0xf9d8…ff32

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xf9d8307f1a1c77b4fdc6f28b9f09f7bc6ffeff32
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+19.3pp

ROI

+4%

Win rate

66% @ 46.7¢

Brier

0.260

Resolved

327

Avg size

$41

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	52% (55/105)	+14%	105
Crypto	50% (6/12)	+22%	12
Sports	63% (5/8)	-11%	8
Tech	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Politics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other105 bets
Hit rate
52% (55/105)
ROI
+14%
Crypto12 bets
Hit rate
50% (6/12)
ROI
+22%
Sports8 bets
Hit rate
63% (5/8)
ROI
-11%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

52% hit · 66/127

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	Yes	$145	72.5¢	Won
Will Solana reach $130 in October?	Yes	$46	20.0¢	Lost
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?	Yes	$33	0.4¢	Lost
Will Elon tweet less than 450 times March 7-14?	No	$16	79.5¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $110K in August?	Yes	$144	72.0¢	Won
Will the U.S. collect between $500b and $1t in revenue in 2025?	Yes	$3	1.2¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $2700 in July?	Yes	$53	53.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in July?	Yes	$55	55.0¢	Lost
Thunder vs. Hornets	Hornets	$3	30.0¢	Lost
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?	Yes	$113	28.0¢	Won
Ripple above $2.15 on January 3?	Yes	$10	52.0¢	Won
Infinex FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Yes	$24	12.0¢	Lost
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?	Yes	$6	60.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?	Yes	$88	88.0¢	Lost
Will Solana reach $175 in August?	Yes	$43	72.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?	Yes	$201	50.2¢	Lost
Miami (OH) vs. Rutgers	Miami (OH)	$2	16.0¢	Lost
Linea airdrop in Q1 2025?	No	$14	14.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in March?	Yes	$341	55.0¢	Won
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?	Yes	$200	18.0¢	Lost
Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?	Yes	$74	74.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $110K in July?	Yes	$70	70.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in June?	Yes	$66	66.0¢	Won
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?	Yes	$41	82.0¢	Lost
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?	Yes	$29	29.0¢	Lost
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?	Yes	$13	13.0¢	Lost
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	$5	52.0¢	Won
Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	$48	24.0¢	Lost
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?	Yes	$26	13.0¢	Lost
Will Solana dip to $185 in September?	Yes	$60	60.0¢	Lost
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$2.2k	88.7¢	Won
Will Bybit hacker return stolen ETH by next Friday?	Yes	$4	1.8¢	Lost
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in September?	Yes	$50	50.0¢	Lost
Diamondbacks vs. Rockies	Diamondbacks	$7	65.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by February 28, 2025?	Yes	$53	53.0¢	Won
Jumper airdrop in Q1 2025?	No	$8	77.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by February 28, 2025?	Yes	$52	26.0¢	Lost
Will SBF launch a coin before April?	Yes	$10	1.5¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	$68	34.0¢	Won
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$980	89.1¢	Won
Will Chelsea win on 2025-05-16?	Yes	$6	64.0¢	Won
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	$240	60.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in October?	Yes	$38	38.0¢	Won
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?	Yes	$7	0.7¢	Lost
White Sox vs. Cubs	Cubs	$14	72.0¢	Won
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	$5	50.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in June?	Yes	$32	32.0¢	Lost
Cardinals vs. Pirates	Cardinals	$4	40.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum dip to $2300 in June?	Yes	$68	68.0¢	Won
Ethereum above $3,300 on January 3?	Yes	$10	65.0¢	Won

Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Won
Yes$145 @ 72.5¢
Will Solana reach $130 in October?Lost
Yes$46 @ 20.0¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?Lost
Yes$33 @ 0.4¢
Will Elon tweet less than 450 times March 7-14?Won
No$16 @ 79.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $110K in August?Won
Yes$144 @ 72.0¢
Will the U.S. collect between $500b and $1t in revenue in 2025?Lost
Yes$3 @ 1.2¢
Will Ethereum reach $2700 in July?Won
Yes$53 @ 53.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in July?Lost
Yes$55 @ 55.0¢
Thunder vs. HornetsLost
Hornets$3 @ 30.0¢
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?Won
Yes$113 @ 28.0¢
Ripple above $2.15 on January 3?Won
Yes$10 @ 52.0¢
Infinex FDV above $600M one day after launch?Lost
Yes$24 @ 12.0¢
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Won
Yes$6 @ 60.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?Lost
Yes$88 @ 88.0¢
Will Solana reach $175 in August?Won
Yes$43 @ 72.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?Lost
Yes$201 @ 50.2¢
Miami (OH) vs. RutgersLost
Miami (OH)$2 @ 16.0¢
Linea airdrop in Q1 2025?Won
No$14 @ 14.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in March?Won
Yes$341 @ 55.0¢
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?Lost
Yes$200 @ 18.0¢
Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?Won
Yes$74 @ 74.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110K in July?Won
Yes$70 @ 70.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in June?Won
Yes$66 @ 66.0¢
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Lost
Yes$41 @ 82.0¢
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?Lost
Yes$29 @ 29.0¢
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?Lost
Yes$13 @ 13.0¢
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?Won
Yes$5 @ 52.0¢
Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?Lost
Yes$48 @ 24.0¢
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?Lost
Yes$26 @ 13.0¢
Will Solana dip to $185 in September?Lost
Yes$60 @ 60.0¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$2.2k @ 88.7¢
Will Bybit hacker return stolen ETH by next Friday?Lost
Yes$4 @ 1.8¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in September?Lost
Yes$50 @ 50.0¢
Diamondbacks vs. RockiesLost
Diamondbacks$7 @ 65.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by February 28, 2025?Won
Yes$53 @ 53.0¢
Jumper airdrop in Q1 2025?Won
No$8 @ 77.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by February 28, 2025?Lost
Yes$52 @ 26.0¢
Will SBF launch a coin before April?Lost
Yes$10 @ 1.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?Won
Yes$68 @ 34.0¢
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$980 @ 89.1¢
Will Chelsea win on 2025-05-16?Won
Yes$6 @ 64.0¢
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?Lost
Yes$240 @ 60.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in October?Won
Yes$38 @ 38.0¢
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$7 @ 0.7¢
White Sox vs. CubsWon
Cubs$14 @ 72.0¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?Lost
Yes$5 @ 50.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in June?Lost
Yes$32 @ 32.0¢
Cardinals vs. PiratesLost
Cardinals$4 @ 40.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2300 in June?Won
Yes$68 @ 68.0¢
Ethereum above $3,300 on January 3?Won
Yes$10 @ 65.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	Crypto	Yes	$145	72.5¢

Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Crypto
Yes$145 @ 72.5¢