0xfb2a…edcc

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xfb2a3c9c7992fbc07bcdbee07aa0c491acd6edcc
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+26.9pp

ROI

+59%

Win rate

90% @ 63.1¢

Brier

0.116

Resolved

Avg size

$155

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	78% (7/9)	+59%	9
Tech	100% (3/3)	+18%	3
Sports	100% (1/1)	+23%	1

Other9 bets
Hit rate
78% (7/9)
ROI
+59%
Tech3 bets
Hit rate
100% (3/3)
ROI
+18%
Sports1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+23%

Track record

85% hit · 11/13

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	$5	88.0¢	Won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$4	81.1¢	Won
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	$4	81.0¢	Won
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	Yes	$7	76.7¢	Won
Will there be a US Government shutdown?	No	$72	4.5¢	Lost
Bitcoin above $98,000 on December 6?	Yes	$67	83.0¢	Won
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	$4	84.3¢	Won
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	Yes	$4	66.0¢	Won
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?	No	$6	87.0¢	Won
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	No	$1.8k	60.6¢	Won
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	No	$5	88.2¢	Won
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?	No	$67	58.4¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	Yes	$2.6k	60.9¢	Won

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Won
No$5 @ 88.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$4 @ 81.1¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Won
Yes$4 @ 81.0¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Won
Yes$7 @ 76.7¢
Will there be a US Government shutdown? Lost
No$72 @ 4.5¢
Bitcoin above $98,000 on December 6?Won
Yes$67 @ 83.0¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Won
Yes$4 @ 84.3¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Won
Yes$4 @ 66.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Won
No$6 @ 87.0¢
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Won
No$1.8k @ 60.6¢
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Won
No$5 @ 88.2¢
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Lost
No$67 @ 58.4¢
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Won
Yes$2.6k @ 60.9¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	Crypto	No	$5	98.5¢
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Tech	No	$5	97.9¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Economy	Yes	$5	92.7¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Tech	Yes	$4	70.0¢

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?Crypto
No$5 @ 98.5¢
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech
No$5 @ 97.9¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Economy
Yes$5 @ 92.7¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech
Yes$4 @ 70.0¢