0xfa7e…f37e

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xfa7e25c8df8d4f36e5a87731ba2b91540046f37e
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+6.7pp

ROI

+21%

Win rate

36% @ 29.7¢

Brier

0.150

Resolved

477

Avg size

$11

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	26% (23/88)	-10%	88
Sports	30% (14/47)	-9%	47
Politics	56% (10/18)	+11%	18
Tech	79% (11/14)	+96%	14
Economy	25% (1/4)	-23%	4
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Culture	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Crypto	100% (1/1)	+89%	1

Other88 bets
Hit rate
26% (23/88)
ROI
-10%
Sports47 bets
Hit rate
30% (14/47)
ROI
-9%
Politics18 bets
Hit rate
56% (10/18)
ROI
+11%
Tech14 bets
Hit rate
79% (11/14)
ROI
+96%
Economy4 bets
Hit rate
25% (1/4)
ROI
-23%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+89%

Track record

34% hit · 60/174

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)	Qatar	$13	51.0¢	Won
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?	Yes	$6	6.0¢	Lost
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No	$42	49.7¢	Won
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?	Yes	$3	6.0¢	Lost
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	$13	13.0¢	Lost
Sunderland AFC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$7	56.0¢	Lost
Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by September 30?	No	$5	20.0¢	Lost
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	Yes	$427	49.5¢	Won
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?	Yes	$4	70.0¢	Won
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	$3	19.0¢	Won
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	Yes	$146	73.0¢	Won
Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-19?	No	$2	47.0¢	Lost
Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by December 31?	No	$44	53.9¢	Lost
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$50	5.3¢	Lost
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	$104	27.5¢	Won
Will Reform UK win at least 1800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	$31	62.0¢	Lost
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$59	58.0¢	Won
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?	Yes	$26	48.0¢	Won
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)	Croatia	$13	41.0¢	Lost
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10?	No	$16	64.9¢	Won
Spread: France (-1.5)	France	$20	33.2¢	Won
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)	Tottenham Hotspur FC	$18	35.0¢	Lost
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	$80	64.0¢	Won
Spread: FC Bayern München (-3.5)	1. FC Union Berlin	$3	46.0¢	Lost
Will Reform UK win at least 2200 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	$1	16.0¢	Lost
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	$11	21.0¢	Won
Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?	Yes	$19	7.2¢	Lost
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?	No	$40	39.5¢	Won
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$8	10.2¢	Lost
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	$10	39.0¢	Lost
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$40	60.8¢	Won
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	$12	39.0¢	Lost
Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?	Yes	$2	9.5¢	Lost
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	$21	1.9¢	Lost
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)	Aston Villa FC	$8	37.0¢	Won
Will Leeds United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?	Yes	$7	27.0¢	Lost
Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	$13	37.6¢	Lost
Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?	Yes	$10	40.0¢	Won
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$140	11.3¢	Lost
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$10	2.8¢	Lost
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Spain?	Yes	$5	8.0¢	Lost
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	$6	20.0¢	Lost
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	$10	47.5¢	Won
Will the Labour Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	$62	61.7¢	Lost
Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$3	6.0¢	Lost
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$6	58.0¢	Won
Wrexham AFC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 3.5	Over	$4	34.0¢	Lost
England vs. Argentina: England O/U 1.5	Over	$34	33.0¢	Lost
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	$38	40.0¢	Lost
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	$8	32.0¢	Lost

Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)Won
Qatar$13 @ 51.0¢
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?Lost
Yes$6 @ 6.0¢
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?Won
No$42 @ 49.7¢
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?Lost
Yes$3 @ 6.0¢
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?Lost
Yes$13 @ 13.0¢
Sunderland AFC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to ScoreLost
Yes$7 @ 56.0¢
Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by September 30?Lost
No$5 @ 20.0¢
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?Won
Yes$427 @ 49.5¢
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?Won
Yes$4 @ 70.0¢
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-19?Won
Yes$3 @ 19.0¢
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Won
Yes$146 @ 73.0¢
Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-19?Lost
No$2 @ 47.0¢
Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by December 31?Lost
No$44 @ 53.9¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$50 @ 5.3¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Won
Yes$104 @ 27.5¢
Will Reform UK win at least 1800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Lost
Yes$31 @ 62.0¢
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to ScoreWon
Yes$59 @ 58.0¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Won
Yes$26 @ 48.0¢
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)Lost
Croatia$13 @ 41.0¢
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10?Won
No$16 @ 64.9¢
Spread: France (-1.5)Won
France$20 @ 33.2¢
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)Lost
Tottenham Hotspur FC$18 @ 35.0¢
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?Won
Yes$80 @ 64.0¢
Spread: FC Bayern München (-3.5)Lost
1. FC Union Berlin$3 @ 46.0¢
Will Reform UK win at least 2200 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Lost
Yes$1 @ 16.0¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Won
Yes$11 @ 21.0¢
Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?Lost
Yes$19 @ 7.2¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?Won
No$40 @ 39.5¢
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$8 @ 10.2¢
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Lost
No$10 @ 39.0¢
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Won
Yes$40 @ 60.8¢
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?Lost
Yes$12 @ 39.0¢
Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Lost
Yes$2 @ 9.5¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Lost
No$21 @ 1.9¢
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)Won
Aston Villa FC$8 @ 37.0¢
Will Leeds United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?Lost
Yes$7 @ 27.0¢
Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Lost
Yes$13 @ 37.6¢
Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?Won
Yes$10 @ 40.0¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$140 @ 11.3¢
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$10 @ 2.8¢
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Spain?Lost
Yes$5 @ 8.0¢
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Lost
Yes$6 @ 20.0¢
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?Won
Yes$10 @ 47.5¢
Will the Labour Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Lost
No$62 @ 61.7¢
Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$3 @ 6.0¢
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$6 @ 58.0¢
Wrexham AFC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$4 @ 34.0¢
England vs. Argentina: England O/U 1.5Lost
Over$34 @ 33.0¢
Will Trump visit China by April 30?Lost
Yes$38 @ 40.0¢
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?Lost
Yes$8 @ 32.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?	Culture	Yes	$836	63.3¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Tech	Yes	$497	66.5¢
Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $900B and $1.00T at the end of September 2026?	Tech	Yes	$376	56.5¢
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Tech	Yes	$275	57.1¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	Tech	Yes	$262	45.9¢
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31?	Tech	Yes	$246	74.8¢
Will Taylor Swift be the second most streamed artist for 2026?	Culture	Yes	$205	20.4¢
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?	Crypto	Yes	$200	62.4¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Tech	Yes	$199	56.7¢
Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love (Olivia Rodrigo) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Culture	Yes	$127	34.3¢
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?	Business	Yes	$124	72.6¢
Will Erling Braut Haaland be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?	Sports	Yes	$105	41.8¢
Will Drake be the third most streamed artist for 2026?	Culture	Yes	$104	17.5¢
Will The Art of Loving (Olivia Dean) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Culture	Yes	$88	23.6¢
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Tech	Yes	$88	20.6¢
Will Dario Amodei be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	Culture	Yes	$86	8.3¢
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?	Business	Yes	$80	23.6¢
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Tech	Yes	$73	14.6¢
Will Anthropic’s valuation be between $1.25T and $1.50T at the end of September 2026?	Other	Yes	$67	66.9¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$58	52.9¢
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Tech	Yes	$53	15.1¢
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?	Tech	Yes	$50	11.2¢
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Tech	Yes	$46	57.1¢
Will Sundar Pichai attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?	Politics	Yes	$45	84.0¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.325T by September 30?	Other	Yes	$40	80.3¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?	Tech	Yes	$38	65.0¢
Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?	Politics	No	$38	53.3¢
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?	Tech	Yes	$34	53.6¢
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	Tech	Yes	$34	68.0¢
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Tech	Yes	$33	14.9¢

Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?Culture
Yes$836 @ 63.3¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Tech
Yes$497 @ 66.5¢
Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $900B and $1.00T at the end of September 2026?Tech
Yes$376 @ 56.5¢
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Tech
Yes$275 @ 57.1¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Tech
Yes$262 @ 45.9¢
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31?Tech
Yes$246 @ 74.8¢
Will Taylor Swift be the second most streamed artist for 2026?Culture
Yes$205 @ 20.4¢
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?Crypto
Yes$200 @ 62.4¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Tech
Yes$199 @ 56.7¢
Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love (Olivia Rodrigo) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Culture
Yes$127 @ 34.3¢
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?Business
Yes$124 @ 72.6¢
Will Erling Braut Haaland be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?Sports
Yes$105 @ 41.8¢
Will Drake be the third most streamed artist for 2026?Culture
Yes$104 @ 17.5¢
Will The Art of Loving (Olivia Dean) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Culture
Yes$88 @ 23.6¢
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech
Yes$88 @ 20.6¢
Will Dario Amodei be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Culture
Yes$86 @ 8.3¢
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?Business
Yes$80 @ 23.6¢
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Tech
Yes$73 @ 14.6¢
Will Anthropic’s valuation be between $1.25T and $1.50T at the end of September 2026?Other
Yes$67 @ 66.9¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$58 @ 52.9¢
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?Tech
Yes$53 @ 15.1¢
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?Tech
Yes$50 @ 11.2¢
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Tech
Yes$46 @ 57.1¢
Will Sundar Pichai attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?Politics
Yes$45 @ 84.0¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.325T by September 30?Other
Yes$40 @ 80.3¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?Tech
Yes$38 @ 65.0¢
Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?Politics
No$38 @ 53.3¢
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?Tech
Yes$34 @ 53.6¢
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?Tech
Yes$34 @ 68.0¢
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Tech
Yes$33 @ 14.9¢