← Smart money
0xfb64…5e23
SharpEdge
+8.0pp
ROI
+11%
Win rate
40% @ 31.9¢
Brier
0.141
Resolved
2299
Avg size
$196
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 39% (154/392) | +6% | 392 |
| Sports | 16% (24/151) | +19% | 151 |
| Politics | 0% (0/3) | -100% | 3 |
| Crypto | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
- Other392 bets
- Hit rate
- 39% (154/392)
- ROI
- +6%
- Sports151 bets
- Hit rate
- 16% (24/151)
- ROI
- +19%
- Politics3 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/3)
- ROI
- -100%
- Crypto2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
32% hit · 178/548- 76ers$55 @ 21.3¢
- Celtics$50 @ 88.0¢
- Rams$5.3k @ 43.0¢
- Pacers$42 @ 7.0¢
- Over 4.5$223 @ 63.0¢
- 76ers$198 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 33.0¢
- No$1.7k @ 35.0¢
- Nuggets$49 @ 11.0¢
- No$4.0k @ 59.7¢
- Yes$30 @ 1.6¢
- Yes$101 @ 66.0¢
- Michigan Wolverines$1.2k @ 76.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 0.1¢
- Arizona Wildcats$952 @ 8.9¢
- No$216 @ 54.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 0.8¢
- No$8.1k @ 41.2¢
- No$6.7k @ 51.3¢
- Celtics$117 @ 39.0¢
- Knicks$320 @ 39.2¢
- Clippers$250 @ 25.0¢
- Arkansas Razorbacks$34 @ 2.1¢
- Under$179 @ 86.7¢
- Yes$323 @ 5.4¢
- Spurs$4.1k @ 64.9¢
- No$200 @ 78.8¢
- Pelicans$269 @ 18.7¢
- Mavericks$208 @ 26.0¢
- Yes$280 @ 11.0¢
- Jazz vs. ThunderLostJazz$121 @ 4.1¢
- Bulls vs. SpursLostBulls$70 @ 7.0¢
- Nets vs. HawksLostNets$35 @ 15.0¢
- Hawks vs. NetsLostNets$54 @ 9.0¢
- Lakers$225 @ 45.0¢
- No$147 @ 46.0¢
- Alcaraz$3.3k @ 85.0¢
- No$155 @ 16.0¢
- Yes$103 @ 49.0¢
- Jazz$40 @ 9.0¢
- Warriors$122 @ 61.0¢
- Yes$504 @ 71.0¢
- Yes$12 @ 0.6¢
- Nuggets$248 @ 62.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 0.4¢
- Kings$271 @ 10.3¢
- Yes$3 @ 0.1¢
- No$55 @ 28.0¢
- Nets$77 @ 11.0¢
- Kings$95 @ 19.0¢
Recent trades
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Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | Sports | No | $10.3k | 44.8¢ |
| Will Buffalo Bills win the 2026 AFC East? | Sports | No | $3.1k | 31.0¢ |
| Will Las Vegas Raiders win the 2026 AFC West? | Sports | Yes | $1.0k | 10.5¢ |
| Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026? | Sports | Yes | $807 | 32.9¢ |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $155 | 7.7¢ |
| Will Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2026 AFC South? | Sports | No | $82 | 54.0¢ |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Politics | Yes | $46 | 1.1¢ |
| Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2026 AFC North? | Sports | No | $17 | 54.4¢ |
- No$10.3k @ 44.8¢
- No$3.1k @ 31.0¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 10.5¢
- Yes$807 @ 32.9¢
- Yes$155 @ 7.7¢
- No$82 @ 54.0¢
- Yes$46 @ 1.1¢
- No$17 @ 54.4¢