0xf98e…797f

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xf98ec622248bf369af04a7c60c0e8521566e797f
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

-29.0pp

ROI

+23%

Win rate

20% @ 49.3¢

Brier

0.239

Resolved

Avg size

$824

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	26% (6/23)	+21%	23
Sports	33% (1/3)	+18%	3
Politics	100% (2/2)	+109%	2
Geopolitics	50% (1/2)	-21%	2
Economy	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other23 bets
Hit rate
26% (6/23)
ROI
+21%
Sports3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
+18%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+109%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-21%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

32% hit · 10/31

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Trump say "Hell" during Fox & Friends appearance?	No	$390	47.0¢	Lost
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	$432	92.0¢	Lost
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	$71	70.0¢	Lost
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	$32	64.0¢	Lost
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	$35	70.0¢	Lost
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	$46	91.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	$259	47.0¢	Lost
Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	$26	51.0¢	Lost
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on May 5?	Down	$25	49.0¢	Lost
Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	$35	70.0¢	Lost
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	No	$3.0k	81.8¢	Lost
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	$470	47.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in November?	Yes	$10.0k	51.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$293	48.0¢	Won
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?	Yes	$9.4k	89.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$200	50.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	$99	49.5¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$423	47.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?	Yes	$10.0k	50.7¢	Lost
Falcons vs. Saints: O/U 47.5	Under	$314	48.0¢	Lost
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 6?	Yes	$198	55.7¢	Won
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 8?	Yes	$425	49.9¢	Won
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	$626	49.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on May 6?	Yes	$6	53.0¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	No	$480	48.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 11?	Yes	$98	49.0¢	Lost
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$1.2k	47.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in November?	Yes	$5.0k	21.9¢	Lost
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?	No	$400	38.6¢	Lost
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	Yes	$50	34.9¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?	Yes	$26.6k	54.0¢	Won

Will Trump say "Hell" during Fox & Friends appearance?Lost
No$390 @ 47.0¢
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?Lost
Down$432 @ 92.0¢
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 5?Lost
Up$71 @ 70.0¢
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on May 5?Lost
Up$32 @ 64.0¢
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 5?Lost
Up$35 @ 70.0¢
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on May 5?Lost
Up$46 @ 91.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?Lost
Yes$259 @ 47.0¢
Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 6?Lost
Down$26 @ 51.0¢
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on May 5?Lost
Down$25 @ 49.0¢
Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on May 5?Lost
Up$35 @ 70.0¢
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?Lost
No$3.0k @ 81.8¢
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Lost
No$470 @ 47.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in November?Won
Yes$10.0k @ 51.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Won
No$293 @ 48.0¢
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Won
Yes$9.4k @ 89.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$200 @ 50.0¢
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?Lost
Yes$99 @ 49.5¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Won
Yes$423 @ 47.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?Lost
Yes$10.0k @ 50.7¢
Falcons vs. Saints: O/U 47.5Lost
Under$314 @ 48.0¢
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 6?Won
Yes$198 @ 55.7¢
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 8?Won
Yes$425 @ 49.9¢
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Lost
Yes$626 @ 49.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on May 6?Won
Yes$6 @ 53.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Lost
No$480 @ 48.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 11?Lost
Yes$98 @ 49.0¢
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$1.2k @ 47.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in November?Lost
Yes$5.0k @ 21.9¢
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?Lost
No$400 @ 38.6¢
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?Lost
Yes$50 @ 34.9¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?Won
Yes$26.6k @ 54.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?	—	Yes	$10.0k	50.6¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in November?	—	Yes	$5.0k	21.9¢
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	—	No	$3.0k	81.8¢
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Sports	Yes	$626	49.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Geopolitics	No	$480	48.0¢
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Economy	No	$470	47.0¢
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	—	Down	$432	92.0¢
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?	—	No	$400	38.6¢
Will Trump say "Hell" during Fox & Friends appearance?	—	No	$390	47.0¢
Falcons vs. Saints: O/U 47.5	Sports	Under	$314	48.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	—	No	$259	48.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	—	Yes	$259	47.0¢
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 11, 2026?	—	No	$102	51.0¢
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	—	Yes	$99	49.5¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 11?	—	Yes	$98	49.0¢
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 5?	—	Up	$71	70.0¢
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	—	Yes	$50	34.9¢
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on May 5?	—	Up	$46	91.0¢
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 5?	—	Up	$35	70.0¢
Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on May 5?	—	Up	$35	70.0¢
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on May 5?	—	Up	$32	64.0¢
Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 6?	—	Down	$26	51.0¢
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on May 5?	—	Down	$25	49.0¢

Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?—
Yes$10.0k @ 50.6¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in November?—
Yes$5.0k @ 21.9¢
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?—
No$3.0k @ 81.8¢
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Sports
Yes$626 @ 49.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Geopolitics
No$480 @ 48.0¢
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Economy
No$470 @ 47.0¢
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?—
Down$432 @ 92.0¢
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?—
No$400 @ 38.6¢
Will Trump say "Hell" during Fox & Friends appearance?—
No$390 @ 47.0¢
Falcons vs. Saints: O/U 47.5Sports
Under$314 @ 48.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?—
No$259 @ 48.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?—
Yes$259 @ 47.0¢
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 11, 2026?—
No$102 @ 51.0¢
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?—
Yes$99 @ 49.5¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 11?—
Yes$98 @ 49.0¢
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 5?—
Up$71 @ 70.0¢
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?—
Yes$50 @ 34.9¢
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on May 5?—
Up$46 @ 91.0¢
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 5?—
Up$35 @ 70.0¢
Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on May 5?—
Up$35 @ 70.0¢
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on May 5?—
Up$32 @ 64.0¢
Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 6?—
Down$26 @ 51.0¢
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on May 5?—
Down$25 @ 49.0¢