0xf8ad…c303

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xf8ad84df1ada1985851739077570f994d3d9c303
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+5.2pp

ROI

+8%

Win rate

72% @ 67.3¢

Brier

0.134

Resolved

694

Avg size

$62

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	58% (72/124)	+4%	124
Sports	77% (56/73)	+12%	73
Science	70% (7/10)	+41%	10
Politics	100% (1/1)	+21%	1

Other124 bets
Hit rate
58% (72/124)
ROI
+4%
Sports73 bets
Hit rate
77% (56/73)
ROI
+12%
Science10 bets
Hit rate
70% (7/10)
ROI
+41%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+21%

Track record

65% hit · 136/208

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG - Game 2 Winner	Team Liquid	$265	76.5¢	Won
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?	No	$30	84.0¢	Lost
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs NightBirds (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage	Karmine Corp Blue	$74	87.9¢	Won
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner	PARIVISION	$147	88.8¢	Won
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 144.5	Over	$500	50.0¢	Lost
LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 3 Winner	LYON	$199	75.5¢	Won
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	PARIVISION	$15	10.0¢	Lost
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	Team Spirit	$423	81.3¢	Won
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner	Team Spirit	$57	10.0¢	Lost
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winner	GamerLegion	$288	87.0¢	Won
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines	Tennessee Volunteers	$500	25.0¢	Lost
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines	Arizona Wildcats	$940	47.0¢	Lost
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage	Team Yandex	$313	89.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 1?	No	$68	66.0¢	Lost
Israel military action against Yemen before November?	Yes	$30	57.6¢	Won
Colts vs. Titans	Colts	$30	44.0¢	Won
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Vici Gaming	$954	82.0¢	Won
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Cobra - Game 2 Winner	Aurora	$146	82.0¢	Won
Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner	Aurora	$282	86.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 9?	Yes	$123	76.9¢	Won
Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage	PlayTime	$214	83.0¢	Lost
Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winner	1win	$106	72.0¢	Lost
LoL: paiN Gaming vs RED Canids - Game 4 Winner	paiN Gaming	$4	89.0¢	Lost
Will Tim Walz say "Football" during the debate?	No	$30	33.0¢	Lost
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier	LGD Gaming	$276	83.3¢	Won
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner	PARIVISION	$122	79.9¢	Won
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner	LGD Gaming	$263	46.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 31?	No	$32	79.8¢	Won
Diddy sex tape released before November?	No	$50	85.0¢	Won
Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?	No	$699	63.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on May 31?	No	$141	88.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 31?	No	$14	76.0¢	Won
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner	MOUZ	$15	74.5¢	Lost
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Team Bored - Game 1 Winner	Team Nemesis	$124	81.2¢	Won
LoL: RED Canids vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage	Natus Vincere	$2	18.0¢	Lost
2024 October hottest on record?	No	$30	85.0¢	Won
Solana above $155 on October 4?	Yes	$40	60.0¢	Lost
Aston Villa FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Score	No	$480	48.0¢	Lost
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner	Team Nemesis	$146	83.0¢	Won
Will there be another debate?	No	$50	66.0¢	Won
Panthers vs. Bears	Panthers	$50	51.8¢	Lost
LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season	Eintracht Frankfurt	$276	27.2¢	Lost
LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season	ROSSMANN Centaurs	$2	89.5¢	Won
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner	1win	$98	75.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on June 10?	Yes	$237	86.7¢	Won
Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner	GamerLegion	$92	86.0¢	Won
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Kalmychata - Game 2 Winner	Kalmychata	$240	76.2¢	Won
Cowboys vs. Texans	Cowboys	$147	88.0¢	Won
Will Kamala say "first-time homebuyer" during her Nevada speech?	Yes	$30	73.0¢	Won
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs	Xtreme Gaming	$298	86.5¢	Won

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG - Game 2 WinnerWon
Team Liquid$265 @ 76.5¢
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?Lost
No$30 @ 84.0¢
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs NightBirds (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss StageWon
Karmine Corp Blue$74 @ 87.9¢
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerWon
PARIVISION$147 @ 88.8¢
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 144.5Lost
Over$500 @ 50.0¢
LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 3 WinnerWon
LYON$199 @ 75.5¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsLost
PARIVISION$15 @ 10.0¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsWon
Team Spirit$423 @ 81.3¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerLost
Team Spirit$57 @ 10.0¢
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 WinnerWon
GamerLegion$288 @ 87.0¢
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan WolverinesLost
Tennessee Volunteers$500 @ 25.0¢
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan WolverinesLost
Arizona Wildcats$940 @ 47.0¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageWon
Team Yandex$313 @ 89.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 1?Lost
No$68 @ 66.0¢
Israel military action against Yemen before November?Won
Yes$30 @ 57.6¢
Colts vs. TitansWon
Colts$30 @ 44.0¢
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 WinnerWon
Vici Gaming$954 @ 82.0¢
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Cobra - Game 2 WinnerWon
Aurora$146 @ 82.0¢
Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion - Game 1 WinnerWon
Aurora$282 @ 86.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 9?Won
Yes$123 @ 76.9¢
Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageLost
PlayTime$214 @ 83.0¢
Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 WinnerLost
1win$106 @ 72.0¢
LoL: paiN Gaming vs RED Canids - Game 4 WinnerLost
paiN Gaming$4 @ 89.0¢
Will Tim Walz say "Football" during the debate?Lost
No$30 @ 33.0¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance QualifierWon
LGD Gaming$276 @ 83.3¢
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 WinnerWon
PARIVISION$122 @ 79.9¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 1 WinnerLost
LGD Gaming$263 @ 46.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 31?Won
No$32 @ 79.8¢
Diddy sex tape released before November? Won
No$50 @ 85.0¢
Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?Won
No$699 @ 63.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on May 31?Won
No$141 @ 88.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 31?Won
No$14 @ 76.0¢
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerLost
MOUZ$15 @ 74.5¢
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Team Bored - Game 1 WinnerWon
Team Nemesis$124 @ 81.2¢
LoL: RED Canids vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group StageLost
Natus Vincere$2 @ 18.0¢
2024 October hottest on record?Won
No$30 @ 85.0¢
Solana above $155 on October 4?Lost
Yes$40 @ 60.0¢
Aston Villa FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to ScoreLost
No$480 @ 48.0¢
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerWon
Team Nemesis$146 @ 83.0¢
Will there be another debate?Won
No$50 @ 66.0¢
Panthers vs. BearsLost
Panthers$50 @ 51.8¢
LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular SeasonLost
Eintracht Frankfurt$276 @ 27.2¢
LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular SeasonWon
ROSSMANN Centaurs$2 @ 89.5¢
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 1 WinnerWon
1win$98 @ 75.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on June 10?Won
Yes$237 @ 86.7¢
Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion - Game 1 WinnerWon
GamerLegion$92 @ 86.0¢
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Kalmychata - Game 2 WinnerWon
Kalmychata$240 @ 76.2¢
Cowboys vs. TexansWon
Cowboys$147 @ 88.0¢
Will Kamala say "first-time homebuyer" during her Nevada speech?Won
Yes$30 @ 73.0¢
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsWon
Xtreme Gaming$298 @ 86.5¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Politics	No	$920	92.0¢
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG - Game 2 Winner	Sports	Team Liquid	$265	76.5¢

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics
No$920 @ 92.0¢
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG - Game 2 WinnerSports
Team Liquid$265 @ 76.5¢