0xfca7…5d82

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xfca73c8e6965e8d05a063edeae032605e05c5d82
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+25.2pp

ROI

+45%

Win rate

79% @ 53.5¢

Brier

0.156

Resolved

127

Avg size

$244

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	21% (3/14)	-56%	14
Other	45% (5/11)	+15%	11
Politics	75% (3/4)	+58%	4
Geopolitics	50% (1/2)	+14%	2

Sports14 bets
Hit rate
21% (3/14)
ROI
-56%
Other11 bets
Hit rate
45% (5/11)
ROI
+15%
Politics4 bets
Hit rate
75% (3/4)
ROI
+58%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+14%

Track record

39% hit · 12/31

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Spurs vs. Knicks	Knicks	$38	48.2¢	Lost
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	$10	30.0¢	Lost
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	$103	47.9¢	Lost
Patriots vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	$102	62.0¢	Won
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$10	62.0¢	Won
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	$5	44.0¢	Won
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$10	6.5¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$1.9k	78.0¢	Won
Giants vs. Rams	Giants	$20	28.0¢	Lost
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	Yes	$5	5.2¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	$5.8k	85.5¢	Won
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	$228	11.8¢	Lost
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$10	10.1¢	Won
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$10	5.8¢	Lost
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance	Argentina	$81	69.0¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	$21	24.4¢	Lost
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	$10	8.0¢	Lost
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$10	32.9¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	$6.5k	74.7¢	Won
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	$20	35.9¢	Lost
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	$20	38.0¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	$12.3k	60.9¢	Won
Seahawks vs. Cardinals	Seahawks	$20	66.0¢	Won
Spread: Packers (-6.5)	Packers	$10	44.0¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?	No	$3.4k	55.4¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	$20	5.0¢	Lost
Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)	Seahawks	$103	47.0¢	Lost
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	$40	72.0¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	Yes	$21	1.7¢	Lost
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	$20	29.0¢	Lost
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Cincinnati Reds	$10	39.0¢	Lost

Spurs vs. KnicksLost
Knicks$38 @ 48.2¢
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?Lost
Yes$10 @ 30.0¢
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Lost
Yes$103 @ 47.9¢
Patriots vs. SeahawksWon
Seahawks$102 @ 62.0¢
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?Won
Yes$10 @ 62.0¢
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?Won
Yes$5 @ 44.0¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$10 @ 6.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Won
No$1.9k @ 78.0¢
Giants vs. RamsLost
Giants$20 @ 28.0¢
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Lost
Yes$5 @ 5.2¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Won
No$5.8k @ 85.5¢
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Lost
Yes$228 @ 11.8¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$10 @ 10.1¢
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$10 @ 5.8¢
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceWon
Argentina$81 @ 69.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?Lost
Yes$21 @ 24.4¢
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?Lost
Yes$10 @ 8.0¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$10 @ 32.9¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Won
No$6.5k @ 74.7¢
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Lost
Yes$20 @ 35.9¢
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?Lost
Yes$20 @ 38.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Won
No$12.3k @ 60.9¢
Seahawks vs. CardinalsWon
Seahawks$20 @ 66.0¢
Spread: Packers (-6.5)Lost
Packers$10 @ 44.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Won
No$3.4k @ 55.4¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Lost
No$20 @ 5.0¢
Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)Lost
Seahawks$103 @ 47.0¢
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?Won
Yes$40 @ 72.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Lost
Yes$21 @ 1.7¢
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?Lost
Yes$20 @ 29.0¢
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee BrewersLost
Cincinnati Reds$10 @ 39.0¢

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