← Smart money
0xf75d…29fb
ProfitableEdge
+17.9pp
ROI
+39%
Win rate
47% @ 29.1¢
Brier
0.262
Resolved
51
Avg size
$12
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 48% (10/21) | +54% | 21 |
| Politics | 22% (2/9) | +5% | 9 |
| Sports | 100% (1/1) | +104% | 1 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Culture | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other21 bets
- Hit rate
- 48% (10/21)
- ROI
- +54%
- Politics9 bets
- Hit rate
- 22% (2/9)
- ROI
- +5%
- Sports1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +104%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Culture1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
39% hit · 13/33- Up$1 @ 41.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 21.9¢
- No$28 @ 29.0¢
- No$17 @ 14.8¢
- No$15 @ 11.0¢
- Yes$144 @ 27.3¢
- Yes$167 @ 46.6¢
- Yes$5 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$21 @ 6.6¢
- Yes$25 @ 29.0¢
- Yes$14 @ 4.0¢
- No$5 @ 12.0¢
- No$14 @ 70.0¢
- Golden Knights$7 @ 48.9¢
- Demoor$59 @ 24.5¢
- Tate$20 @ 85.3¢
- No$5 @ 22.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 18.3¢
- Yes$4 @ 11.0¢
- Yes$19 @ 10.3¢
- No$1 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$15 @ 15.1¢
- Yes$9 @ 4.4¢
- Yes$2 @ 4.7¢
- Yes$30 @ 7.4¢
- No$13 @ 41.0¢
- Yes$14 @ 43.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 17.0¢
- Khamzat Chimaev$4 @ 82.0¢
- Sean Strickland$6 @ 19.0¢
- Yes$12 @ 53.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $17 | 29.0¢ |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? | Geopolitics | No | $15 | 8.6¢ |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $10 | 4.0¢ |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $7 | 21.9¢ |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | Politics | No | $5 | 22.0¢ |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? | Politics | No | $5 | 12.0¢ |
| UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | — | Khamzat Chimaev | $4 | 82.0¢ |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)? | — | Yes | $3 | 5.0¢ |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | — | Up | $1 | 41.0¢ |
- Yes$17 @ 29.0¢
- No$15 @ 8.6¢
- Yes$10 @ 4.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 21.9¢
- No$5 @ 22.0¢
- No$5 @ 12.0¢
- Khamzat Chimaev$4 @ 82.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 5.0¢
- Up$1 @ 41.0¢