0xfa01…f0a7

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xfa011919b3ce3222620052757ee0f0c66c41f0a7
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+3.4pp

ROI

+7%

Win rate

58% @ 55.0¢

Brier

0.186

Resolved

3542

Avg size

$95

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	59% (574/965)	+2%	965
Sports	61% (248/407)	+19%	407
Politics	100% (6/6)	+42%	6

Other965 bets
Hit rate
59% (574/965)
ROI
+2%
Sports407 bets
Hit rate
61% (248/407)
ROI
+19%
Politics6 bets
Hit rate
100% (6/6)
ROI
+42%

Track record

60% hit · 828/1378

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jaume Munar vs Jaime Faria	Jaime Faria	$246	41.0¢	Lost
Sweden vs. Poland: O/U 1.5	Over	$290	82.0¢	Won
UFC Fight Night: Bernardo Sopaj vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Bernardo Sopaj	$279	55.0¢	Won
Roland Garros ATP: Cristian Garin vs Learner Tien	Learner Tien	$156	62.0¢	Won
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 1.5	Over	$257	85.0¢	Won
Will Japan be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	No	$293	57.9¢	Lost
Will Japan be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	Yes	$301	51.1¢	Won
Will AS Roma win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	$90	45.0¢	Won
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns	Aryna Sabalenka	$258	86.0¢	Won
Will Paraguay be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?	No	$61	39.7¢	Won
Geneva Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Edas Butvilas	Lorenzo Sonego	$117	58.0¢	Lost
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	$116	8.5¢	Lost
Dana White's Contender Series: Callum Connor vs. Piero Guaylupo (Lightweight, Main Card)	Callum Connor	$306	51.0¢	Lost
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Mattia Bellucci	Mattia Bellucci	$221	52.2¢	Won
Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Fernandez (+1.5)	Rybakina	$388	76.0¢	Lost
HSBC Championships: Hamad Medjedovic vs Ugo Humbert	Ugo Humbert	$185	61.0¢	Won
Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5	Over	$260	86.0¢	Won
Will Belgium be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?	Yes	$1	16.0¢	Won
Sydney FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 1.5	Under	$57	20.0¢	Lost
Madrid Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderi	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	$298	29.4¢	Lost
Madrid Open: Anna Bondar vs Elina Svitolina	Anna Bondar	$259	20.6¢	Won
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5	Under	$153	76.0¢	Won
Rio Ave FC vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 2.5	Under	$108	51.0¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	No	$140	46.0¢	Lost
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jazmin Ortenzi	Kaitlin Quevedo	$155	70.0¢	Won
Sydney FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 3.5	Under	$177	59.0¢	Won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5	Under	$173	57.0¢	Lost
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marton Fucsovics	Marton Fucsovics	$97	26.8¢	Lost
Madrid Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Camila Osorio	Camila Osorio	$398	88.8¢	Won
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?	No	$126	21.0¢	Lost
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?	No	$119	39.0¢	Lost
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5	Over	$314	78.0¢	Won
Madrid Open: Andrey Rublev vs Vit Kopriva	Andrey Rublev	$617	56.1¢	Lost
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tommy Paul vs Luciano Darderi	Luciano Darderi	$56	46.0¢	Won
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Iga Swiatek vs Mirra Andreeva	Iga Swiatek	$212	51.1¢	Lost
Gibraltar vs. São Tomé e Príncipe: O/U 2.5	Under	$366	56.0¢	Won
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5	Over	$104	52.0¢	Won
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 3.5	Under	$179	59.0¢	Won
Madrid Open: Elmer Moeller vs Federico Cina	Elmer Moeller	$289	61.0¢	Won
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	No	$142	56.0¢	Won
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Emiliana Arango vs Ella Seidel	Emiliana Arango	$97	48.0¢	Won
St. Tropez: Grigor Dimitrov vs Edas Butvilas	Grigor Dimitrov	$409	67.0¢	Lost
UFC Fight Night: Eric McConico vs. Rodolfo Vieira (null, Prelims)	Eric McConico	$200	26.1¢	Won
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Dalma Galfi	Mirra Andreeva	$887	80.6¢	Won
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5	Over	$162	81.0¢	Won
UFC 331: Michael Aswell vs. JooSang Yoo (Featherweight, Prelims)	JooSang Yoo	$569	62.0¢	Lost
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Nikoloz Basilashvili	$180	60.5¢	Won
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher	Julia Grabher	$224	74.0¢	Lost
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher	Lucia Bronzetti	$465	77.0¢	Won
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$123	61.0¢	Lost

Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jaume Munar vs Jaime FariaLost
Jaime Faria$246 @ 41.0¢
Sweden vs. Poland: O/U 1.5Won
Over$290 @ 82.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Bernardo Sopaj vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main Card)Won
Bernardo Sopaj$279 @ 55.0¢
Roland Garros ATP: Cristian Garin vs Learner TienWon
Learner Tien$156 @ 62.0¢
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 1.5Won
Over$257 @ 85.0¢
Will Japan be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?Lost
No$293 @ 57.9¢
Will Japan be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?Won
Yes$301 @ 51.1¢
Will AS Roma win on 2026-04-25?Won
Yes$90 @ 45.0¢
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton StearnsWon
Aryna Sabalenka$258 @ 86.0¢
Will Paraguay be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?Won
No$61 @ 39.7¢
Geneva Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Edas ButvilasLost
Lorenzo Sonego$117 @ 58.0¢
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?Lost
Yes$116 @ 8.5¢
Dana White's Contender Series: Callum Connor vs. Piero Guaylupo (Lightweight, Main Card)Lost
Callum Connor$306 @ 51.0¢
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Mattia BellucciWon
Mattia Bellucci$221 @ 52.2¢
Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Fernandez (+1.5)Lost
Rybakina$388 @ 76.0¢
HSBC Championships: Hamad Medjedovic vs Ugo HumbertWon
Ugo Humbert$185 @ 61.0¢
Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5Won
Over$260 @ 86.0¢
Will Belgium be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?Won
Yes$1 @ 16.0¢
Sydney FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 1.5Lost
Under$57 @ 20.0¢
Madrid Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Luciano DarderiLost
Juan Manuel Cerundolo$298 @ 29.4¢
Madrid Open: Anna Bondar vs Elina SvitolinaWon
Anna Bondar$259 @ 20.6¢
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5Won
Under$153 @ 76.0¢
Rio Ave FC vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$108 @ 51.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Lost
No$140 @ 46.0¢
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jazmin OrtenziWon
Kaitlin Quevedo$155 @ 70.0¢
Sydney FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 3.5Won
Under$177 @ 59.0¢
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$173 @ 57.0¢
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marton FucsovicsLost
Marton Fucsovics$97 @ 26.8¢
Madrid Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Camila OsorioWon
Camila Osorio$398 @ 88.8¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?Lost
No$126 @ 21.0¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?Lost
No$119 @ 39.0¢
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5Won
Over$314 @ 78.0¢
Madrid Open: Andrey Rublev vs Vit KoprivaLost
Andrey Rublev$617 @ 56.1¢
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tommy Paul vs Luciano DarderiWon
Luciano Darderi$56 @ 46.0¢
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Iga Swiatek vs Mirra AndreevaLost
Iga Swiatek$212 @ 51.1¢
Gibraltar vs. São Tomé e Príncipe: O/U 2.5Won
Under$366 @ 56.0¢
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5Won
Over$104 @ 52.0¢
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 3.5Won
Under$179 @ 59.0¢
Madrid Open: Elmer Moeller vs Federico CinaWon
Elmer Moeller$289 @ 61.0¢
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?Won
No$142 @ 56.0¢
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Emiliana Arango vs Ella SeidelWon
Emiliana Arango$97 @ 48.0¢
St. Tropez: Grigor Dimitrov vs Edas ButvilasLost
Grigor Dimitrov$409 @ 67.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Eric McConico vs. Rodolfo Vieira (null, Prelims)Won
Eric McConico$200 @ 26.1¢
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Dalma GalfiWon
Mirra Andreeva$887 @ 80.6¢
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5Won
Over$162 @ 81.0¢
UFC 331: Michael Aswell vs. JooSang Yoo (Featherweight, Prelims)Lost
JooSang Yoo$569 @ 62.0¢
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Nikoloz BasilashviliWon
Nikoloz Basilashvili$180 @ 60.5¢
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia GrabherLost
Julia Grabher$224 @ 74.0¢
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia GrabherWon
Lucia Bronzetti$465 @ 77.0¢
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to ScoreLost
Yes$123 @ 61.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$1.4k	86.0¢
Will Madrid host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	—	No	$1.1k	62.0¢
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Sports	Yes	$860	66.2¢
Will Lamine Yamal (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?	Sports	No	$647	92.4¢
Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026?	Politics	No	$566	43.6¢
Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$521	94.7¢
Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$479	93.5¢
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Sports	Yes	$475	19.0¢
Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$439	76.1¢
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship?	Sports	No	$430	71.0¢
Will Declan Rice finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$398	85.5¢
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	Sports	No	$367	90.7¢
China Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Maja Chwalinska	Sports	Maja Chwalinska	$366	61.0¢
Jingshan: Aliona Falei vs Sara Sorribes Tormo	Sports	Aliona Falei	$360	45.0¢
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Stefanos Tsitsipas	Sports	Stefanos Tsitsipas	$300	60.0¢
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$287	36.8¢
Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$286	89.9¢
Will Pau Cubarsi finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$279	72.7¢
China Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Daria Snigur	Sports	Daria Snigur	$265	44.0¢
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$261	95.0¢
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$253	32.4¢
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jaume Munar vs Jaime Faria	Sports	Jaime Faria	$246	41.0¢
Will Vitinha finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$245	94.2¢
Will CNN fly with Trump by October 31?	Politics	No	$244	80.1¢
Will Lautaro Martinez finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$239	92.0¢
China Open: Clara Tauson vs Polina Kudermetova	Sports	Polina Kudermetova	$234	39.0¢
Will Declan Rice finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$228	64.1¢
Dana White's Contender Series: Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde (Featherweight, Main Card)	Sports	Erick Visconde	$223	47.0¢
Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Golden Boy award?	Sports	Yes	$206	80.7¢
O/U 1.5 Rounds	Sports	Under	$200	40.0¢

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$1.4k @ 86.0¢
Will Madrid host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?—
No$1.1k @ 62.0¢
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Sports
Yes$860 @ 66.2¢
Will Lamine Yamal (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?Sports
No$647 @ 92.4¢
Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026?Politics
No$566 @ 43.6¢
Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$521 @ 94.7¢
Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$479 @ 93.5¢
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Sports
Yes$475 @ 19.0¢
Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$439 @ 76.1¢
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship?Sports
No$430 @ 71.0¢
Will Declan Rice finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$398 @ 85.5¢
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Sports
No$367 @ 90.7¢
China Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Maja ChwalinskaSports
Maja Chwalinska$366 @ 61.0¢
Jingshan: Aliona Falei vs Sara Sorribes TormoSports
Aliona Falei$360 @ 45.0¢
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Stefanos TsitsipasSports
Stefanos Tsitsipas$300 @ 60.0¢
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$287 @ 36.8¢
Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$286 @ 89.9¢
Will Pau Cubarsi finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$279 @ 72.7¢
China Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Daria SnigurSports
Daria Snigur$265 @ 44.0¢
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$261 @ 95.0¢
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$253 @ 32.4¢
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jaume Munar vs Jaime FariaSports
Jaime Faria$246 @ 41.0¢
Will Vitinha finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$245 @ 94.2¢
Will CNN fly with Trump by October 31?Politics
No$244 @ 80.1¢
Will Lautaro Martinez finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$239 @ 92.0¢
China Open: Clara Tauson vs Polina KudermetovaSports
Polina Kudermetova$234 @ 39.0¢
Will Declan Rice finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$228 @ 64.1¢
Dana White's Contender Series: Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde (Featherweight, Main Card)Sports
Erick Visconde$223 @ 47.0¢
Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Golden Boy award?Sports
Yes$206 @ 80.7¢
O/U 1.5 RoundsSports
Under$200 @ 40.0¢