0xfc95…0b9c

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xfc952d7bad5ef03ac6645a93de6c124b093f0b9c
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+5.1pp

ROI

+22%

Win rate

42% @ 37.2¢

Brier

0.185

Resolved

520

Avg size

$124

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	48% (57/119)	+40%	119
Politics	40% (17/42)	+32%	42
Sports	48% (14/29)	-25%	29
Crypto	39% (7/18)	+0%	18
Geopolitics	50% (2/4)	+16%	4

Other119 bets
Hit rate
48% (57/119)
ROI
+40%
Politics42 bets
Hit rate
40% (17/42)
ROI
+32%
Sports29 bets
Hit rate
48% (14/29)
ROI
-25%
Crypto18 bets
Hit rate
39% (7/18)
ROI
+0%
Geopolitics4 bets
Hit rate
50% (2/4)
ROI
+16%

Track record

46% hit · 97/212

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15?	No	$189	57.6¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 5-11?	No	$200	70.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 on October 6?	No	$365	73.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 23?	No	$50	8.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 23?	Yes	$60	38.1¢	Won
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?	No	$284	46.4¢	Lost
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	$151	67.3¢	Won
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?	No	$64	4.7¢	Lost
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?	Yes	$43	28.5¢	Won
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?	Yes	$78	70.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 25?	Yes	$33	24.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 30?	Yes	$70	55.1¢	Won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$346	18.8¢	Lost
Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-09-26?	No	$255	59.0¢	Won
Will Trump dance during WHCA Dinner on April 25?	No	$430	70.5¢	Won
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	No	$120	62.6¢	Won
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	No	$10	47.7¢	Won
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	$42	19.0¢	Lost
Will Torino FC win on 2026-03-13?	Yes	$83	69.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 29?	Yes	$305	78.1¢	Lost
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	No	$25	34.6¢	Won
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals	No	$51	51.8¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 1?	No	$354	37.5¢	Lost
Ghana vs. Gambia: O/U 4.5	Over	$306	61.9¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	No	$92	50.0¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$4	0.2¢	Lost
Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during their summit?	Yes	$45	15.0¢	Lost
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5	Over	$5	5.0¢	Lost
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-20?	No	$208	23.8¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 8?	No	$103	63.6¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 8?	Yes	$122	32.7¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 21-27?	No	$977	73.8¢	Won
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	$200	49.0¢	Won
Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 17, 2026?	No	$121	59.5¢	Won
Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during their summit?	Yes	$1.0k	72.4¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 6?	No	$438	30.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 25?	Yes	$100	42.1¢	Won
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	No	$571	50.2¢	Won
Will Cyprus win on 2026-10-02?	No	$482	50.0¢	Lost
Will Trump dance today?	No	$10	1.0¢	Lost
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?	No	$136	3.5¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during Panthers visit?	No	$155	24.1¢	Lost
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-09-18?	No	$309	43.0¢	Lost
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$120	56.0¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?	No	$132	14.3¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?	Yes	$152	77.5¢	Won
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$144	2.3¢	Lost
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	$196	55.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 26?	No	$608	29.5¢	Lost
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?	No	$52	73.9¢	Lost

Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15?Lost
No$189 @ 57.6¢
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 5-11?Lost
No$200 @ 70.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 on October 6?Lost
No$365 @ 73.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 23?Lost
No$50 @ 8.8¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 23?Won
Yes$60 @ 38.1¢
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Lost
No$284 @ 46.4¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?Won
Yes$151 @ 67.3¢
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Lost
No$64 @ 4.7¢
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Won
Yes$43 @ 28.5¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?Won
Yes$78 @ 70.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 25?Won
Yes$33 @ 24.6¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 30?Won
Yes$70 @ 55.1¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$346 @ 18.8¢
Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-09-26?Won
No$255 @ 59.0¢
Will Trump dance during WHCA Dinner on April 25?Won
No$430 @ 70.5¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Won
No$120 @ 62.6¢
Will England win on 2026-07-11?Won
No$10 @ 47.7¢
Will England win on 2026-07-11?Lost
Yes$42 @ 19.0¢
Will Torino FC win on 2026-03-13?Won
Yes$83 @ 69.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 29?Lost
Yes$305 @ 78.1¢
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Won
No$25 @ 34.6¢
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsLost
No$51 @ 51.8¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 1?Lost
No$354 @ 37.5¢
Ghana vs. Gambia: O/U 4.5Won
Over$306 @ 61.9¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Won
No$92 @ 50.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Lost
Yes$4 @ 0.2¢
Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during their summit?Lost
Yes$45 @ 15.0¢
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$5 @ 5.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-20?Lost
No$208 @ 23.8¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 8?Won
No$103 @ 63.6¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 8?Lost
Yes$122 @ 32.7¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 21-27?Won
No$977 @ 73.8¢
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?Won
Yes$200 @ 49.0¢
Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 17, 2026?Won
No$121 @ 59.5¢
Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during their summit?Won
Yes$1.0k @ 72.4¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 6?Lost
No$438 @ 30.4¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 25?Won
Yes$100 @ 42.1¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?Won
No$571 @ 50.2¢
Will Cyprus win on 2026-10-02?Lost
No$482 @ 50.0¢
Will Trump dance today?Lost
No$10 @ 1.0¢
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Lost
No$136 @ 3.5¢
Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during Panthers visit?Lost
No$155 @ 24.1¢
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-09-18?Lost
No$309 @ 43.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
No$120 @ 56.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Lost
No$132 @ 14.3¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Won
Yes$152 @ 77.5¢
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$144 @ 2.3¢
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-04-26?Won
Yes$196 @ 55.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 26?Lost
No$608 @ 29.5¢
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?Lost
No$52 @ 73.9¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$695	46.3¢
Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by October 15?	Politics	No	$250	50.0¢
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?	Tech	No	$10	1.0¢

Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?Geopolitics
No$695 @ 46.3¢
Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by October 15?Politics
No$250 @ 50.0¢
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?Tech
No$10 @ 1.0¢