← Smart money
0xf968…84bd
SharpEdge
-2.8pp
ROI
+9%
Win rate
8% @ 10.5¢
Brier
0.054
Resolved
929
Avg size
$9
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 30% (34/113) | +11% | 113 |
| Sports | 14% (1/7) | +63% | 7 |
| Politics | 75% (3/4) | +135% | 4 |
| Geopolitics | 50% (1/2) | +12% | 2 |
| Culture | 50% (1/2) | -20% | 2 |
- Other113 bets
- Hit rate
- 30% (34/113)
- ROI
- +11%
- Sports7 bets
- Hit rate
- 14% (1/7)
- ROI
- +63%
- Politics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 75% (3/4)
- ROI
- +135%
- Geopolitics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +12%
- Culture2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- -20%
Track record
31% hit · 40/128- Yes$0 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$314 @ 58.7¢
- Yes$28 @ 28.0¢
- Yes$19 @ 2.3¢
- Yes$0 @ 5.0¢
- No$41 @ 27.0¢
- Yes$62 @ 7.3¢
- Yes$30 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$26 @ 21.0¢
- Yes$33 @ 8.3¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.8¢
- Yes$15 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$72 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 7.0¢
- No$10 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$20 @ 5.1¢
- Yes$85 @ 33.8¢
- Yes$104 @ 26.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 23.8¢
- No$75 @ 75.8¢
- Nawrocki$30 @ 5.3¢
- Yes$7 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$5 @ 52.0¢
- Yes$70 @ 3.9¢
- No$74 @ 73.5¢
- Yes$9 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$32 @ 8.1¢
- Yes$20 @ 11.0¢
- Will Fidesz-KDNP win <36% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?LostYes$10 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$284 @ 71.0¢
- Yes$43 @ 10.7¢
- Yes$21 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$50 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$38 @ 9.6¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
- No$14 @ 16.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$161 @ 15.8¢
- No$250 @ 68.5¢
- Yes$5 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$30 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$637 @ 68.1¢
- Yes$10 @ 0.2¢
- No$195 @ 65.0¢
- Yes$45 @ 13.5¢
- Yes$2 @ 26.8¢
- Yes$108 @ 19.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 1.8¢
- Yes$33 @ 47.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Slovenia participate in Eurovision 2027? | Culture | No | $890 | 93.0¢ |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by at least 12%? | Politics | Yes | $163 | 95.8¢ |
| Will Gintautas Kindurys win the 2026 Northern Nalšia district by-election? | Politics | Yes | $5 | 53.0¢ |
| Will the Student List win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by less than 2%? | Politics | Yes | $4 | 7.0¢ |
| Will Dalia Štraupaitė win the 2026 Northern Nalšia district by-election? | Politics | Yes | $1 | 5.0¢ |
| Will Mėta Palauskaitė win the 2026 Northern Nalšia district by-election? | Politics | Yes | $0 | 2.0¢ |
- No$890 @ 93.0¢
- Will Iliana Iotova win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by at least 12%?PoliticsYes$163 @ 95.8¢
- Yes$5 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 2.0¢