0xfb64…eb56

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xfb6417f13b14a97188aeda97242d909ec58eeb56
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+14.1pp

ROI

+15%

Win rate

94% @ 80.2¢

Brier

0.074

Resolved

177

Avg size

$270

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	86% (44/51)	+15%	51
Politics	100% (1/1)	+17%	1
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+17%	1

Other51 bets
Hit rate
86% (44/51)
ROI
+15%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+17%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+17%

Track record

87% hit · 46/53

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by February 28, 2025?	No	$7.1k	87.6¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?	No	$267	76.3¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?	No	$45	89.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?	No	$846	89.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?	No	$382	77.0¢	Won
Will Solana hit $240 in December?	Yes	$77	77.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?	No	$932	86.0¢	Won
Will Solana reach $500 before 2026?	No	$425	85.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $3200 in June?	No	$625	83.3¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$1.7k	85.3¢	Won
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 11-17?	No	$5	1.0¢	Lost
South Korean President impeached in 2024?	Yes	$100	70.8¢	Won
Will Solana hit $210 in March?	No	$800	80.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December?	No	$210	84.0¢	Won
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?	Yes	$13	66.0¢	Won
Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?	No	$1.2k	79.4¢	Won
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?	Yes	$113	75.2¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by January 31, 2025?	No	$2.2k	89.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	No	$43	85.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by January 31, 2025?	No	$10.0k	88.7¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in August?	No	$838	88.2¢	Won
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?	No	$890	89.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $4600 in August?	No	$223	89.0¢	Lost
Will Solana reach $200 in July?	No	$218	87.0¢	Lost
Will Solana dip to $80 in March?	No	$2.8k	87.6¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	$440	88.0¢	Won
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	$2.1k	85.8¢	Won
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?	No	$750	75.0¢	Won
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?	No	$3.4k	73.6¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $2000 in April?	No	$1.4k	88.3¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $5400 in August?	No	$1.3k	87.5¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?	No	$178	71.3¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in December?	No	$313	71.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $5800 in August?	No	$220	88.0¢	Won
Maduro out in 2025?	No	$218	87.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum hit $5,000.00 in December?	No	$577	87.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?	No	$1.3k	85.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $3100 in July?	No	$385	77.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?	No	$84	84.0¢	Won
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	$44	87.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum hit $4,750 by January 31, 2025?	No	$87	87.0¢	Won
Will Solana reach $400 before 2026?	No	$199	72.7¢	Won
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	No	$84	84.0¢	Lost
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	$44	88.5¢	Won
Will Ripple hit in $3.50 in December?	No	$128	85.0¢	Won
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$1	10.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in August?	No	$45	45.0¢	Lost
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	$91	87.9¢	Won
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500.00 by March 31?	No	$850	85.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?	No	$260	52.0¢	Won

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by February 28, 2025?Won
No$7.1k @ 87.6¢
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?Won
No$267 @ 76.3¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?Won
No$45 @ 89.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?Won
No$846 @ 89.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?Won
No$382 @ 77.0¢
Will Solana hit $240 in December?Won
Yes$77 @ 77.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?Won
No$932 @ 86.0¢
Will Solana reach $500 before 2026?Won
No$425 @ 85.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $3200 in June?Won
No$625 @ 83.3¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Won
No$1.7k @ 85.3¢
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 11-17?Lost
No$5 @ 1.0¢
South Korean President impeached in 2024?Won
Yes$100 @ 70.8¢
Will Solana hit $210 in March?Won
No$800 @ 80.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December?Won
No$210 @ 84.0¢
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Won
Yes$13 @ 66.0¢
Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?Won
No$1.2k @ 79.4¢
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Won
Yes$113 @ 75.2¢
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by January 31, 2025?Won
No$2.2k @ 89.0¢
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Won
No$43 @ 85.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by January 31, 2025?Won
No$10.0k @ 88.7¢
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in August?Won
No$838 @ 88.2¢
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Won
No$890 @ 89.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $4600 in August?Lost
No$223 @ 89.0¢
Will Solana reach $200 in July?Lost
No$218 @ 87.0¢
Will Solana dip to $80 in March?Won
No$2.8k @ 87.6¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Won
No$440 @ 88.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Won
No$2.1k @ 85.8¢
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?Won
No$750 @ 75.0¢
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?Won
No$3.4k @ 73.6¢
Will Ethereum reach $2000 in April?Won
No$1.4k @ 88.3¢
Will Ethereum reach $5400 in August?Won
No$1.3k @ 87.5¢
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?Won
No$178 @ 71.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in December?Won
No$313 @ 71.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $5800 in August?Won
No$220 @ 88.0¢
Maduro out in 2025?Won
No$218 @ 87.0¢
Will Ethereum hit $5,000.00 in December?Won
No$577 @ 87.0¢
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?Won
No$1.3k @ 85.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $3100 in July?Lost
No$385 @ 77.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?Won
No$84 @ 84.0¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Won
Yes$44 @ 87.0¢
Will Ethereum hit $4,750 by January 31, 2025?Won
No$87 @ 87.0¢
Will Solana reach $400 before 2026?Won
No$199 @ 72.7¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Lost
No$84 @ 84.0¢
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Won
Yes$44 @ 88.5¢
Will Ripple hit in $3.50 in December?Won
No$128 @ 85.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$1 @ 10.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in August?Lost
No$45 @ 45.0¢
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Won
Yes$91 @ 87.9¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500.00 by March 31?Won
No$850 @ 85.0¢
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?Won
No$260 @ 52.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Politics	No	$10.9k	95.9¢
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Geopolitics	No	$7.0k	93.0¢
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?	Politics	No	$2.0k	97.9¢
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	Science	No	$1.6k	97.0¢
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?	Politics	No	$1.0k	97.7¢
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Economy	Yes	$956	95.6¢
Trump out as President before 2027?	Politics	No	$479	95.7¢
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?	Politics	No	$136	96.6¢
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?	Politics	No	$77	97.6¢
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027?	Politics	No	$27	97.7¢

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics
No$10.9k @ 95.9¢
Xi Jinping out before 2027?Geopolitics
No$7.0k @ 93.0¢
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?Politics
No$2.0k @ 97.9¢
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Science
No$1.6k @ 97.0¢
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?Politics
No$1.0k @ 97.7¢
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy
Yes$956 @ 95.6¢
Trump out as President before 2027?Politics
No$479 @ 95.7¢
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?Politics
No$136 @ 96.6¢
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?Politics
No$77 @ 97.6¢
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027?Politics
No$27 @ 97.7¢