0xfd8d…038b

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xfd8d4130d037d38ba3d1e7e4d89c8f65fe99038b
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+2.9pp

ROI

+4%

Win rate

47% @ 43.9¢

Brier

0.090

Resolved

1026

Avg size

$14

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	61% (327/537)	+7%	537
Science	58% (30/52)	-8%	52
Tech	20% (1/5)	-90%	5
Sports	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Economy	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Crypto	100% (1/1)	+92%	1

Other537 bets
Hit rate
61% (327/537)
ROI
+7%
Science52 bets
Hit rate
58% (30/52)
ROI
-8%
Tech5 bets
Hit rate
20% (1/5)
ROI
-90%
Sports1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+92%

Track record

60% hit · 359/597

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 26?	No	$20	98.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 25?	No	$10	96.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 25?	Yes	$1	3.9¢	Lost
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	$13	0.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on October 25?	No	$52	95.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 25?	No	$109	91.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 12°C on October 25?	No	$17	99.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 25?	No	$50	99.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 25?	No	$23	92.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 25?	No	$24	94.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 25?	No	$50	99.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 25?	No	$5	99.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on October 25?	No	$15	95.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	$13	13.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on October 25?	Yes	$0	1.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 25?	Yes	$27	92.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 25?	Yes	$7	11.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 25?	No	$21	82.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 25?	No	$28	99.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 25?	No	$40	88.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 25?	No	$5	98.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 25?	No	$13	98.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 25?	No	$59	98.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 25?	No	$8	78.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 25?	No	$66	96.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 25?	No	$12	68.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 25?	No	$10	99.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on October 16?	Yes	$22	38.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 2?	Yes	$2	4.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 5?	No	$5	59.0¢	Lost
0x0426bd5b…	No	$23	87.0¢	Won
0x0447cd36…	No	$42	85.0¢	Won
0x0552dc6e…	No	$88	88.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 11?	No	$40	80.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 10?	No	$85	85.0¢	Won
0x07f1e15c…	No	$6	83.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on May 7?	Yes	$5	1.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 15?	No	$61	59.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on April 30?	No	$18	88.2¢	Won
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?	No	$74	37.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 22?	No	$25	50.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on May 7?	No	$92	84.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on May 2?	No	$17	86.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 5?	No	$43	86.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on April 30?	No	$16	77.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on August 23?	Yes	$1	0.5¢	Lost
Will Oscar Piastri win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Yes	$57	14.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C or higher on May 5?	Yes	$43	85.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on May 26?	No	$15	84.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on June 20?	No	$151	81.0¢	Lost

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 26?Won
No$20 @ 98.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 25?Won
No$10 @ 96.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 25?Lost
Yes$1 @ 3.9¢
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Lost
Yes$13 @ 0.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on October 25?Won
No$52 @ 95.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 25?Won
No$109 @ 91.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 12°C on October 25?Won
No$17 @ 99.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 25?Won
No$50 @ 99.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 25?Lost
No$23 @ 92.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 25?Won
No$24 @ 94.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 25?Won
No$50 @ 99.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 25?Won
No$5 @ 99.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on October 25?Lost
No$15 @ 95.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 25?Lost
Yes$13 @ 13.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on October 25?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 25?Won
Yes$27 @ 92.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 25?Lost
Yes$7 @ 11.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 25?Won
No$21 @ 82.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 25?Won
No$28 @ 99.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 25?Lost
No$40 @ 88.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 25?Won
No$5 @ 98.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 25?Won
No$13 @ 98.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 25?Won
No$59 @ 98.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 25?Won
No$8 @ 78.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 25?Won
No$66 @ 96.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 25?Lost
No$12 @ 68.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 25?Won
No$10 @ 99.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on October 16?Lost
Yes$22 @ 38.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 2?Lost
Yes$2 @ 4.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 5?Lost
No$5 @ 59.0¢
0x0426bd5b…Won
No$23 @ 87.0¢
0x0447cd36…Won
No$42 @ 85.0¢
0x0552dc6e…Won
No$88 @ 88.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 11?Won
No$40 @ 80.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 10?Won
No$85 @ 85.0¢
0x07f1e15c…Lost
No$6 @ 83.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on May 7?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 15?Won
No$61 @ 59.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on April 30?Won
No$18 @ 88.2¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Lost
No$74 @ 37.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 22?Won
No$25 @ 50.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on May 7?Lost
No$92 @ 84.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on May 2?Won
No$17 @ 86.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 5?Won
No$43 @ 86.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on April 30?Won
No$16 @ 77.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on August 23?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.5¢
Will Oscar Piastri win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?Lost
Yes$57 @ 14.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C or higher on May 5?Won
Yes$43 @ 85.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on May 26?Won
No$15 @ 84.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on June 20?Lost
No$151 @ 81.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31?	Politics	No	$231	70.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 26?	Science	No	$124	95.7¢
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Sports	Yes	$99	9.3¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Tech	No	$96	48.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 26?	Science	No	$93	93.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 26?	Politics	No	$81	91.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 26?	Science	No	$76	95.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 26?	Science	No	$56	98.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 26?	Science	No	$53	66.0¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	Tech	Yes	$35	35.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 26?	Science	Yes	$34	14.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 26?	Science	No	$30	96.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 26?	Science	No	$30	97.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 26?	Science	No	$25	62.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 26?	Science	No	$25	98.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 26?	Science	No	$24	95.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 26?	Science	No	$20	98.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 12°C on October 27?	Science	No	$20	98.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 27?	Science	No	$19	97.0¢
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Politics	No	$18	18.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 26?	Science	No	$17	85.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on October 27?	Science	No	$16	99.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 26?	Science	No	$16	78.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 26?	Science	No	$15	98.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 26?	Science	No	$14	69.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 26?	Science	No	$11	75.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on October 26?	Science	No	$10	99.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 26?	Science	No	$10	98.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 27?	Science	No	$5	97.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 27?	Science	No	$5	95.7¢

Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31?Politics
No$231 @ 70.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 26?Science
No$124 @ 95.7¢
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Sports
Yes$99 @ 9.3¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Tech
No$96 @ 48.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 26?Science
No$93 @ 93.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 26?Politics
No$81 @ 91.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 26?Science
No$76 @ 95.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 26?Science
No$56 @ 98.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 26?Science
No$53 @ 66.0¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Tech
Yes$35 @ 35.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 26?Science
Yes$34 @ 14.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 26?Science
No$30 @ 96.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 26?Science
No$30 @ 97.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 26?Science
No$25 @ 62.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 26?Science
No$25 @ 98.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 26?Science
No$24 @ 95.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 26?Science
No$20 @ 98.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 12°C on October 27?Science
No$20 @ 98.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 27?Science
No$19 @ 97.0¢
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Politics
No$18 @ 18.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 26?Science
No$17 @ 85.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on October 27?Science
No$16 @ 99.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 26?Science
No$16 @ 78.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 26?Science
No$15 @ 98.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 26?Science
No$14 @ 69.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 26?Science
No$11 @ 75.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on October 26?Science
No$10 @ 99.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 26?Science
No$10 @ 98.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 27?Science
No$5 @ 97.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 27?Science
No$5 @ 95.7¢