0xfbe2…6f8d

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xfbe2f1f7066a035dacaf1cf625135427ff776f8d
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+15.6pp

ROI

+11%

Win rate

83% @ 67.8¢

Brier

0.070

Resolved

1255

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Politics	36% (9/25)	+18%	25
Other	36% (4/11)	-34%	11
Geopolitics	0% (0/9)	-100%	9
Sports	50% (2/4)	-1%	4
Crypto	50% (2/4)	+13%	4
Tech	50% (1/2)	+5%	2
Economy	100% (1/1)	+13%	1

Politics25 bets
Hit rate
36% (9/25)
ROI
+18%
Other11 bets
Hit rate
36% (4/11)
ROI
-34%
Geopolitics9 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/9)
ROI
-100%
Sports4 bets
Hit rate
50% (2/4)
ROI
-1%
Crypto4 bets
Hit rate
50% (2/4)
ROI
+13%
Tech2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+5%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+13%

Track record

34% hit · 19/56

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$7	67.0¢	Won
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	$23	8.4¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$274	22.5¢	Lost
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	$17	53.9¢	Lost
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner	Team Falcons	$8	88.0¢	Won
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$5	5.4¢	Lost
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?	Yes	$5	51.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$77	13.2¢	Lost
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	$15	66.1¢	Won
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	$14	67.0¢	Won
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	$2	51.0¢	Lost
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?	Yes	$18	65.7¢	Lost
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	$5.6k	78.0¢	Won
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	$457	88.3¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	$48	25.1¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	$10	10.5¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$25	15.0¢	Lost
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$106	49.4¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$74	15.0¢	Lost
Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$71	71.0¢	Lost
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$5	0.1¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	Yes	$5	79.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	$7	12.2¢	Lost
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$420	70.0¢	Won
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$2	5.7¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	$4	17.5¢	Lost
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	$13	5.4¢	Lost
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$5	10.8¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	Yes	$48	6.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$80	37.4¢	Won
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	$30	9.0¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$85	14.3¢	Lost
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	No	$64	24.4¢	Lost
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$86	76.8¢	Won
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	No	$2	12.0¢	Lost
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	$16	36.8¢	Lost
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$23	72.6¢	Won
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	$5	25.0¢	Won
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	$38	0.1¢	Lost
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$6	5.4¢	Won
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	$149	53.3¢	Lost
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	$2	42.0¢	Won
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	$5	37.0¢	Lost
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$5	41.0¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$152	38.0¢	Lost
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	$5	6.9¢	Lost
Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?	No	$154	28.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	$29	4.8¢	Lost
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	Yes	$5	2.2¢	Lost
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$36	26.0¢	Won

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?Won
Yes$7 @ 67.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Lost
Yes$23 @ 8.4¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$274 @ 22.5¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Lost
Yes$17 @ 53.9¢
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 1 WinnerWon
Team Falcons$8 @ 88.0¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$5 @ 5.4¢
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?Lost
Yes$5 @ 51.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$77 @ 13.2¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Won
No$15 @ 66.1¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Won
Yes$14 @ 67.0¢
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Lost
Yes$2 @ 51.0¢
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?Lost
Yes$18 @ 65.7¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
No$5.6k @ 78.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Won
Yes$457 @ 88.3¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Lost
Yes$48 @ 25.1¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Lost
Yes$10 @ 10.5¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$25 @ 15.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
No$106 @ 49.4¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$74 @ 15.0¢
Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$71 @ 71.0¢
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.1¢
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?Won
Yes$5 @ 79.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Lost
Yes$7 @ 12.2¢
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Won
Yes$420 @ 70.0¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 5.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Lost
Yes$4 @ 17.5¢
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Lost
Yes$13 @ 5.4¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 10.8¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Lost
Yes$48 @ 6.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$80 @ 37.4¢
Will Trump visit China by May 15?Lost
No$30 @ 9.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$85 @ 14.3¢
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to ScoreLost
No$64 @ 24.4¢
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to ScoreWon
Yes$86 @ 76.8¢
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?Lost
No$2 @ 12.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Lost
No$16 @ 36.8¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$23 @ 72.6¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Won
Yes$5 @ 25.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Lost
No$38 @ 0.1¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Won
Yes$6 @ 5.4¢
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Lost
No$149 @ 53.3¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Won
No$2 @ 42.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Lost
Yes$5 @ 37.0¢
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 41.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$152 @ 38.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Lost
Yes$5 @ 6.9¢
Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?Lost
No$154 @ 28.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?Lost
Yes$29 @ 4.8¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Lost
Yes$5 @ 2.2¢
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$36 @ 26.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Politics	No	$2.4k	78.0¢
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Politics	Yes	$2.1k	82.2¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Politics	No	$375	91.5¢
Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$32	16.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Economy	Yes	$12	68.7¢

Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Politics
No$2.4k @ 78.0¢
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Politics
Yes$2.1k @ 82.2¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics
No$375 @ 91.5¢
Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?Politics
Yes$32 @ 16.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy
Yes$12 @ 68.7¢