0xfa76…897e

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xfa7616dceedbfce44529d6f5de4e45968cdf897e
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

-1.3pp

ROI

+14%

Win rate

8% @ 9.3¢

Brier

0.047

Resolved

2711

Avg size

$30

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	18% (33/184)	+14%	184
Politics	11% (6/55)	+8%	55

Other184 bets
Hit rate
18% (33/184)
ROI
+14%
Politics55 bets
Hit rate
11% (6/55)
ROI
+8%

Track record

16% hit · 39/239

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	$12	10.5¢	Lost
Will Elon tweet 600-649 times Feb 14-21?	Yes	$154	87.9¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	$125	5.6¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	Yes	$118	2.5¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	$4	0.6¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80000 and $82000 on Apr 18?	Yes	$77	11.0¢	Lost
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?	Yes	$788	9.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	Yes	$7	1.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	$42	5.3¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $85000 and $87000 on Mar 21?	Yes	$287	30.7¢	Lost
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during September press conference?	No	$63	20.8¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?	No	$12.3k	35.6¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	$7	0.3¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?	No	$199	60.0¢	Won
Will Elon tweet 400-449 times Feb 21-28?	Yes	$71	1.3¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	$157	16.1¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	$44	3.4¢	Lost
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?	No	$4.0k	59.5¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	$66	6.6¢	Lost
US-EU trade deal before June?	Yes	$151	15.3¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	$83	2.8¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	$3	0.9¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	$4	0.2¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	Yes	$107	14.8¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84000 and $86000 on Mar 28?	Yes	$298	65.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	$20	1.8¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?	Yes	$150	15.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?	No	$1.5k	33.2¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	$4	0.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $81000 and $83000 on Mar 21?	Yes	$50	18.0¢	Lost
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times April 11–18?	Yes	$134	6.7¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $87000 on Mar 21?	Yes	$127	45.9¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	Yes	$4	0.2¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	$16	0.3¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	$3	0.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90000 and $92000 on May 2?	Yes	$442	13.6¢	Lost
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on May 31?	Yes	$161	29.5¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	Yes	$183	34.2¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	$34	2.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	$4	0.3¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	$3	0.8¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	$38	4.3¢	Won
Will Elon tweet 650-674 times March 7-14?	Yes	$49	3.3¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	$15	0.3¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $75k in April?	No	$661	58.0¢	Lost
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be more than 150% on May 31?	Yes	$15	2.4¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	$10	3.4¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	$18	1.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	Yes	$109	2.2¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86000 and $84000 on April 4?	Yes	$1.6k	7.0¢	Lost

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?Lost
Yes$12 @ 10.5¢
Will Elon tweet 600-649 times Feb 14-21?Won
Yes$154 @ 87.9¢
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Lost
Yes$125 @ 5.6¢
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$118 @ 2.5¢
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?Lost
Yes$4 @ 0.6¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80000 and $82000 on Apr 18?Lost
Yes$77 @ 11.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?Lost
Yes$788 @ 9.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?Lost
Yes$7 @ 1.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?Lost
Yes$42 @ 5.3¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $85000 and $87000 on Mar 21?Lost
Yes$287 @ 30.7¢
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during September press conference?Lost
No$63 @ 20.8¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?Won
No$12.3k @ 35.6¢
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?Lost
Yes$7 @ 0.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?Won
No$199 @ 60.0¢
Will Elon tweet 400-449 times Feb 21-28?Lost
Yes$71 @ 1.3¢
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Lost
Yes$157 @ 16.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Lost
Yes$44 @ 3.4¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?Won
No$4.0k @ 59.5¢
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?Lost
Yes$66 @ 6.6¢
US-EU trade deal before June?Lost
Yes$151 @ 15.3¢
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Lost
Yes$83 @ 2.8¢
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.9¢
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?Lost
Yes$4 @ 0.2¢
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?Won
Yes$107 @ 14.8¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84000 and $86000 on Mar 28?Won
Yes$298 @ 65.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?Lost
Yes$20 @ 1.8¢
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?Lost
Yes$150 @ 15.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?Won
No$1.5k @ 33.2¢
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?Lost
Yes$4 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $81000 and $83000 on Mar 21?Lost
Yes$50 @ 18.0¢
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times April 11–18?Lost
Yes$134 @ 6.7¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $87000 on Mar 21?Lost
Yes$127 @ 45.9¢
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$4 @ 0.2¢
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Lost
Yes$16 @ 0.3¢
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90000 and $92000 on May 2?Lost
Yes$442 @ 13.6¢
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on May 31?Lost
Yes$161 @ 29.5¢
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$183 @ 34.2¢
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?Lost
Yes$34 @ 2.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Lost
Yes$4 @ 0.3¢
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.8¢
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?Won
Yes$38 @ 4.3¢
Will Elon tweet 650-674 times March 7-14?Lost
Yes$49 @ 3.3¢
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?Lost
Yes$15 @ 0.3¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $75k in April?Lost
No$661 @ 58.0¢
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be more than 150% on May 31?Lost
Yes$15 @ 2.4¢
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Lost
Yes$10 @ 3.4¢
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?Lost
Yes$18 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$109 @ 2.2¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86000 and $84000 on April 4?Lost
Yes$1.6k @ 7.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$12	10.5¢

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?Politics
Yes$12 @ 10.5¢