0xf767…61df

Specialization by sphere

• Other10 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (5/10)

  ROI

  -30%

• Politics9 bets

  Hit rate

  89% (8/9)

  ROI

  +30%

• Sports1 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/1)

  ROI

  -100%

• Geopolitics1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +11%

• Culture1 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/1)

  ROI

  -100%

• Crypto1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +282%

• Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?Won
  No$1.6k @ 57.2¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Lost
  No$4.7k @ 58.4¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Won
  No$1.3k @ 90.0¢
• Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Won
  No$4.3k @ 84.0¢
• Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Won
  No$2.5k @ 74.9¢
• Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?Won
  No$2.1k @ 70.0¢
• Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Won
  No$6.2k @ 39.9¢
• Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?Won
  No$8.3k @ 73.6¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$8.7k @ 26.2¢
• Will Matthias Bluebaum win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?Lost
  Yes$3 @ 1.3¢
• Will Anish Giri win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?Lost
  Yes$59 @ 5.1¢
• Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?Lost
  Yes$229 @ 23.2¢
• Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?Won
  No$6.1k @ 88.0¢
• Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?Won
  Yes$2.6k @ 79.8¢
• Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Won
  Yes$1.3k @ 47.2¢
• Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Lost
  No$6.3k @ 85.9¢
• Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Lost
  No$6.1k @ 73.3¢
• Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$2.6k @ 52.4¢
• Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?Won
  No$532 @ 85.0¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Won
  No$716 @ 77.0¢
• Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?Lost
  No$6.7k @ 10.5¢
• Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?Lost
  Yes$278 @ 56.0¢
• Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?Won
  Yes$1.8k @ 65.6¢

Current positions

• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  Yes$13.0k @ 50.0¢
• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  No$13.0k @ 50.0¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$6.2k @ 83.0¢
• Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Politics
  No$5.4k @ 61.6¢
• Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Politics
  No$4.5k @ 61.8¢
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Tech
  No$2.5k @ 57.8¢
• Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture
  No$1.1k @ 44.0¢
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?Tech
  No$237 @ 20.9¢
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?Tech
  No$217 @ 47.2¢
• Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture
  Yes$204 @ 45.0¢
• Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture
  Yes$184 @ 44.0¢
• Will Trump and Putin not meet?Politics
  Yes$132 @ 54.6¢
• Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?Geopolitics
  No$52 @ 26.0¢
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?Tech
  No$29 @ 23.8¢
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?Tech
  No$6 @ 14.0¢