerWon
Cake Team$37 @ 59.5¢
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerWon
Natus Vincere$10 @ 45.0¢
Colorado vs. Baylor: O/U 47.5Lost
Over$28 @ 63.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?	Economy	No	$80	49.8¢
Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Science	Yes	$57	37.4¢
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or higher?	Tech	Yes	$50	91.0¢
Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 21, 2026?	Tech	No	$50	94.0¢
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?	Crypto	Yes	$39	68.0¢
Will Pump.fun dip to $0.0030 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$25	41.2¢
Will PUBG Mobile Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award?	—	No	$20	61.0¢
Will Trump praise Allah again by October 31?	Politics	Yes	$17	41.0¢
Will KAST launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Crypto	No	$16	64.1¢
Will Newmont (NEM) Q3 total attributable gold production be above 1,350 koz?	Other	No	$14	87.0¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Tech	Yes	$14	58.0¢
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $15B by December 31?	Tech	No	$12	93.0¢
Will N1 launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Crypto	Yes	$11	65.4¢
Will T-Mobile (TMUS) Q3 total service revenues be above $19.1B?	Other	Yes	$11	92.0¢
Will Tomáš Hrubý be the next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem?	Politics	No	$10	47.0¢
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through November 30?	Politics	No	$10	33.0¢
Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial second round by 20%-25%?	Politics	No	$10	80.0¢
Will no next Israeli Minister of National Security be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Politics	No	$10	68.0¢
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Tech	No	$10	68.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Geopolitics	Yes	$10	57.0¢
Will “I Can't Love You Anymore” by Ella Langley and Morgan Wallen win Musical Event of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	Culture	No	$10	61.0¢
Will Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial second round by 5%-10%?	Politics	No	$10	63.0¢
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?	Geopolitics	No	$10	73.0¢
Will Bijan Robinson be the highest-scoring RB of the 2026-27 NFL season?	Sports	No	$10	72.0¢
Will Jahmyr Gibbs be the highest-scoring RB of the 2026-27 NFL season?	Sports	No	$10	62.0¢
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?	Culture	No	$10	37.0¢
Will Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial second round by 15%-20%?	Politics	No	$10	78.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Geopolitics	Yes	$10	66.0¢
Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?	Tech	No	$10	71.0¢
Will Lockheed Martin (LMT) Q3 total backlog be above $180B?	Other	Yes	$10	92.0¢

Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?Economy
No$80 @ 49.8¢
Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?Science
Yes$57 @ 37.4¢
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Tech
Yes$50 @ 91.0¢
Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 21, 2026?Tech
No$50 @ 94.0¢
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?Crypto
Yes$39 @ 68.0¢
Will Pump.fun dip to $0.0030 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$25 @ 41.2¢
Will PUBG Mobile Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award?—
No$20 @ 61.0¢
Will Trump praise Allah again by October 31?Politics
Yes$17 @ 41.0¢
Will KAST launch a token by June 30, 2027?Crypto
No$16 @ 64.1¢
Will Newmont (NEM) Q3 total attributable gold production be above 1,350 koz?Other
No$14 @ 87.0¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Tech
Yes$14 @ 58.0¢
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $15B by December 31?Tech
No$12 @ 93.0¢
Will N1 launch a token by December 31, 2027?Crypto
Yes$11 @ 65.4¢
Will T-Mobile (TMUS) Q3 total service revenues be above $19.1B?Other
Yes$11 @ 92.0¢
Will Tomáš Hrubý be the next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem?Politics
No$10 @ 47.0¢
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through November 30?Politics
No$10 @ 33.0¢
Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial second round by 20%-25%?Politics
No$10 @ 80.0¢
Will no next Israeli Minister of National Security be appointed by February 28, 2027?Politics
No$10 @ 68.0¢
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?Tech
No$10 @ 68.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Geopolitics
Yes$10 @ 57.0¢
Will “I Can't Love You Anymore” by Ella Langley and Morgan Wallen win Musical Event of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Culture
No$10 @ 61.0¢
Will Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial second round by 5%-10%?Politics
No$10 @ 63.0¢
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?Geopolitics
No$10 @ 73.0¢
Will Bijan Robinson be the highest-scoring RB of the 2026-27 NFL season?Sports
No$10 @ 72.0¢
Will Jahmyr Gibbs be the highest-scoring RB of the 2026-27 NFL season?Sports
No$10 @ 62.0¢
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?Culture
No$10 @ 37.0¢
Will Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial second round by 15%-20%?Politics
No$10 @ 78.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Geopolitics
Yes$10 @ 66.0¢
Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?Tech
No$10 @ 71.0¢
Will Lockheed Martin (LMT) Q3 total backlog be above $180B?Other
Yes$10 @ 92.0¢