0xf988…0186

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xf988ec591d4d61b891bc7d2f7a47164a85fe0186
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+13.8pp

ROI

+500%

Win rate

17% @ 3.2¢

Brier

0.152

Resolved

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	18% (3/17)	+669%	17
Sports	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Politics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other17 bets
Hit rate
18% (3/17)
ROI
+669%
Sports2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

14% hit · 3/21

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$2	1.2¢	Lost
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	$2	5.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?	Yes	$1	5.5¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	$4	2.0¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	No	$2	0.5¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	Yes	$3	3.4¢	Won
Will Mainz win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?	Yes	$1	8.0¢	Lost
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	$1	2.8¢	Lost
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?	Yes	$2	8.9¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	$2	0.4¢	Lost
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	Yes	$2	1.9¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?	Yes	$1	2.8¢	Lost
Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Netanyahu out by April 30?	Yes	$2	1.5¢	Lost
Will voter turnout be <65% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Lost
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	Yes	$1	8.8¢	Lost
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	$4	4.5¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?	Yes	$1	1.5¢	Lost

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.2¢
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Lost
No$2 @ 5.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 5.5¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Lost
No$4 @ 2.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Lost
No$2 @ 0.5¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Won
Yes$3 @ 3.4¢
Will Mainz win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?Lost
Yes$1 @ 8.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Lost
No$1 @ 2.8¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Won
Yes$2 @ 8.9¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Lost
No$2 @ 0.4¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Won
Yes$2 @ 1.9¢
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.8¢
Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Netanyahu out by April 30?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.5¢
Will voter turnout be <65% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Lost
Yes$1 @ 8.8¢
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Lost
Yes$4 @ 4.5¢
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.5¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$3	5.9¢
NATO dissolves before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$1	8.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1	4.3¢

Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
Yes$3 @ 5.9¢
NATO dissolves before 2027?Politics
Yes$1 @ 8.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?Politics
Yes$1 @ 4.3¢