0xfd0b…5df6

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xfd0b70ec885499eb7e1bee28f51a112c46675df6
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+12.0pp

ROI

+26%

Win rate

84% @ 71.8¢

Brier

0.106

Resolved

415

Avg size

$632

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	39% (16/41)	-43%	41
Sports	54% (7/13)	-35%	13
Politics	100% (6/6)	+27%	6

Other41 bets
Hit rate
39% (16/41)
ROI
-43%
Sports13 bets
Hit rate
54% (7/13)
ROI
-35%
Politics6 bets
Hit rate
100% (6/6)
ROI
+27%

Track record

48% hit · 29/60

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Bengals vs. Dolphins	Dolphins	$87	24.0¢	Lost
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 MLB World Series?	Yes	$121	69.0¢	Won
Falcons vs. Saints	Falcons	$130	48.0¢	Won
Lions vs. Eagles	Lions	$87	42.0¢	Lost
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	Yes	$227	86.5¢	Won
Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	$10	48.0¢	Lost
Will Shedeur Sanders get drafted top 10 in the 2025 NFL Draft?	No	$81	88.0¢	Won
Hornets vs. Nets	Nets	$52	48.0¢	Lost
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	$128.2k	77.2¢	Won
Cavaliers vs. Hawks	Hawks	$4	63.0¢	Won
Rockets vs. Bucks	Rockets	$192	73.2¢	Won
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	$225	33.0¢	Lost
Will the Giants draft a QB?	Yes	$51	87.5¢	Won
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	$121.0k	79.9¢	Won
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5	Over	$86	46.0¢	Lost
Will Shedeur Sanders be a top 5 draft pick?	No	$18	89.0¢	Won
Kinetiq FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	$11	54.0¢	Won
Chiefs vs. Jaguars	Chiefs	$72	64.0¢	Lost
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?	No	$105	70.0¢	Won
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?	Yes	$17	67.0¢	Lost
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	$2.7k	75.0¢	Won
49ers vs. Texans	49ers	$25	45.0¢	Lost
Warriors vs. Lakers	Warriors	$838	33.0¢	Lost
Hornets vs. Wizards	Hornets	$26	53.0¢	Lost
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-10-01?	Yes	$5	27.0¢	Won
Will 1 QB, 1 DB, 1 EDGE, 1 OT, and 1 RB, be taken with the first 5 picks of the 2025 NFL Draft?	Yes	$168	62.6¢	Lost
Colts vs. Steelers	Colts	$245	61.0¢	Lost
Mariners vs. Tigers Series Winner	Tigers	$40	56.0¢	Lost
Mets vs. Cubs	Cubs	$334	51.0¢	Lost
Kinetiq FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	$20	20.0¢	Lost
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers	Grizzlies	$62	35.0¢	Won
Oklahoma vs. Tennessee	Tennessee	$13	57.0¢	Lost
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?	No	$13	34.7¢	Won
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?	Yes	$147	67.4¢	Lost
Lions vs. Chiefs	Lions	$41	45.0¢	Lost
Ravens vs. Chiefs	Ravens	$26	56.0¢	Lost
Heat vs. Hawks	Heat	$62	44.0¢	Won
Oklahoma vs. Texas	Texas	$43	52.0¢	Won
Will Ashton Jeanty get drafted by the Broncos?	Yes	$20	5.7¢	Lost
Trail Blazers vs. Lakers	Trail Blazers	$37	43.0¢	Won
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	No	$2.7k	75.0¢	Won
Vikings vs. Chargers	Chargers	$49	62.0¢	Won
OpenAI browser by October 31?	Yes	$88	58.9¢	Won
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	$71	71.0¢	Won
Eagles vs. Buccaneers	Eagles	$88	63.0¢	Won
Will the Seattle Mariners be eliminated in the League Championship Series?	No	$55	46.0¢	Lost
Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	$16	78.0¢	Won
Will the Giants draft Abdul Carter?	Yes	$983	84.9¢	Won
Commanders vs. Cowboys	Commanders	$49	55.0¢	Lost
Will Barcelona vs. Paris Saint Germain end in a draw?	Yes	$5	23.0¢	Lost

Bengals vs. DolphinsLost
Dolphins$87 @ 24.0¢
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 MLB World Series?Won
Yes$121 @ 69.0¢
Falcons vs. SaintsWon
Falcons$130 @ 48.0¢
Lions vs. EaglesLost
Lions$87 @ 42.0¢
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?Won
Yes$227 @ 86.5¢
Knicks vs. 76ersLost
Knicks$10 @ 48.0¢
Will Shedeur Sanders get drafted top 10 in the 2025 NFL Draft?Won
No$81 @ 88.0¢
Hornets vs. NetsLost
Nets$52 @ 48.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseWon
Yes$128.2k @ 77.2¢
Cavaliers vs. HawksWon
Hawks$4 @ 63.0¢
Rockets vs. BucksWon
Rockets$192 @ 73.2¢
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$225 @ 33.0¢
Will the Giants draft a QB?Won
Yes$51 @ 87.5¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Won
Yes$121.0k @ 79.9¢
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$86 @ 46.0¢
Will Shedeur Sanders be a top 5 draft pick?Won
No$18 @ 89.0¢
Kinetiq FDV above $100M one day after launch?Won
Yes$11 @ 54.0¢
Chiefs vs. JaguarsLost
Chiefs$72 @ 64.0¢
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? Won
No$105 @ 70.0¢
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? Lost
Yes$17 @ 67.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Won
Yes$2.7k @ 75.0¢
49ers vs. TexansLost
49ers$25 @ 45.0¢
Warriors vs. LakersLost
Warriors$838 @ 33.0¢
Hornets vs. WizardsLost
Hornets$26 @ 53.0¢
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-10-01?Won
Yes$5 @ 27.0¢
Will 1 QB, 1 DB, 1 EDGE, 1 OT, and 1 RB, be taken with the first 5 picks of the 2025 NFL Draft?Lost
Yes$168 @ 62.6¢
Colts vs. SteelersLost
Colts$245 @ 61.0¢
Mariners vs. Tigers Series WinnerLost
Tigers$40 @ 56.0¢
Mets vs. CubsLost
Cubs$334 @ 51.0¢
Kinetiq FDV above $2B one day after launch?Lost
Yes$20 @ 20.0¢
Grizzlies vs. Trail BlazersWon
Grizzlies$62 @ 35.0¢
Oklahoma vs. TennesseeLost
Tennessee$13 @ 57.0¢
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Won
No$13 @ 34.7¢
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Lost
Yes$147 @ 67.4¢
Lions vs. ChiefsLost
Lions$41 @ 45.0¢
Ravens vs. ChiefsLost
Ravens$26 @ 56.0¢
Heat vs. HawksWon
Heat$62 @ 44.0¢
Oklahoma vs. TexasWon
Texas$43 @ 52.0¢
Will Ashton Jeanty get drafted by the Broncos?Lost
Yes$20 @ 5.7¢
Trail Blazers vs. LakersWon
Trail Blazers$37 @ 43.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Won
No$2.7k @ 75.0¢
Vikings vs. ChargersWon
Chargers$49 @ 62.0¢
OpenAI browser by October 31?Won
Yes$88 @ 58.9¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Won
Yes$71 @ 71.0¢
Eagles vs. BuccaneersWon
Eagles$88 @ 63.0¢
Will the Seattle Mariners be eliminated in the League Championship Series?Lost
No$55 @ 46.0¢
Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch?Won
Yes$16 @ 78.0¢
Will the Giants draft Abdul Carter?Won
Yes$983 @ 84.9¢
Commanders vs. CowboysLost
Commanders$49 @ 55.0¢
Will Barcelona vs. Paris Saint Germain end in a draw?Lost
Yes$5 @ 23.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Warriors vs. Lakers	Sports	Warriors	$838	33.0¢
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Sports	Yes	$326	6.0¢
Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?	—	Yes	$259	73.5¢
Colts vs. Steelers	—	Colts	$245	61.0¢
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	—	Yes	$225	33.0¢
Kinetiq FDV above $1B one day after launch?	—	Yes	$178	89.0¢
Kinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch?	—	Yes	$89	81.4¢
Lions vs. Eagles	—	Lions	$87	42.0¢
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5	—	Over	$86	46.0¢
Bengals vs. Dolphins	Sports	Dolphins	$85	24.0¢
Chiefs vs. Jaguars	—	Chiefs	$72	64.0¢
Will the Seattle Mariners be eliminated in the League Championship Series?	—	No	$55	46.0¢
Hornets vs. Nets	Sports	Nets	$52	48.0¢
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Sports	Yes	$51	10.0¢
Commanders vs. Cowboys	—	Commanders	$49	55.0¢
Lions vs. Chiefs	—	Lions	$41	45.0¢
Mariners vs. Tigers Series Winner	—	Tigers	$40	56.0¢
Hornets vs. Wizards	Sports	Hornets	$27	53.0¢
Ravens vs. Chiefs	—	Ravens	$26	56.0¢
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 ATP Shanghai Masters Men’s Singles Tournament?	—	Yes	$25	50.0¢
49ers vs. Texans	—	49ers	$25	45.0¢
Kinetiq FDV above $2B one day after launch?	—	Yes	$20	20.0¢
Oklahoma vs. Tennessee	—	Tennessee	$13	57.0¢
Knicks vs. 76ers	Sports	Knicks	$10	48.0¢
Will Barcelona vs. Paris Saint Germain end in a draw?	—	Yes	$5	23.0¢
Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Sports	Yes	$2	0.4¢

Warriors vs. LakersSports
Warriors$838 @ 33.0¢
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Sports
Yes$326 @ 6.0¢
Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?—
Yes$259 @ 73.5¢
Colts vs. Steelers—
Colts$245 @ 61.0¢
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?—
Yes$225 @ 33.0¢
Kinetiq FDV above $1B one day after launch?—
Yes$178 @ 89.0¢
Kinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch?—
Yes$89 @ 81.4¢
Lions vs. Eagles—
Lions$87 @ 42.0¢
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5—
Over$86 @ 46.0¢
Bengals vs. DolphinsSports
Dolphins$85 @ 24.0¢
Chiefs vs. Jaguars—
Chiefs$72 @ 64.0¢
Will the Seattle Mariners be eliminated in the League Championship Series?—
No$55 @ 46.0¢
Hornets vs. NetsSports
Nets$52 @ 48.0¢
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Sports
Yes$51 @ 10.0¢
Commanders vs. Cowboys—
Commanders$49 @ 55.0¢
Lions vs. Chiefs—
Lions$41 @ 45.0¢
Mariners vs. Tigers Series Winner—
Tigers$40 @ 56.0¢
Hornets vs. WizardsSports
Hornets$27 @ 53.0¢
Ravens vs. Chiefs—
Ravens$26 @ 56.0¢
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 ATP Shanghai Masters Men’s Singles Tournament?—
Yes$25 @ 50.0¢
49ers vs. Texans—
49ers$25 @ 45.0¢
Kinetiq FDV above $2B one day after launch?—
Yes$20 @ 20.0¢
Oklahoma vs. Tennessee—
Tennessee$13 @ 57.0¢
Knicks vs. 76ersSports
Knicks$10 @ 48.0¢
Will Barcelona vs. Paris Saint Germain end in a draw?—
Yes$5 @ 23.0¢
Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Sports
Yes$2 @ 0.4¢