0xfcd0…391d

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xfcd0eadb24d78e016e88b9e2a7029e349ba6391d
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+24.7pp

ROI

+23%

Win rate

91% @ 66.2¢

Brier

0.134

Resolved

110

Avg size

$695

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	79% (11/14)	+121%	14
Politics	50% (2/4)	+16%	4
Sports	100% (1/1)	+228%	1
Science	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other14 bets
Hit rate
79% (11/14)
ROI
+121%
Politics4 bets
Hit rate
50% (2/4)
ROI
+16%
Sports1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+228%
Science1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

70% hit · 14/20

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 10?	No	$5	0.4¢	Lost
0x04f06663…	Yes	$7	1.0¢	Won
KAA Gent vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	Under	$50	20.0¢	Won
0x468a879c…	No	$364	50.2¢	Won
Will "Kai Harada" win Best Sound Design of a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?	No	$1.4k	40.7¢	Won
Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber, Nicki Minaj" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?	No	$35	89.8¢	Won
Will Ansan Greeners FC vs. Chungbuk Cheongju FC end in a draw?	Yes	$13	0.1¢	Lost
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	Yes	$80	30.5¢	Won
0x9c02249c…	No	$87	57.2¢	Won
Will Keenan Hayes win Bareback Riding at the 2026 American Rodeo West Regional?	Yes	$141	73.6¢	Won
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	$70.0k	87.0¢	Won
Waterford FC to score first vs. Shelbourne FC?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Won
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?	No	$44	7.9¢	Lost
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?	No	$147	65.8¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	$220	22.0¢	Lost
Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	Yes	$17	2.3¢	Lost
East Carolina vs. UAB: O/U 43.5	Over	$15	1.9¢	Won
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?	No	$1.1k	52.3¢	Won
Florida International vs. Florida Atlantic: 1Q O/U 7.5	Under	$2.6k	62.1¢	Won
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	No	$20	8.0¢	Lost

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 10?Lost
No$5 @ 0.4¢
0x04f06663…Won
Yes$7 @ 1.0¢
KAA Gent vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 9.5 Total CornersWon
Under$50 @ 20.0¢
0x468a879c…Won
No$364 @ 50.2¢
Will "Kai Harada" win Best Sound Design of a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?Won
No$1.4k @ 40.7¢
Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber, Nicki Minaj" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?Won
No$35 @ 89.8¢
Will Ansan Greeners FC vs. Chungbuk Cheongju FC end in a draw?Lost
Yes$13 @ 0.1¢
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Won
Yes$80 @ 30.5¢
0x9c02249c…Won
No$87 @ 57.2¢
Will Keenan Hayes win Bareback Riding at the 2026 American Rodeo West Regional?Won
Yes$141 @ 73.6¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Won
No$70.0k @ 87.0¢
Waterford FC to score first vs. Shelbourne FC?Won
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Lost
No$44 @ 7.9¢
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Won
No$147 @ 65.8¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Lost
No$220 @ 22.0¢
Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?Lost
Yes$17 @ 2.3¢
East Carolina vs. UAB: O/U 43.5Won
Over$15 @ 1.9¢
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Won
No$1.1k @ 52.3¢
Florida International vs. Florida Atlantic: 1Q O/U 7.5Won
Under$2.6k @ 62.1¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?Lost
No$20 @ 8.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Politics	No	$625.0k	50.0¢
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$625.0k	50.0¢

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
No$625.0k @ 50.0¢
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$625.0k @ 50.0¢