← Smart money
0xf989…47cc
ProfitableEdge
+18.1pp
ROI
+41%
Win rate
58% @ 39.8¢
Brier
0.223
Resolved
347
Avg size
$918
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 56% (60/108) | +54% | 108 |
| Sports | 0% (0/12) | -100% | 12 |
| Politics | 86% (6/7) | +28% | 7 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (1/1) | +16% | 1 |
- Other108 bets
- Hit rate
- 56% (60/108)
- ROI
- +54%
- Sports12 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/12)
- ROI
- -100%
- Politics7 bets
- Hit rate
- 86% (6/7)
- ROI
- +28%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +16%
Track record
52% hit · 67/128- Yes$500 @ 16.5¢
- Yes$200 @ 10.9¢
- Natus Vincere$1000 @ 27.0¢
- Yes$300 @ 14.2¢
- No$2.0k @ 33.5¢
- Under$1.0k @ 30.0¢
- Zelenskyy$4 @ 23.0¢
- No$1.0k @ 32.2¢
- No$2.2k @ 30.5¢
- M80$282 @ 12.4¢
- No$11 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$4.0k @ 67.2¢
- France$5.1k @ 48.8¢
- No$100 @ 43.0¢
- No$600 @ 49.7¢
- France$1.0k @ 28.0¢
- No$3.3k @ 57.3¢
- Yes$80 @ 3.4¢
- No$2.0k @ 86.2¢
- No$2.6k @ 81.4¢
- Yes$2.4k @ 55.3¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 26.8¢
- No$10.0k @ 86.3¢
- No$1.1k @ 52.6¢
- Natus Vincere$4.1k @ 17.7¢
- B8$2.0k @ 30.0¢
- France$1.0k @ 19.5¢
- No$945 @ 67.0¢
- B8$200 @ 23.0¢
- Natus Vincere$3.1k @ 41.0¢
- No$200 @ 71.1¢
- No$3.0k @ 39.0¢
- Yes$5.5k @ 9.7¢
- France$410 @ 14.1¢
- Yes$2.0k @ 40.0¢
- No$6.9k @ 77.1¢
- BetBoom Team$1.0k @ 19.5¢
- Yes$200 @ 37.3¢
- No$1.6k @ 55.1¢
- Under$4.1k @ 58.1¢
- Cabo Verde$514 @ 5.4¢
- No$2.4k @ 27.8¢
- No$16.2k @ 59.5¢
- Usyk$3.0k @ 44.8¢
- No$3.0k @ 75.4¢
- Yes$10 @ 5.9¢
- No$14.1k @ 80.3¢
- Usyk$16.9k @ 76.9¢
- Passion UA$1.0k @ 32.0¢
- No$1000 @ 78.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Politics | No | $12.0k | 82.8¢ |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $4.5k | 45.3¢ |
| Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? | Geopolitics | No | $2.0k | 82.2¢ |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Politics | Yes | $2.0k | 54.0¢ |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Sports | Yes | $1.1k | 12.2¢ |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Politics | No | $1000 | 75.0¢ |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | Politics | No | $1000 | 68.3¢ |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | Politics | No | $1000 | 49.0¢ |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Politics | Yes | $500 | 8.6¢ |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Sports | Yes | $500 | 16.5¢ |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Sports | Yes | $200 | 10.9¢ |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Sports | Yes | $20 | 6.2¢ |
- No$12.0k @ 82.8¢
- Yes$4.5k @ 45.3¢
- Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?GeopoliticsNo$2.0k @ 82.2¢
- Yes$2.0k @ 54.0¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 12.2¢
- No$1000 @ 75.0¢
- No$1000 @ 68.3¢
- No$1000 @ 49.0¢
- Yes$500 @ 8.6¢
- Yes$500 @ 16.5¢
- Yes$200 @ 10.9¢
- Yes$20 @ 6.2¢