0xf911…0596

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xf911065a831bcfd426ecd2d9782dc2db11060596
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

-7.7pp

ROI

+9%

Win rate

22% @ 29.7¢

Brier

0.116

Resolved

788

Avg size

$18

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	33% (92/279)	+10%	279
Sports	23% (3/13)	-9%	13
Politics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other279 bets
Hit rate
33% (92/279)
ROI
+10%
Sports13 bets
Hit rate
23% (3/13)
ROI
-9%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

32% hit · 95/293

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?	Yes	$1	3.8¢	Lost
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?	Yes	$4	44.0¢	Lost
Pistons vs. Suns	Suns	$5	2.3¢	Lost
Knicks vs. Warriors	Knicks	$2	16.9¢	Lost
Wizards vs. Thunder	Wizards	$1	7.3¢	Lost
Celtics vs. Magic	Celtics	$2	35.0¢	Lost
Pistons vs. Kings	Kings	$6	9.9¢	Lost
Warriors vs. Spurs	Warriors	$4	38.0¢	Won
Hawks vs. Spurs	Hawks	$2	12.0¢	Lost
Pistons vs. Heat	Pistons	$3	13.0¢	Lost
Timberwolves vs. Clippers	Timberwolves	$20	74.0¢	Won
Pacers vs. Kings	Kings	$3	7.3¢	Lost
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025 NBA 3-Point Contest?	Yes	$1	7.0¢	Lost
Will Max Verstappen win the Brazilian Grand Prix?	Yes	$11	44.2¢	Won
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	$26	87.8¢	Won
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?	No	$22	44.0¢	Won
Thunder vs. Heat	Heat	$8	5.2¢	Lost
Pistons vs. Lakers	Lakers	$13	22.4¢	Lost
Pistons vs. Lakers	Pistons	$1	19.0¢	Won
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	$4	35.0¢	Won
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	Yes	$7	14.0¢	Lost
Pacers vs. Raptors	Raptors	$4	77.0¢	Won
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?	Yes	$3	17.0¢	Won
Will Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?	Yes	$1	15.0¢	Won
Thunder vs. Timberwolves	Thunder	$2	8.0¢	Lost
Pistons vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	$10	48.0¢	Lost
Heat vs. Jazz	Jazz	$1	31.0¢	Lost
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?	Yes	$8	38.0¢	Lost
Spurs vs. Pistons	Spurs	$3	49.0¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?	Yes	$22	3.4¢	Lost
Will LeBron James play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Lost
Will Cade Cunningham win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?	Yes	$7	66.9¢	Lost
Jazz vs. Cavaliers	Jazz	$1	10.0¢	Lost
Raptors vs. Warriors	Raptors	$2	41.0¢	Won
Spurs vs. Lakers	Lakers	$14	1.3¢	Lost
Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	$2	35.0¢	Lost
Seahawks vs. Patriots	Seahawks	$7	69.0¢	Won
Celtics vs. Pistons	Celtics	$10	8.0¢	Lost
Lakers vs. Pistons	Lakers	$6	56.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by January 31, 2025?	Yes	$1	3.5¢	Lost
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?	Yes	$269	53.9¢	Lost
Pistons vs. Thunder	Pistons	$2	17.0¢	Lost
Pistons vs. Thunder	Thunder	$59	69.5¢	Won
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?	Yes	$2	24.0¢	Won
Magic vs. Pistons	Magic	$4	21.0¢	Won
Bulls vs. Pistons	Bulls	$5	6.7¢	Lost
Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?	Yes	$4.4k	85.0¢	Won
Will a Democrat win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election?	Yes	$44	87.0¢	Won
Will there be a 269-269 tie in Electoral College?	Yes	$5	4.5¢	Lost
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-05?	Yes	$3	36.0¢	Won

Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?Lost
Yes$1 @ 3.8¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?Lost
Yes$4 @ 44.0¢
Pistons vs. SunsLost
Suns$5 @ 2.3¢
Knicks vs. WarriorsLost
Knicks$2 @ 16.9¢
Wizards vs. ThunderLost
Wizards$1 @ 7.3¢
Celtics vs. MagicLost
Celtics$2 @ 35.0¢
Pistons vs. KingsLost
Kings$6 @ 9.9¢
Warriors vs. SpursWon
Warriors$4 @ 38.0¢
Hawks vs. SpursLost
Hawks$2 @ 12.0¢
Pistons vs. HeatLost
Pistons$3 @ 13.0¢
Timberwolves vs. ClippersWon
Timberwolves$20 @ 74.0¢
Pacers vs. KingsLost
Kings$3 @ 7.3¢
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025 NBA 3-Point Contest?Lost
Yes$1 @ 7.0¢
Will Max Verstappen win the Brazilian Grand Prix?Won
Yes$11 @ 44.2¢
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Won
No$26 @ 87.8¢
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?Won
No$22 @ 44.0¢
Thunder vs. HeatLost
Heat$8 @ 5.2¢
Pistons vs. LakersLost
Lakers$13 @ 22.4¢
Pistons vs. LakersWon
Pistons$1 @ 19.0¢
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets Won
Lakers$4 @ 35.0¢
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?Lost
Yes$7 @ 14.0¢
Pacers vs. RaptorsWon
Raptors$4 @ 77.0¢
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?Won
Yes$3 @ 17.0¢
Will Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?Won
Yes$1 @ 15.0¢
Thunder vs. TimberwolvesLost
Thunder$2 @ 8.0¢
Pistons vs. TimberwolvesLost
Timberwolves$10 @ 48.0¢
Heat vs. JazzLost
Jazz$1 @ 31.0¢
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?Lost
Yes$8 @ 38.0¢
Spurs vs. PistonsWon
Spurs$3 @ 49.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?Lost
Yes$22 @ 3.4¢
Will LeBron James play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Will Cade Cunningham win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?Lost
Yes$7 @ 66.9¢
Jazz vs. CavaliersLost
Jazz$1 @ 10.0¢
Raptors vs. WarriorsWon
Raptors$2 @ 41.0¢
Spurs vs. LakersLost
Lakers$14 @ 1.3¢
Lakers vs. RocketsLost
Lakers$2 @ 35.0¢
Seahawks vs. PatriotsWon
Seahawks$7 @ 69.0¢
Celtics vs. PistonsLost
Celtics$10 @ 8.0¢
Lakers vs. PistonsLost
Lakers$6 @ 56.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by January 31, 2025?Lost
Yes$1 @ 3.5¢
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Lost
Yes$269 @ 53.9¢
Pistons vs. ThunderLost
Pistons$2 @ 17.0¢
Pistons vs. ThunderWon
Thunder$59 @ 69.5¢
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?Won
Yes$2 @ 24.0¢
Magic vs. PistonsWon
Magic$4 @ 21.0¢
Bulls vs. PistonsLost
Bulls$5 @ 6.7¢
Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?Won
Yes$4.4k @ 85.0¢
Will a Democrat win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election?Won
Yes$44 @ 87.0¢
Will there be a 269-269 tie in Electoral College?Lost
Yes$5 @ 4.5¢
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-05?Won
Yes$3 @ 36.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Jalen Duren play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?	Sports	Yes	$1.1k	81.3¢
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Sports	Yes	$186	2.8¢
Will Jalen Duren play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?	Sports	Yes	$2	1.7¢
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1	14.5¢

Will Jalen Duren play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?Sports
Yes$1.1k @ 81.3¢
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?Sports
Yes$186 @ 2.8¢
Will Jalen Duren play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?Sports
Yes$2 @ 1.7¢
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?Politics
Yes$1 @ 14.5¢