0xfb68…a240

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xfb681e23db8d1cca8a6b7e2a70a29e000ddfa240
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+10.8pp

ROI

+10%

Win rate

53% @ 42.5¢

Brier

0.234

Resolved

8783

Avg size

$99

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	50% (131/264)	+10%	264
Sports	56% (15/27)	+5%	27
Politics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other264 bets
Hit rate
50% (131/264)
ROI
+10%
Sports27 bets
Hit rate
56% (15/27)
ROI
+5%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

50% hit · 146/292

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Golden Knights vs. Oilers	Golden Knights	$2.5k	49.0¢	Won
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)	Penguins	$417	63.0¢	Lost
Sabres vs. Kings	Kings	$6.2k	47.5¢	Lost
Giants vs. Rams: O/U 47.5	Over	$2.3k	50.0¢	Lost
Capitals vs. Penguins	Capitals	$4.7k	53.0¢	Won
Spread: Washington (-42.5)	Washington	$683	50.0¢	Lost
Wild vs. Stars	Stars	$366	52.0¢	Won
Hurricanes vs. Senators	Hurricanes	$2.9k	53.9¢	Won
Hurricanes vs. Senators	Senators	$2.7k	44.0¢	Lost
Blue Jackets vs. Lightning	Blue Jackets	$3.2k	32.0¢	Won
Jets vs. Blue Jackets	Jets	$5.0k	42.0¢	Won
Wild vs. Panthers	Panthers	$3.7k	44.0¢	Lost
James Madison vs. San Diego State	James Madison	$1.4k	47.0¢	Won
Flyers vs. Sharks	Flyers	$4.7k	47.0¢	Won
Bruins vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5	Under	$1.7k	47.0¢	Won
Predators vs. Canucks	Canucks	$4.5k	41.0¢	Won
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)	Penguins	$481	53.0¢	Won
Oilers vs. Canucks	Canucks	$836	70.0¢	Lost
Avalanche vs. Capitals	Capitals	$4.0k	39.0¢	Lost
Lightning vs. Kraken	Kraken	$3.0k	38.0¢	Lost
Commanders vs. Cowboys: O/U 56.5	Over	$76	49.0¢	Won
Senators vs. Capitals	Capitals	$5.2k	46.0¢	Won
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5	Under	$1.9k	48.0¢	Won
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)	Pistons	$438	17.0¢	Lost
UConn vs. Southern Miss	Southern Miss	$500	41.0¢	Lost
Panthers vs. Kraken	Panthers	$4.0k	53.4¢	Lost
Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Golden Knights	$6.0k	50.0¢	Won
Stars vs. Flyers	Stars	$2.2k	58.0¢	Lost
Olympique de Marseille vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$355	35.0¢	Won
Flyers vs. Penguins	Flyers	$3.8k	42.0¢	Won
Buffalo vs. Penn State: O/U 49.5	Over	$1.5k	48.0¢	Won
Arizona State vs. Kansas: O/U 50.5	Over	$1.0k	50.0¢	Lost
Bruins vs. Panthers	Panthers	$2.9k	42.0¢	Won
Predators vs. Utah	Utah	$212	58.0¢	Won
Maple Leafs vs. Sharks	Maple Leafs	$2.3k	47.0¢	Lost
Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigers	Detroit Tigers	$8.0k	62.0¢	Won
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)	Flames	$2.9k	53.0¢	Lost
Sabres vs. Ducks	Sabres	$3.0k	52.0¢	Lost
Kings vs. Rangers	Rangers	$5.6k	48.7¢	Lost
Flames vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	$32	72.0¢	Won
Kraken vs. Sabres	Kraken	$2.0k	36.0¢	Lost
Golden Knights vs. Stars	Stars	$4.6k	58.0¢	Won
Spread: Senators (-1.5)	Panthers	$6.1k	61.0¢	Won
New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5	Under	$1.8k	48.0¢	Won
Panthers vs. Penguins	Panthers	$3.3k	33.0¢	Lost
Spread: Vanderbilt (-3.5)	Vanderbilt	$1.9k	47.0¢	Won
Penguins vs. Utah	Penguins	$3.4k	42.0¢	Won
1H Spread: 49ers (-4.5)	Dolphins	$389	40.0¢	Lost
Wild vs. Stars	Wild	$3.6k	45.0¢	Won
Eagles vs. Titans: O/U 39.5	Under	$1.9k	48.0¢	Lost

Golden Knights vs. OilersWon
Golden Knights$2.5k @ 49.0¢
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Lost
Penguins$417 @ 63.0¢
Sabres vs. KingsLost
Kings$6.2k @ 47.5¢
Giants vs. Rams: O/U 47.5Lost
Over$2.3k @ 50.0¢
Capitals vs. PenguinsWon
Capitals$4.7k @ 53.0¢
Spread: Washington (-42.5)Lost
Washington$683 @ 50.0¢
Wild vs. StarsWon
Stars$366 @ 52.0¢
Hurricanes vs. SenatorsWon
Hurricanes$2.9k @ 53.9¢
Hurricanes vs. SenatorsLost
Senators$2.7k @ 44.0¢
Blue Jackets vs. LightningWon
Blue Jackets$3.2k @ 32.0¢
Jets vs. Blue JacketsWon
Jets$5.0k @ 42.0¢
Wild vs. PanthersLost
Panthers$3.7k @ 44.0¢
James Madison vs. San Diego StateWon
James Madison$1.4k @ 47.0¢
Flyers vs. SharksWon
Flyers$4.7k @ 47.0¢
Bruins vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5Won
Under$1.7k @ 47.0¢
Predators vs. CanucksWon
Canucks$4.5k @ 41.0¢
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Won
Penguins$481 @ 53.0¢
Oilers vs. CanucksLost
Canucks$836 @ 70.0¢
Avalanche vs. CapitalsLost
Capitals$4.0k @ 39.0¢
Lightning vs. KrakenLost
Kraken$3.0k @ 38.0¢
Commanders vs. Cowboys: O/U 56.5Won
Over$76 @ 49.0¢
Senators vs. CapitalsWon
Capitals$5.2k @ 46.0¢
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5Won
Under$1.9k @ 48.0¢
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Lost
Pistons$438 @ 17.0¢
UConn vs. Southern MissLost
Southern Miss$500 @ 41.0¢
Panthers vs. KrakenLost
Panthers$4.0k @ 53.4¢
Golden Knights vs. DucksWon
Golden Knights$6.0k @ 50.0¢
Stars vs. FlyersLost
Stars$2.2k @ 58.0¢
Olympique de Marseille vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to ScoreWon
Yes$355 @ 35.0¢
Flyers vs. PenguinsWon
Flyers$3.8k @ 42.0¢
Buffalo vs. Penn State: O/U 49.5Won
Over$1.5k @ 48.0¢
Arizona State vs. Kansas: O/U 50.5Lost
Over$1.0k @ 50.0¢
Bruins vs. PanthersWon
Panthers$2.9k @ 42.0¢
Predators vs. UtahWon
Utah$212 @ 58.0¢
Maple Leafs vs. SharksLost
Maple Leafs$2.3k @ 47.0¢
Miami Marlins vs. Detroit TigersWon
Detroit Tigers$8.0k @ 62.0¢
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Lost
Flames$2.9k @ 53.0¢
Sabres vs. DucksLost
Sabres$3.0k @ 52.0¢
Kings vs. RangersLost
Rangers$5.6k @ 48.7¢
Flames vs. AvalancheWon
Avalanche$32 @ 72.0¢
Kraken vs. SabresLost
Kraken$2.0k @ 36.0¢
Golden Knights vs. StarsWon
Stars$4.6k @ 58.0¢
Spread: Senators (-1.5)Won
Panthers$6.1k @ 61.0¢
New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5Won
Under$1.8k @ 48.0¢
Panthers vs. PenguinsLost
Panthers$3.3k @ 33.0¢
Spread: Vanderbilt (-3.5)Won
Vanderbilt$1.9k @ 47.0¢
Penguins vs. UtahWon
Penguins$3.4k @ 42.0¢
1H Spread: 49ers (-4.5)Lost
Dolphins$389 @ 40.0¢
Wild vs. StarsWon
Wild$3.6k @ 45.0¢
Eagles vs. Titans: O/U 39.5Lost
Under$1.9k @ 48.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Spread: Broncos (-3.5)	Sports	Rams	$6.8k	68.0¢
Spread: Colts (-3.5)	Sports	Texans	$5.9k	68.0¢
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)	Sports	Ravens	$5.5k	75.0¢
Will Walt Weiss win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?	Sports	No	$4.0k	80.0¢
Spread: Louisville (-14.5)	Sports	Wake Forest	$3.9k	59.0¢
Spread: Georgia Tech (-3.5)	Sports	Georgia Tech	$3.5k	48.0¢
Spread: Bills (-7.5)	Sports	Chargers	$3.0k	51.0¢
Spread: TCU (-2.5)	Sports	UCF	$3.0k	44.0¢
Spread: UNLV (-13.5)	Sports	UNLV	$3.0k	48.6¢
Bengals vs. Steelers: O/U 42.5	Sports	Under	$2.9k	49.0¢
Spread: Kentucky (-19.5)	Sports	South Alabama	$2.7k	46.0¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Politics	Yes	$2.5k	84.0¢
Texas vs. Tennessee: O/U 55.5	Sports	Over	$2.2k	49.0¢
Spread: Hawai'i (-3.5)	Sports	Hawai'i	$2.2k	44.0¢
Spread: South Florida (-19.5)	Sports	Bowling Green	$2.1k	53.0¢
Spread: Utah (-8.5)	Sports	Utah	$2.1k	47.0¢
Spread: Chiefs (-9.5)	Sports	Dolphins	$1.8k	44.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Elves Brener vs. Josiah Harrell (Lightweight, Main Card)	Sports	Elves Brener	$1.8k	45.0¢
Iowa vs. Michigan: O/U 38.5	Sports	Over	$1.5k	50.0¢
Spread: Chiefs (-10.5)	Sports	Dolphins	$1.5k	51.0¢
Spread: Virginia (-19.5)	Sports	Delaware	$1.4k	47.0¢
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)	Sports	Ravens	$1.4k	48.0¢
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$1.2k	29.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Vanessa Demopoulos vs. Yazmin Jauregui (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	Sports	Yazmin Jauregui	$990	86.0¢
Will the New York Rangers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Sports	Yes	$405	2.5¢
Will the Carolina Hurricanes be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Sports	Yes	$360	12.0¢
Will the Washington Capitals be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Sports	Yes	$314	3.7¢
Will Philadelphia Flyers be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?	Sports	Yes	$306	6.0¢
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Sports	Yes	$290	6.0¢
Will the Dallas Stars be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Sports	Yes	$247	5.0¢

Spread: Broncos (-3.5)Sports
Rams$6.8k @ 68.0¢
Spread: Colts (-3.5)Sports
Texans$5.9k @ 68.0¢
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)Sports
Ravens$5.5k @ 75.0¢
Will Walt Weiss win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?Sports
No$4.0k @ 80.0¢
Spread: Louisville (-14.5)Sports
Wake Forest$3.9k @ 59.0¢
Spread: Georgia Tech (-3.5)Sports
Georgia Tech$3.5k @ 48.0¢
Spread: Bills (-7.5)Sports
Chargers$3.0k @ 51.0¢
Spread: TCU (-2.5)Sports
UCF$3.0k @ 44.0¢
Spread: UNLV (-13.5)Sports
UNLV$3.0k @ 48.6¢
Bengals vs. Steelers: O/U 42.5Sports
Under$2.9k @ 49.0¢
Spread: Kentucky (-19.5)Sports
South Alabama$2.7k @ 46.0¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
Yes$2.5k @ 84.0¢
Texas vs. Tennessee: O/U 55.5Sports
Over$2.2k @ 49.0¢
Spread: Hawai'i (-3.5)Sports
Hawai'i$2.2k @ 44.0¢
Spread: South Florida (-19.5)Sports
Bowling Green$2.1k @ 53.0¢
Spread: Utah (-8.5)Sports
Utah$2.1k @ 47.0¢
Spread: Chiefs (-9.5)Sports
Dolphins$1.8k @ 44.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Elves Brener vs. Josiah Harrell (Lightweight, Main Card)Sports
Elves Brener$1.8k @ 45.0¢
Iowa vs. Michigan: O/U 38.5Sports
Over$1.5k @ 50.0¢
Spread: Chiefs (-10.5)Sports
Dolphins$1.5k @ 51.0¢
Spread: Virginia (-19.5)Sports
Delaware$1.4k @ 47.0¢
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)Sports
Ravens$1.4k @ 48.0¢
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Tech
Yes$1.2k @ 29.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Vanessa Demopoulos vs. Yazmin Jauregui (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)Sports
Yazmin Jauregui$990 @ 86.0¢
Will the New York Rangers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?Sports
Yes$405 @ 2.5¢
Will the Carolina Hurricanes be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?Sports
Yes$360 @ 12.0¢
Will the Washington Capitals be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?Sports
Yes$314 @ 3.7¢
Will Philadelphia Flyers be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?Sports
Yes$306 @ 6.0¢
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?Sports
Yes$290 @ 6.0¢
Will the Dallas Stars be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?Sports
Yes$247 @ 5.0¢