0xfb9d…6577

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xfb9d744a5cc604dc5211d76614e135b178476577
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+20.0pp

ROI

+81%

Win rate

50% @ 30.3¢

Brier

0.186

Resolved

939

Avg size

$15

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Culture	52% (49/95)	+37%	95
Other	64% (21/33)	+141%	33
Sports	0% (0/3)	-100%	3

Culture95 bets
Hit rate
52% (49/95)
ROI
+37%
Other33 bets
Hit rate
64% (21/33)
ROI
+141%
Sports3 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%

Track record

53% hit · 70/131

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	No	$6	8.0¢	Lost
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 16?	Yes	$35	30.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on August 20?	Yes	$26	81.5¢	Won
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	$15	2.0¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	$7	7.1¢	Lost
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 14?	Yes	$13	65.0¢	Won
Will Magnus Carlsen Win EWC 2026 Chess?	No	$20	27.6¢	Lost
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 44 and 45 million views on day 4?	Yes	$10	10.0¢	Lost
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?	Yes	$613	18.5¢	Won
Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a pillager again?	Yes	$28	13.4¢	Won
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 2:59 PM ET?	Yes	$799	72.1¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 30 million views on day 1?	No	$8	83.0¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 30 million views on day 1?	Yes	$1	5.0¢	Lost
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 22 and 24 million views on week 1?	Yes	$97	27.7¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 48 million views on day 3?	No	$40	89.0¢	Won
Will GentleMates Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?	Yes	$0	0.8¢	Lost
Will Stompgoat & Mingo Win the Jynxzi Fortnite Tournament?	No	$84	79.2¢	Won
Will Call of Duty Win the 2026 Esports Game of the Year Award?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 36 hours?	Yes	$128	83.8¢	Won
Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 14?	Yes	$71	14.9¢	Won
Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 20?	Yes	$142	79.3¢	Won
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11?	Yes	$2	74.0¢	Won
Jynxzi vs Speed: who wins in FIFA?	Jynxzi	$26	25.0¢	Lost
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 3:59 AM ET?	Yes	$468	60.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on August 21?	Yes	$10	71.0¢	Won
Will Kai and Speed have less than 20 Fortnite losses during their gauntlet?	Yes	$58	49.5¢	Won
Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a pillager?	Yes	$93	42.9¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 52 and 54 million views on day 3?	Yes	$22	1.3¢	Lost
Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 24 hours?	Yes	$25	60.5¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 55.0 and 56.5 million views on day 4?	No	$52	51.6¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 55.0 and 56.5 million views on day 4?	Yes	$8	5.7¢	Lost
Will Rocket League Win the 2026 Esports Game of the Year Award?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los be eliminated by fire?	Yes	$283	73.8¢	Won
Will Hikaru Nakamura Win EWC 2026 Chess?	Yes	$68	13.8¢	Lost
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 7:59 AM ET?	No	$25	25.0¢	Lost
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 7:59 AM ET?	Yes	$488	57.6¢	Won
Will Lacy and Marlon have between 50 and 99 Warzone deaths during the marathon?	Yes	$129	88.7¢	Won
Will Jynxzi beat the Elden Ring DLC by October 22?	Yes	$5	11.0¢	Lost
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?	No	$1.7k	78.0¢	Won
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?	Yes	$69	4.5¢	Lost
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 14?	Yes	$163	18.8¢	Won
Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 18 hours?	Yes	$65	71.9¢	Won
Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a ghast?	Yes	$166	68.5¢	Won
Jynxzi vs Speed: who wins in Fortnite?	Speed	$60	65.0¢	Won
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	No	$762	18.8¢	Won
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	Yes	$867	14.9¢	Lost
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 1:59 AM ET?	No	$15	14.0¢	Lost
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 1:59 AM ET?	Yes	$23	9.0¢	Won
Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to an enderman in a 3rd timeframe?	Yes	$42	79.6¢	Won
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)	Islam Makhachev	$435	72.4¢	Won

Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Lost
No$6 @ 8.0¢
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 16?Won
Yes$35 @ 30.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on August 20?Won
Yes$26 @ 81.5¢
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?Lost
Yes$15 @ 2.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?Lost
Yes$7 @ 7.1¢
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 14?Won
Yes$13 @ 65.0¢
Will Magnus Carlsen Win EWC 2026 Chess?Lost
No$20 @ 27.6¢
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 44 and 45 million views on day 4?Lost
Yes$10 @ 10.0¢
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?Won
Yes$613 @ 18.5¢
Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a pillager again?Won
Yes$28 @ 13.4¢
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 2:59 PM ET?Won
Yes$799 @ 72.1¢
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 30 million views on day 1?Won
No$8 @ 83.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 30 million views on day 1?Lost
Yes$1 @ 5.0¢
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 22 and 24 million views on week 1?Lost
Yes$97 @ 27.7¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 48 million views on day 3?Won
No$40 @ 89.0¢
Will GentleMates Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.8¢
Will Stompgoat & Mingo Win the Jynxzi Fortnite Tournament?Won
No$84 @ 79.2¢
Will Call of Duty Win the 2026 Esports Game of the Year Award?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 36 hours?Won
Yes$128 @ 83.8¢
Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 14?Won
Yes$71 @ 14.9¢
Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 20?Won
Yes$142 @ 79.3¢
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11?Won
Yes$2 @ 74.0¢
Jynxzi vs Speed: who wins in FIFA?Lost
Jynxzi$26 @ 25.0¢
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 3:59 AM ET?Won
Yes$468 @ 60.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on August 21?Won
Yes$10 @ 71.0¢
Will Kai and Speed have less than 20 Fortnite losses during their gauntlet?Won
Yes$58 @ 49.5¢
Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a pillager?Won
Yes$93 @ 42.9¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 52 and 54 million views on day 3?Lost
Yes$22 @ 1.3¢
Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 24 hours?Won
Yes$25 @ 60.5¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 55.0 and 56.5 million views on day 4?Won
No$52 @ 51.6¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 55.0 and 56.5 million views on day 4?Lost
Yes$8 @ 5.7¢
Will Rocket League Win the 2026 Esports Game of the Year Award?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los be eliminated by fire?Won
Yes$283 @ 73.8¢
Will Hikaru Nakamura Win EWC 2026 Chess?Lost
Yes$68 @ 13.8¢
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 7:59 AM ET?Lost
No$25 @ 25.0¢
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 7:59 AM ET?Won
Yes$488 @ 57.6¢
Will Lacy and Marlon have between 50 and 99 Warzone deaths during the marathon?Won
Yes$129 @ 88.7¢
Will Jynxzi beat the Elden Ring DLC by October 22?Lost
Yes$5 @ 11.0¢
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?Won
No$1.7k @ 78.0¢
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?Lost
Yes$69 @ 4.5¢
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 14?Won
Yes$163 @ 18.8¢
Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 18 hours?Won
Yes$65 @ 71.9¢
Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a ghast?Won
Yes$166 @ 68.5¢
Jynxzi vs Speed: who wins in Fortnite?Won
Speed$60 @ 65.0¢
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?Won
No$762 @ 18.8¢
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?Lost
Yes$867 @ 14.9¢
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 1:59 AM ET?Lost
No$15 @ 14.0¢
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 1:59 AM ET?Won
Yes$23 @ 9.0¢
Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to an enderman in a 3rd timeframe?Won
Yes$42 @ 79.6¢
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)Won
Islam Makhachev$435 @ 72.4¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will IShowSpeed win Streamer of the Year at the 2026 Streamer Awards?	Culture	Yes	$306	66.5¢
Will iShowSpeed Win the 2026 Streamer of the Year Award?	—	Yes	$157	75.0¢
Will Jynxzi win Streamer of the Year at the 2026 Streamer Awards?	Culture	No	$151	81.9¢
Will TheBurntPeanut win Gamer of the Year at the 2026 Streamer Awards?	Culture	Yes	$29	16.0¢
Will Jynxzi win Gamer of the Year at the 2026 Streamer Awards?	Culture	Yes	$8	20.1¢
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Politics	No	$5	51.5¢
Will CaseOh win Streamer of the Year at the 2026 Streamer Awards?	Culture	Yes	$5	2.5¢
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$5	48.6¢
Will StableRonaldo win Streamer of the Year at the 2026 Streamer Awards?	Culture	Yes	$2	1.1¢
Will iiTzTimmy win Gamer of the Year at the 2026 Streamer Awards?	Culture	Yes	$2	0.9¢
Will Feinberg win Gamer of the Year at the 2026 Streamer Awards?	Culture	Yes	$2	0.4¢
Will Joe Bartolozzi win Streamer of the Year at the 2026 Streamer Awards?	Culture	Yes	$1	0.4¢
Will NRG Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?	Sports	Yes	$0	0.3¢
Will OpTic Gaming Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?	Sports	Yes	$0	0.8¢
Will Faker Win the 2026 Esports Personality of the Year Award?	Sports	Yes	$0	2.0¢
Will 100 Thieves Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?	Sports	Yes	$0	0.3¢
Will CaseOh Win the 2026 Streamer of the Year Award?	—	Yes	$0	1.1¢
Will GentleMates Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?	Sports	Yes	$0	0.8¢
Will G2 Esports Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?	Sports	Yes	$0	0.8¢
Will Boaster Win the 2026 Esports Personality of the Year Award?	Sports	Yes	$0	1.0¢
Will Supertf win Gamer of the Year at the 2026 Streamer Awards?	Culture	Yes	$0	0.2¢
Will Brawl Stars Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award?	—	Yes	$0	0.2¢
Will Rocket League Win the 2026 Esports Game of the Year Award?	—	Yes	$0	0.1¢
Will Call of Duty Win the 2026 Esports Game of the Year Award?	—	Yes	$0	0.1¢
Will TacticalRab Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award?	Sports	Yes	$0	0.2¢
Will NiceWigg Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award?	Sports	Yes	$0	0.1¢

Will IShowSpeed win Streamer of the Year at the 2026 Streamer Awards?Culture
Yes$306 @ 66.5¢
Will iShowSpeed Win the 2026 Streamer of the Year Award?—
Yes$157 @ 75.0¢
Will Jynxzi win Streamer of the Year at the 2026 Streamer Awards?Culture
No$151 @ 81.9¢
Will TheBurntPeanut win Gamer of the Year at the 2026 Streamer Awards?Culture
Yes$29 @ 16.0¢
Will Jynxzi win Gamer of the Year at the 2026 Streamer Awards?Culture
Yes$8 @ 20.1¢
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
No$5 @ 51.5¢
Will CaseOh win Streamer of the Year at the 2026 Streamer Awards?Culture
Yes$5 @ 2.5¢
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$5 @ 48.6¢
Will StableRonaldo win Streamer of the Year at the 2026 Streamer Awards?Culture
Yes$2 @ 1.1¢
Will iiTzTimmy win Gamer of the Year at the 2026 Streamer Awards?Culture
Yes$2 @ 0.9¢
Will Feinberg win Gamer of the Year at the 2026 Streamer Awards?Culture
Yes$2 @ 0.4¢
Will Joe Bartolozzi win Streamer of the Year at the 2026 Streamer Awards?Culture
Yes$1 @ 0.4¢
Will NRG Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?Sports
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will OpTic Gaming Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?Sports
Yes$0 @ 0.8¢
Will Faker Win the 2026 Esports Personality of the Year Award?Sports
Yes$0 @ 2.0¢
Will 100 Thieves Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?Sports
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will CaseOh Win the 2026 Streamer of the Year Award?—
Yes$0 @ 1.1¢
Will GentleMates Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?Sports
Yes$0 @ 0.8¢
Will G2 Esports Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?Sports
Yes$0 @ 0.8¢
Will Boaster Win the 2026 Esports Personality of the Year Award?Sports
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will Supertf win Gamer of the Year at the 2026 Streamer Awards?Culture
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will Brawl Stars Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award?—
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will Rocket League Win the 2026 Esports Game of the Year Award?—
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Call of Duty Win the 2026 Esports Game of the Year Award?—
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will TacticalRab Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award?Sports
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will NiceWigg Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award?Sports
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢