← Smart money
0xf91e…4f48
SharpEdge
-6.0pp
ROI
+11%
Win rate
57% @ 63.4¢
Brier
0.219
Resolved
2215
Avg size
$106
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 60% (321/536) | +0% | 536 |
| Sports | 62% (34/55) | +60% | 55 |
- Other536 bets
- Hit rate
- 60% (321/536)
- ROI
- +0%
- Sports55 bets
- Hit rate
- 62% (34/55)
- ROI
- +60%
Track record
60% hit · 355/591- Commanders$4.0k @ 53.0¢
- Giants$20.0k @ 56.3¢
- Yes$59 @ 77.0¢
- No$81 @ 85.0¢
- Over$14 @ 87.0¢
- Over$1.1k @ 80.0¢
- No$10 @ 69.0¢
- Over$11 @ 89.0¢
- Over$60 @ 60.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 86.0¢
- Over$74 @ 57.0¢
- Over$78 @ 74.0¢
- Under$77 @ 89.0¢
- No$55 @ 66.0¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 68.0¢
- Atlante FC$43 @ 75.0¢
- Over$25 @ 56.0¢
- Under$3 @ 63.0¢
- No$104 @ 78.0¢
- Over$97 @ 63.0¢
- Under$69 @ 46.0¢
- Over$125 @ 82.2¢
- Yes$440 @ 44.0¢
- Under$340 @ 68.0¢
- Under$69 @ 53.0¢
- Red Bull Bragantino$388 @ 73.4¢
- Over$590 @ 45.2¢
- Yes$320 @ 32.0¢
- No$4 @ 69.0¢
- Under$74 @ 86.0¢
- No$1.1k @ 87.0¢
- Over$20 @ 82.5¢
- Under$132 @ 73.0¢
- Under$4 @ 56.0¢
- No$949 @ 73.0¢
- No$152 @ 76.0¢
- No$176 @ 67.0¢
- No$11 @ 75.0¢
- Over$88 @ 51.0¢
- Under$8 @ 78.0¢
- Over$210 @ 42.0¢
- No$911 @ 65.0¢
- Yes$104 @ 60.0¢
- No$1 @ 59.0¢
- US Lecce$68 @ 68.0¢
- Yes$28 @ 62.0¢
- Over$11 @ 57.0¢
- No$806 @ 74.0¢
- Yes$916 @ 65.4¢
- Yes$306 @ 51.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: 49ers (-7.5) | Sports | 49ers | $15.0k | 51.0¢ |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | Sports | No | $8.2k | 65.0¢ |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Politics | Yes | $6.1k | 67.9¢ |
| Will Israel win on 2026-09-27? | Sports | No | $4.9k | 63.8¢ |
| Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | Economy | Yes | $1.5k | 41.4¢ |
| Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | Economy | Yes | $1.3k | 39.9¢ |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Politics | No | $1.3k | 69.8¢ |
| Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | Economy | No | $1.1k | 52.9¢ |
| Will Israel vs. Republic of Ireland end in a draw? | Sports | Yes | $1.0k | 30.8¢ |
| Republic of Ireland leading at halftime? | Sports | Yes | $713 | 29.0¢ |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Politics | Yes | $418 | 1.2¢ |
| Will Manchester City qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? | Sports | No | $40 | 12.0¢ |
| Exact Score: Israel 3 - 0 Republic of Ireland? | Sports | Yes | $0 | 3.4¢ |
- Spread: 49ers (-7.5)Sports49ers$15.0k @ 51.0¢
- No$8.2k @ 65.0¢
- Yes$6.1k @ 67.9¢
- No$4.9k @ 63.8¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 41.4¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 39.9¢
- No$1.3k @ 69.8¢
- No$1.1k @ 52.9¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 30.8¢
- Yes$713 @ 29.0¢
- Yes$418 @ 1.2¢
- No$40 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 3.4¢