← Smart money
0xfc31…a289
ProfitableEdge
+14.7pp
ROI
+17%
Win rate
44% @ 29.0¢
Brier
0.231
Resolved
48
Avg size
$26
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 14% (3/22) | +6% | 22 |
| Other | 50% (7/14) | +18% | 14 |
| Crypto | 100% (2/2) | +26% | 2 |
| Politics | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Sports22 bets
- Hit rate
- 14% (3/22)
- ROI
- +6%
- Other14 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (7/14)
- ROI
- +18%
- Crypto2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +26%
- Politics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
31% hit · 12/39- Yes$2 @ 17.1¢
- Yes$100 @ 77.4¢
- Yes$2 @ 1.6¢
- Yes$2 @ 2.5¢
- Yes$1 @ 6.7¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.3¢
- Yes$1 @ 6.7¢
- Yes$1 @ 2.6¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$2 @ 16.0¢
- No$100 @ 82.0¢
- No$101 @ 82.0¢
- Yes$57 @ 18.9¢
- Yes$2 @ 16.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 6.2¢
- Yes$2 @ 11.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 3.3¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.3¢
- No$100 @ 78.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$1 @ 12.8¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.7¢
- Yes$100 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 35.2¢
- No$1 @ 49.0¢
- Yes$106 @ 44.3¢
- Yes$5 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 64.2¢
- No$101 @ 83.2¢
- Yes$100 @ 26.3¢
- Yes$101 @ 60.5¢
- Yes$100 @ 32.3¢
- Yes$90 @ 68.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 2.5¢
- No$50 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 3.1¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Crypto | Yes | $102 | 80.3¢ |
| Printr FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Crypto | Yes | $101 | 84.0¢ |
| Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | Yes | $100 | 79.7¢ |
| Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026? | Crypto | Yes | $100 | 56.3¢ |
| Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? | Crypto | Yes | $100 | 67.9¢ |
| Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? | Crypto | Yes | $100 | 77.0¢ |
| Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | Yes | $100 | 77.0¢ |
- Yes$102 @ 80.3¢
- Yes$101 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$100 @ 79.7¢
- Yes$100 @ 56.3¢
- Yes$100 @ 67.9¢
- Yes$100 @ 77.0¢
- Yes$100 @ 77.0¢