← Smart money
0xf7fe…07cf
SharpEdge
+11.3pp
ROI
+35%
Win rate
38% @ 27.1¢
Brier
0.085
Resolved
73
Avg size
$26
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 25% (4/16) | +43% | 16 |
| Politics | 63% (5/8) | +31% | 8 |
| Other | 80% (4/5) | +60% | 5 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Sports16 bets
- Hit rate
- 25% (4/16)
- ROI
- +43%
- Politics8 bets
- Hit rate
- 63% (5/8)
- ROI
- +31%
- Other5 bets
- Hit rate
- 80% (4/5)
- ROI
- +60%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
43% hit · 13/30- Yes$2 @ 2.2¢
- Yes$70 @ 64.0¢
- Yes$221 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
- No$196 @ 87.2¢
- No$56 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$25 @ 11.6¢
- Yes$5 @ 27.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$10 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$2 @ 33.0¢
- No$855 @ 72.8¢
- Yes$8 @ 19.8¢
- Yes$7 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$3 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$2 @ 5.6¢
- Yes$5 @ 7.8¢
- No$104 @ 82.0¢
- Yes$13 @ 18.3¢
- No$61 @ 42.8¢
- Yes$4 @ 18.0¢
- No$78 @ 62.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.2¢
- No$102 @ 72.9¢
- No$33 @ 0.2¢
- No$3 @ 64.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$16 @ 39.0¢
- Yes$30 @ 20.6¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? | Politics | No | $539 | 77.0¢ |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Politics | Yes | $67 | 29.6¢ |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? | Geopolitics | No | $46 | 75.0¢ |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | Politics | No | $36 | 57.0¢ |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? | Geopolitics | No | $32 | 84.0¢ |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Politics | Yes | $11 | 4.9¢ |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $5 | 7.7¢ |
| Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? | Culture | Yes | $5 | 5.0¢ |
| Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Politics | Yes | $3 | 1.5¢ |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Politics | Yes | $1 | 2.0¢ |
- No$539 @ 77.0¢
- Yes$67 @ 29.6¢
- No$46 @ 75.0¢
- No$36 @ 57.0¢
- No$32 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 4.9¢
- Yes$5 @ 7.7¢
- Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 1.5¢
- Yes$1 @ 2.0¢