0xfced…03d9

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xfced95f43a3d153e55bf01894f781687abfe03d9
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+2.9pp

ROI

+70%

Win rate

13% @ 9.7¢

Brier

0.078

Resolved

1922

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	17% (108/636)	+71%	636
Science	4% (1/25)	-11%	25
Politics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other636 bets
Hit rate
17% (108/636)
ROI
+71%
Science25 bets
Hit rate
4% (1/25)
ROI
-11%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

16% hit · 109/662

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 30?	Yes	$198	99.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on September 30?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on September 30?	Yes	$1	0.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on September 30?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or higher on September 30?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 30?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on September 30?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 29?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on September 29?	Yes	$0	1.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on September 29?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on September 28?	Yes	$2	1.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on September 27?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 27?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 27?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 27?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C or higher on September 27?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C on September 26?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 34°C on September 26?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on April 27?	Yes	$1	0.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C or higher on August 2?	Yes	$1	2.0¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on April 22?	Yes	$8	7.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 54°F or higher on February 23?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 10?	Yes	$17	24.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on March 3?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on March 6?	Yes	$9	6.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on January 27?	Yes	$1	16.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?	Yes	$3	3.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 31°C on March 2?	Yes	$63	69.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 72°F or higher on March 15?	Yes	$11	36.0¢	Won
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?	No	$3	1.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 2?	Yes	$14	28.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on February 26?	Yes	$5	5.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on March 19?	Yes	$1	25.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 98-99°F on August 14?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 19?	No	$0	1.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 19?	Yes	$3	12.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 3°C on February 28?	Yes	$1	2.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on February 28?	Yes	$1	2.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on March 4?	Yes	$1	13.0¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on April 22?	Yes	$7	7.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 41°F or below on February 17?	Yes	$1	2.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C or higher on May 2?	Yes	$1	1.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on February 28?	Yes	$7	22.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C or higher on March 3?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on March 2?	Yes	$1	2.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 9?	Yes	$0	2.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 32°C on February 28?	Yes	$55	36.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on March 6?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on March 3?	Yes	$28	22.5¢	Won

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 30?Won
Yes$198 @ 99.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on September 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on September 30?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on September 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or higher on September 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on September 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 29?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on September 29?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on September 29?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on September 28?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on September 27?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 27?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 27?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 27?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C or higher on September 27?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C on September 26?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 34°C on September 26?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on April 27?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C or higher on August 2?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on April 22?Lost
Yes$8 @ 7.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 54°F or higher on February 23?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 10?Lost
Yes$17 @ 24.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on March 3?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on March 6?Lost
Yes$9 @ 6.7¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on January 27?Lost
Yes$1 @ 16.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?Lost
Yes$3 @ 3.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 31°C on March 2?Won
Yes$63 @ 69.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 72°F or higher on March 15?Won
Yes$11 @ 36.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Lost
No$3 @ 1.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 2?Lost
Yes$14 @ 28.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on February 26?Lost
Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on March 19?Lost
Yes$1 @ 25.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 98-99°F on August 14?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 19?Lost
No$0 @ 1.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 19?Lost
Yes$3 @ 12.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 3°C on February 28?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on February 28?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on March 4?Lost
Yes$1 @ 13.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on April 22?Lost
Yes$7 @ 7.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 41°F or below on February 17?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C or higher on May 2?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on February 28?Lost
Yes$7 @ 22.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C or higher on March 3?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on March 2?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 9?Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 32°C on February 28?Won
Yes$55 @ 36.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on March 6?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on March 3?Won
Yes$28 @ 22.5¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 30?	Science	Yes	$198	99.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on September 30?	Science	Yes	$1	0.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 30?	Science	Yes	$0	0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on September 30?	Science	Yes	$0	0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on September 30?	Science	Yes	$0	0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or higher on September 30?	Science	Yes	$0	0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on September 30?	Science	Yes	$0	0.1¢

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 30?Science
Yes$198 @ 99.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on September 30?Science
Yes$1 @ 0.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 30?Science
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on September 30?Science
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on September 30?Science
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or higher on September 30?Science
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on September 30?Science
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢