0xfaa5…7cc9

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xfaa55858f098040003978c3615a086cdd0cd7cc9
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+4.4pp

ROI

+4%

Win rate

61% @ 56.4¢

Brier

0.193

Resolved

5037

Avg size

$157

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	57% (210/366)	+7%	366
Sports	51% (45/88)	-1%	88
Politics	50% (7/14)	-8%	14
Geopolitics	50% (2/4)	-18%	4
Tech	50% (1/2)	+17%	2
Crypto	50% (1/2)	-61%	2

Other366 bets
Hit rate
57% (210/366)
ROI
+7%
Sports88 bets
Hit rate
51% (45/88)
ROI
-1%
Politics14 bets
Hit rate
50% (7/14)
ROI
-8%
Geopolitics4 bets
Hit rate
50% (2/4)
ROI
-18%
Tech2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+17%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-61%

Track record

56% hit · 266/476

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	No	$31	76.0¢	Won
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	No	$12	71.0¢	Lost
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	No	$850	85.0¢	Won
Will US Lecce vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?	No	$324	71.0¢	Won
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	No	$163	49.8¢	Lost
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	No	$637	94.2¢	Won
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	No	$119	80.0¢	Won
Will Max Verstappen win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	No	$997	31.8¢	Lost
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	No	$5.1k	79.2¢	Won
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	No	$421	38.0¢	Lost
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	No	$1.9k	69.0¢	Lost
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	No	$440	58.1¢	Won
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-10?	No	$210	66.0¢	Won
Will Torino FC vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?	No	$1.2k	60.0¢	Won
Arsenal FC vs. Qairat FK: O/U 4.5	Under	$270	52.3¢	Lost
Pacers vs. Cavaliers	Pacers	$1.0k	8.0¢	Lost
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?	No	$2.2k	51.0¢	Won
Knicks vs. Warriors	Warriors	$1.2k	68.0¢	Won
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-31?	No	$1.8k	27.0¢	Won
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-10?	No	$630	28.0¢	Lost
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-07?	No	$3.5k	73.2¢	Won
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-25?	No	$3.4k	49.0¢	Lost
Will Norway win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 4 X 7.5km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?	No	$144	47.0¢	Won
Will SS Lazio vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?	No	$1.7k	67.0¢	Won
Clippers vs. Warriors	Clippers	$876	52.0¢	Won
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-20?	Yes	$238	67.1¢	Lost
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-14?	No	$1.2k	50.0¢	Lost
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	No	$132	44.0¢	Lost
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	No	$1.7k	70.0¢	Won
Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?	No	$2.2k	65.0¢	Won
Jamal Musiala: 1+ goals	No	$56	51.0¢	Lost
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?	No	$845	60.0¢	Won
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?	Yes	$428	54.0¢	Won
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	$853	42.0¢	Won
Set Handicap: Djokovic (-2.5) vs Rinderknech (+2.5)	Djokovic	$62	47.0¢	Lost
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	$985	58.0¢	Lost
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw?	No	$114	76.0¢	Lost
Leroy Sané: 1+ goals	No	$156	53.0¢	Won
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-21?	No	$2.4k	29.7¢	Won
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-09?	No	$580	14.0¢	Lost
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?	No	$85	25.0¢	Lost
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-02-09?	Yes	$130	10.0¢	Lost
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	$1.1k	81.0¢	Won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$31.1k	88.4¢	Won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$43	5.4¢	Lost
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?	No	$1.5k	73.0¢	Won
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	$937	61.0¢	Won
FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	No	$249	43.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$2.2k	73.3¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$520	26.0¢	Lost

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?Won
No$31 @ 76.0¢
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?Lost
No$12 @ 71.0¢
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?Won
No$850 @ 85.0¢
Will US Lecce vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?Won
No$324 @ 71.0¢
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?Lost
No$163 @ 49.8¢
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?Won
No$637 @ 94.2¢
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?Won
No$119 @ 80.0¢
Will Max Verstappen win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?Lost
No$997 @ 31.8¢
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?Won
No$5.1k @ 79.2¢
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?Lost
No$421 @ 38.0¢
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?Lost
No$1.9k @ 69.0¢
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?Won
No$440 @ 58.1¢
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-10?Won
No$210 @ 66.0¢
Will Torino FC vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?Won
No$1.2k @ 60.0¢
Arsenal FC vs. Qairat FK: O/U 4.5Lost
Under$270 @ 52.3¢
Pacers vs. CavaliersLost
Pacers$1.0k @ 8.0¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?Won
No$2.2k @ 51.0¢
Knicks vs. WarriorsWon
Warriors$1.2k @ 68.0¢
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-31?Won
No$1.8k @ 27.0¢
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-10?Lost
No$630 @ 28.0¢
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-07?Won
No$3.5k @ 73.2¢
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-25?Lost
No$3.4k @ 49.0¢
Will Norway win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 4 X 7.5km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?Won
No$144 @ 47.0¢
Will SS Lazio vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?Won
No$1.7k @ 67.0¢
Clippers vs. WarriorsWon
Clippers$876 @ 52.0¢
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-20?Lost
Yes$238 @ 67.1¢
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-14?Lost
No$1.2k @ 50.0¢
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?Lost
No$132 @ 44.0¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?Won
No$1.7k @ 70.0¢
Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?Won
No$2.2k @ 65.0¢
Jamal Musiala: 1+ goalsLost
No$56 @ 51.0¢
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?Won
No$845 @ 60.0¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?Won
Yes$428 @ 54.0¢
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Won
Yes$853 @ 42.0¢
Set Handicap: Djokovic (-2.5) vs Rinderknech (+2.5)Lost
Djokovic$62 @ 47.0¢
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-24?Lost
Yes$985 @ 58.0¢
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw?Lost
No$114 @ 76.0¢
Leroy Sané: 1+ goalsWon
No$156 @ 53.0¢
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-21?Won
No$2.4k @ 29.7¢
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-09?Lost
No$580 @ 14.0¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?Lost
No$85 @ 25.0¢
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-02-09?Lost
Yes$130 @ 10.0¢
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Won
No$1.1k @ 81.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$31.1k @ 88.4¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$43 @ 5.4¢
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?Won
No$1.5k @ 73.0¢
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?Won
Yes$937 @ 61.0¢
FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreWon
No$249 @ 43.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$2.2k @ 73.3¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$520 @ 26.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Geopolitics	No	$8.0k	50.0¢
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Geopolitics	Yes	$8.0k	50.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Politics	No	$7.0k	50.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Politics	Yes	$7.0k	50.0¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$6.2k	44.5¢
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	Sports	No	$3.4k	48.0¢
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	Sports	No	$3.2k	80.0¢
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	Sports	No	$850	85.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	No	$430	7.0¢
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$390	78.0¢
Will US Lecce vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?	Sports	No	$324	71.0¢
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$315	63.0¢
Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?	Sports	No	$146	25.9¢
Will Harry Kane (Bayern Munich) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season?	Sports	No	$101	20.8¢

Xi Jinping out before 2027?Geopolitics
No$8.0k @ 50.0¢
Xi Jinping out before 2027?Geopolitics
Yes$8.0k @ 50.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics
No$7.0k @ 50.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics
Yes$7.0k @ 50.0¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$6.2k @ 44.5¢
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?Sports
No$3.4k @ 48.0¢
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?Sports
No$3.2k @ 80.0¢
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?Sports
No$850 @ 85.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
No$430 @ 7.0¢
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$390 @ 78.0¢
Will US Lecce vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?Sports
No$324 @ 71.0¢
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$315 @ 63.0¢
Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?Sports
No$146 @ 25.9¢
Will Harry Kane (Bayern Munich) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season?Sports
No$101 @ 20.8¢