0xf8f9…a2cb

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xf8f9873792351cbfdc19d684486a639da55ba2cb
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+12.1pp

ROI

+22%

Win rate

81% @ 69.3¢

Brier

0.062

Resolved

199

Avg size

$667

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	63% (31/49)	+22%	49
Sports	100% (1/1)	+27%	1

Other49 bets
Hit rate
63% (31/49)
ROI
+22%
Sports1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+27%

Track record

64% hit · 32/50

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	$13	66.0¢	Won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 1.5	Over	$30	76.0¢	Lost
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance	Argentina	$52	74.5¢	Won
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 0 Algeria?	Yes	$4	82.0¢	Won
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	$21	50.2¢	Lost
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Morocco?	Yes	$3	3.8¢	Lost
Will the Government shutdown end October 3-5?	Yes	$92	4.6¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?	No	$7.5k	87.4¢	Won
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	$44	61.0¢	Won
Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?	Yes	$440	22.0¢	Lost
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	$9	30.0¢	Lost
Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?	Yes	$719	33.2¢	Lost
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance	Spain	$66	66.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?	No	$504	81.0¢	Won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5	Over	$63	71.2¢	Won
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5	Over	$31	77.0¢	Won
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	$8	79.0¢	Won
France vs. England: O/U 1.5	Over	$88	87.0¢	Won
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Switzerland?	Yes	$5	18.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?	Yes	$5	15.0¢	Lost
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance	England	$54	53.8¢	Lost
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance	Spain	$53	74.8¢	Won
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 England?	Yes	$3	6.0¢	Lost
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance	Belgium	$15	76.0¢	Won
France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5	Over	$54	77.0¢	Won
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 0 Egypt?	No	$17	87.0¢	Won
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 England?	Yes	$2	4.4¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?	No	$4.9k	83.9¢	Won
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	$28	55.0¢	Lost
Will England win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	$52	74.4¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?	No	$4.4k	86.2¢	Won
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?	No	$1.2k	85.3¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?	No	$40.8k	81.3¢	Won
Spread: France (-1.5)	Spain	$57	80.8¢	Won
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	$106	74.0¢	Won
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5	Over	$14	54.0¢	Won
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?	Yes	$750	37.5¢	Won
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 1.5	Over	$36	81.0¢	Won
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)	Argentina	$22	72.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?	No	$1.3k	82.2¢	Won
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Morocco?	Yes	$4	2.9¢	Lost
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?	No	$4.0k	86.1¢	Won
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$12	59.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?	No	$53.2k	80.3¢	Won
Spread: Spain (-2.5)	Belgium	$42	84.0¢	Won
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance	France	$18	59.5¢	Lost
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?	No	$11.7k	79.2¢	Won
Spread: England (-1.5)	Argentina	$85	85.0¢	Won
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5	Over	$10	50.5¢	Lost
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5	Over	$34	84.0¢	Won

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?Won
Yes$13 @ 66.0¢
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 1.5Lost
Over$30 @ 76.0¢
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceWon
Argentina$52 @ 74.5¢
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 0 Algeria?Won
Yes$4 @ 82.0¢
Will England win on 2026-07-11?Lost
Yes$21 @ 50.2¢
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Morocco?Lost
Yes$3 @ 3.8¢
Will the Government shutdown end October 3-5?Lost
Yes$92 @ 4.6¢
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?Won
No$7.5k @ 87.4¢
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Won
Yes$44 @ 61.0¢
Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?Lost
Yes$440 @ 22.0¢
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?Lost
Yes$9 @ 30.0¢
Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?Lost
Yes$719 @ 33.2¢
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceWon
Spain$66 @ 66.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?Won
No$504 @ 81.0¢
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5Won
Over$63 @ 71.2¢
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5Won
Over$31 @ 77.0¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group StageWon
Hanwha Life Esports$8 @ 79.0¢
France vs. England: O/U 1.5Won
Over$88 @ 87.0¢
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Switzerland?Lost
Yes$5 @ 18.0¢
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?Lost
Yes$5 @ 15.0¢
England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceLost
England$54 @ 53.8¢
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceWon
Spain$53 @ 74.8¢
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 England?Lost
Yes$3 @ 6.0¢
United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceWon
Belgium$15 @ 76.0¢
France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5Won
Over$54 @ 77.0¢
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 0 Egypt?Won
No$17 @ 87.0¢
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 England?Lost
Yes$2 @ 4.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?Won
No$4.9k @ 83.9¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?Lost
Yes$28 @ 55.0¢
Will England win on 2026-07-05?Won
Yes$52 @ 74.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?Won
No$4.4k @ 86.2¢
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?Won
No$1.2k @ 85.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?Won
No$40.8k @ 81.3¢
Spread: France (-1.5)Won
Spain$57 @ 80.8¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Won
Yes$106 @ 74.0¢
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5Won
Over$14 @ 54.0¢
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?Won
Yes$750 @ 37.5¢
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 1.5Won
Over$36 @ 81.0¢
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Lost
Argentina$22 @ 72.0¢
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?Won
No$1.3k @ 82.2¢
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Morocco?Lost
Yes$4 @ 2.9¢
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?Won
No$4.0k @ 86.1¢
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreLost
Yes$12 @ 59.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?Won
No$53.2k @ 80.3¢
Spread: Spain (-2.5)Won
Belgium$42 @ 84.0¢
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceLost
France$18 @ 59.5¢
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?Won
No$11.7k @ 79.2¢
Spread: England (-1.5)Won
Argentina$85 @ 85.0¢
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$10 @ 50.5¢
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5Won
Over$34 @ 84.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Geopolitics	No	$98.8k	85.9¢
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	Politics	No	$205	89.0¢
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$146	88.9¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Politics	No	$111	95.2¢
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$68	93.6¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Politics	No	$38	93.3¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	Yes	$16	90.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$8	70.0¢

Xi Jinping out before 2027?Geopolitics
No$98.8k @ 85.9¢
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Politics
No$205 @ 89.0¢
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Politics
No$146 @ 88.9¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics
No$111 @ 95.2¢
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$68 @ 93.6¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics
No$38 @ 93.3¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
Yes$16 @ 90.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$8 @ 70.0¢