0xf802…d91d

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xf802a499d7ff91f329dea4ea9b43abcc72e8d91d
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+3.2pp

ROI

+8%

Win rate

47% @ 43.8¢

Brier

0.194

Resolved

5524

Avg size

$109

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	55% (901/1626)	+8%	1626
Sports	46% (87/189)	+9%	189
Culture	50% (1/2)	-29%	2
Politics	100% (1/1)	+59%	1

Other1626 bets
Hit rate
55% (901/1626)
ROI
+8%
Sports189 bets
Hit rate
46% (87/189)
ROI
+9%
Culture2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-29%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+59%

Track record

54% hit · 990/1818

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Austria win 2026-27 Nations League Group B3?	No	$34	34.0¢	Lost
Will Austria win 2026-27 Nations League Group B3?	Yes	$263	58.1¢	Won
Will Republic of Ireland win 2026-27 Nations League Group B3?	Yes	$51	17.0¢	Lost
Will Ukraine win 2026-27 Nations League Group B2?	Yes	$5	27.0¢	Lost
Will Sweden win 2026-27 Nations League Group B4?	No	$59	59.0¢	Lost
Will Sweden win 2026-27 Nations League Group B4?	Yes	$9	59.0¢	Won
Will Israel win 2026-27 Nations League Group B3?	Yes	$53	10.8¢	Lost
Will Slovenia win 2026-27 Nations League Group B1?	Yes	$24	12.0¢	Lost
Will Lithuania win 2026-27 Nations League Group D2?	Yes	$28	28.0¢	Lost
Will Switzerland win 2026-27 Nations League Group B1?	No	$182	34.9¢	Lost
Will Switzerland win 2026-27 Nations League Group B1?	Yes	$9	45.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: hypewrld vs EC BANGA (BO1)	hypewrld	$33	73.1¢	Won
Counter-Strike: megoshort vs XI Esport (BO3)	megoshort	$710	71.0¢	Won
Dota 2: AVULUS vs Most Wanted (BO3)	AVULUS	$557	66.8¢	Won
Dota 2: AVULUS vs Most Wanted (BO3)	Most Wanted	$77	16.0¢	Lost
Valorant: GnG Amazigh vs Vibranium Esports - Map 1 Winner	GnG Amazigh	$200	31.0¢	Lost
Valorant: GnG Amazigh vs Vibranium Esports - Map 1 Winner	Vibranium Esports	$550	55.0¢	Won
Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffs	Team Envy	$84	42.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner	Spirit	$180	26.7¢	Lost
Valorant: Tezcat Gaming vs LYON - Map 2 Winner	LYON	$160	15.7¢	Lost
Valorant: Tezcat Gaming vs LYON - Map 2 Winner	Tezcat Gaming	$600	56.5¢	Won
O/U 1.5 Rounds	Over	$8	80.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Team Shadowkek vs Team buster (BO3)	Team Shadowkek	$200	58.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Team Shadowkek vs Team buster (BO3)	Team buster	$117	69.1¢	Won
Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner	Virtus.pro	$100	12.0¢	Lost
Will Michel Pereira win by KO or TKO?	No	$9	63.0¢	Won
Spread: Swansea City AFC (-1.5)	Swansea City AFC	$4	5.9¢	Lost
Dota 2: Ivory vs Yangon Galacticos - Game 2 Winner	Ivory	$13	48.8¢	Won
Dota 2: Ivory vs Yangon Galacticos - Game 2 Winner	Yangon Galacticos	$700	54.5¢	Lost
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffs	Team Heretics	$688	76.7¢	Won
Will Norway win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 4 X 7.5km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?	Yes	$95	19.6¢	Lost
BNP Paribas Open: Donna Vekic vs Tereza Valentova	Donna Vekic	$300	64.0¢	Won
Will Sulangrangbo win by KO or TKO?	No	$18	55.0¢	Won
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	No	$1.8k	20.0¢	Lost
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	Yes	$570	48.5¢	Won
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Yes	$252	14.9¢	Lost
Will Keldon Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?	No	$64	13.0¢	Lost
Will Nicolas Echavarria finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Cognizant Classic in The Palm Beaches?	Yes	$10	77.2¢	Won
Dota 2: Perú Rejects vs Team Sangre (BO3)	Perú Rejects	$22	86.7¢	Won
Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	$258	68.8¢	Won
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs ENCE - Map 2 Winner	PARIVISION	$34	73.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 21?	Yes	$955	56.2¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs RED Canids Academy (BO3)	largadosypelados	$54	73.0¢	Won
Will Tallison Teixeira win by KO or TKO?	Yes	$1	52.0¢	Lost
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner	Team Heretics	$124	31.0¢	Lost
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	$400	69.9¢	Won
LoL: FRK vs Team WE (BO3)	Team WE	$289	81.8¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Truck Drivers vs Sangal ALTERS (BO3)	Sangal ALTERS	$111	29.4¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Truck Drivers vs Sangal ALTERS (BO3)	Truck Drivers	$408	48.2¢	Won
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winner	Oh My God	$2	29.0¢	Won

Will Austria win 2026-27 Nations League Group B3?Lost
No$34 @ 34.0¢
Will Austria win 2026-27 Nations League Group B3?Won
Yes$263 @ 58.1¢
Will Republic of Ireland win 2026-27 Nations League Group B3?Lost
Yes$51 @ 17.0¢
Will Ukraine win 2026-27 Nations League Group B2?Lost
Yes$5 @ 27.0¢
Will Sweden win 2026-27 Nations League Group B4?Lost
No$59 @ 59.0¢
Will Sweden win 2026-27 Nations League Group B4?Won
Yes$9 @ 59.0¢
Will Israel win 2026-27 Nations League Group B3?Lost
Yes$53 @ 10.8¢
Will Slovenia win 2026-27 Nations League Group B1?Lost
Yes$24 @ 12.0¢
Will Lithuania win 2026-27 Nations League Group D2?Lost
Yes$28 @ 28.0¢
Will Switzerland win 2026-27 Nations League Group B1?Lost
No$182 @ 34.9¢
Will Switzerland win 2026-27 Nations League Group B1?Won
Yes$9 @ 45.0¢
Counter-Strike: hypewrld vs EC BANGA (BO1)Won
hypewrld$33 @ 73.1¢
Counter-Strike: megoshort vs XI Esport (BO3)Won
megoshort$710 @ 71.0¢
Dota 2: AVULUS vs Most Wanted (BO3)Won
AVULUS$557 @ 66.8¢
Dota 2: AVULUS vs Most Wanted (BO3)Lost
Most Wanted$77 @ 16.0¢
Valorant: GnG Amazigh vs Vibranium Esports - Map 1 WinnerLost
GnG Amazigh$200 @ 31.0¢
Valorant: GnG Amazigh vs Vibranium Esports - Map 1 WinnerWon
Vibranium Esports$550 @ 55.0¢
Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff PlayoffsLost
Team Envy$84 @ 42.0¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerLost
Spirit$180 @ 26.7¢
Valorant: Tezcat Gaming vs LYON - Map 2 WinnerLost
LYON$160 @ 15.7¢
Valorant: Tezcat Gaming vs LYON - Map 2 WinnerWon
Tezcat Gaming$600 @ 56.5¢
O/U 1.5 RoundsWon
Over$8 @ 80.0¢
Counter-Strike: Team Shadowkek vs Team buster (BO3)Lost
Team Shadowkek$200 @ 58.0¢
Counter-Strike: Team Shadowkek vs Team buster (BO3)Won
Team buster$117 @ 69.1¢
Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 WinnerLost
Virtus.pro$100 @ 12.0¢
Will Michel Pereira win by KO or TKO?Won
No$9 @ 63.0¢
Spread: Swansea City AFC (-1.5)Lost
Swansea City AFC$4 @ 5.9¢
Dota 2: Ivory vs Yangon Galacticos - Game 2 WinnerWon
Ivory$13 @ 48.8¢
Dota 2: Ivory vs Yangon Galacticos - Game 2 WinnerLost
Yangon Galacticos$700 @ 54.5¢
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff PlayoffsWon
Team Heretics$688 @ 76.7¢
Will Norway win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 4 X 7.5km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?Lost
Yes$95 @ 19.6¢
BNP Paribas Open: Donna Vekic vs Tereza ValentovaWon
Donna Vekic$300 @ 64.0¢
Will Sulangrangbo win by KO or TKO?Won
No$18 @ 55.0¢
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?Lost
No$1.8k @ 20.0¢
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?Won
Yes$570 @ 48.5¢
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?Lost
Yes$252 @ 14.9¢
Will Keldon Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?Lost
No$64 @ 13.0¢
Will Nicolas Echavarria finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Cognizant Classic in The Palm Beaches?Won
Yes$10 @ 77.2¢
Dota 2: Perú Rejects vs Team Sangre (BO3)Won
Perú Rejects$22 @ 86.7¢
Games Total: O/U 2.5Won
Under$258 @ 68.8¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs ENCE - Map 2 WinnerWon
PARIVISION$34 @ 73.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 21?Lost
Yes$955 @ 56.2¢
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs RED Canids Academy (BO3)Won
largadosypelados$54 @ 73.0¢
Will Tallison Teixeira win by KO or TKO?Lost
Yes$1 @ 52.0¢
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 WinnerLost
Team Heretics$124 @ 31.0¢
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?Won
Yes$400 @ 69.9¢
LoL: FRK vs Team WE (BO3)Won
Team WE$289 @ 81.8¢
Counter-Strike: Truck Drivers vs Sangal ALTERS (BO3)Lost
Sangal ALTERS$111 @ 29.4¢
Counter-Strike: Truck Drivers vs Sangal ALTERS (BO3)Won
Truck Drivers$408 @ 48.2¢
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 WinnerWon
Oh My God$2 @ 29.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Raphinha (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?	Sports	Yes	$1.5k	46.7¢
Will Benfica finish first in UEL league phase?	Sports	Yes	$1.3k	34.1¢
Will CF Monterrey finish 2nd in the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?	Sports	No	$1.3k	88.8¢
Will Marc Marquez win the 2026 MotoGP World Championship?	Sports	Yes	$1.2k	68.7¢
Will Germany win 2026-27 Nations League Group A2?	Sports	Yes	$1.2k	59.2¢
Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?	Sports	Yes	$1.2k	47.0¢
Will Lech Poznan finish 9th-24th in UEL league phase?	Sports	No	$806	55.2¢
Will Payton Pritchard win the 2026-27 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?	Sports	No	$705	72.7¢
Will Crystal Palace finish top 8 in UEL league phase?	Sports	No	$655	62.0¢
Will Anthony Gordon (Barcelona) record the most assists in the 2026-27 La Liga season?	Sports	No	$562	78.2¢
Will Alexander Isak win the 2026-27 English Premier League Player of the Season award?	Sports	No	$548	90.0¢
Will Club América finish 2nd in the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?	Sports	Yes	$531	15.9¢
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$501	31.3¢
Will Belgium be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?	Sports	No	$490	78.6¢
Will Italy be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?	Sports	No	$471	67.9¢
Will Greece be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?	Sports	No	$445	82.9¢
Will Netherlands win 2026-27 Nations League Group A2?	Sports	Yes	$444	52.5¢
Will Walker Kessler win the 2026-27 NBA Most Improved Player?	Sports	No	$423	87.8¢
F1: Will Carlos Sainz finish ahead of Fernando Alonso in the 2026 Drivers' Championship?	Sports	Yes	$406	64.0¢
Will Harry Kane (Bayern Munich) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season?	Sports	No	$390	44.8¢
Will Sturm Graz finish 9th-24th in UEL league phase?	Sports	Yes	$388	44.0¢
Will Vinícius Júnior (Real Madrid) record the most assists in the 2026-27 La Liga season?	Sports	No	$352	80.0¢
Will Lamine Yamal (Barcelona) record the most assists in the 2026-27 La Liga season?	Sports	No	$343	44.0¢
Will Lech Poznan finish top 8 in UEL league phase?	Sports	No	$266	92.8¢
Will Austria win 2026-27 Nations League Group B3?	Sports	Yes	$263	58.1¢
Will Juventus finish first in UEL league phase?	Sports	No	$255	84.4¢
Will PSOE win 102-107 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Politics	Yes	$244	16.8¢
Will Levante be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?	Sports	No	$241	71.4¢
Will Donte DiVincenzo win the 2026-27 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?	Sports	No	$231	85.6¢
Will North Macedonia be promoted to Nations League A in 2026-27?	Sports	No	$228	87.0¢

Will Raphinha (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?Sports
Yes$1.5k @ 46.7¢
Will Benfica finish first in UEL league phase?Sports
Yes$1.3k @ 34.1¢
Will CF Monterrey finish 2nd in the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?Sports
No$1.3k @ 88.8¢
Will Marc Marquez win the 2026 MotoGP World Championship?Sports
Yes$1.2k @ 68.7¢
Will Germany win 2026-27 Nations League Group A2?Sports
Yes$1.2k @ 59.2¢
Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?Sports
Yes$1.2k @ 47.0¢
Will Lech Poznan finish 9th-24th in UEL league phase?Sports
No$806 @ 55.2¢
Will Payton Pritchard win the 2026-27 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?Sports
No$705 @ 72.7¢
Will Crystal Palace finish top 8 in UEL league phase?Sports
No$655 @ 62.0¢
Will Anthony Gordon (Barcelona) record the most assists in the 2026-27 La Liga season?Sports
No$562 @ 78.2¢
Will Alexander Isak win the 2026-27 English Premier League Player of the Season award?Sports
No$548 @ 90.0¢
Will Club América finish 2nd in the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?Sports
Yes$531 @ 15.9¢
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$501 @ 31.3¢
Will Belgium be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?Sports
No$490 @ 78.6¢
Will Italy be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?Sports
No$471 @ 67.9¢
Will Greece be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?Sports
No$445 @ 82.9¢
Will Netherlands win 2026-27 Nations League Group A2?Sports
Yes$444 @ 52.5¢
Will Walker Kessler win the 2026-27 NBA Most Improved Player?Sports
No$423 @ 87.8¢
F1: Will Carlos Sainz finish ahead of Fernando Alonso in the 2026 Drivers' Championship?Sports
Yes$406 @ 64.0¢
Will Harry Kane (Bayern Munich) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season?Sports
No$390 @ 44.8¢
Will Sturm Graz finish 9th-24th in UEL league phase?Sports
Yes$388 @ 44.0¢
Will Vinícius Júnior (Real Madrid) record the most assists in the 2026-27 La Liga season?Sports
No$352 @ 80.0¢
Will Lamine Yamal (Barcelona) record the most assists in the 2026-27 La Liga season?Sports
No$343 @ 44.0¢
Will Lech Poznan finish top 8 in UEL league phase?Sports
No$266 @ 92.8¢
Will Austria win 2026-27 Nations League Group B3?Sports
Yes$263 @ 58.1¢
Will Juventus finish first in UEL league phase?Sports
No$255 @ 84.4¢
Will PSOE win 102-107 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?Politics
Yes$244 @ 16.8¢
Will Levante be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?Sports
No$241 @ 71.4¢
Will Donte DiVincenzo win the 2026-27 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?Sports
No$231 @ 85.6¢
Will North Macedonia be promoted to Nations League A in 2026-27?Sports
No$228 @ 87.0¢