0xf751…5f64

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xf751100d7c78504cfda32048eaa2a46bc9135f64
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+6.2pp

ROI

+44%

Win rate

17% @ 10.6¢

Brier

0.110

Resolved

155

Avg size

$19

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	21% (15/73)	+150%	73
Sports	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Politics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other73 bets
Hit rate
21% (15/73)
ROI
+150%
Sports2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

19% hit · 15/77

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$5	1.8¢	Lost
Will the US next strike Iran on February 11, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$1	0.7¢	Lost
Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$3	1.2¢	Lost
Will the US next strike Iran on February 6, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$1	1.2¢	Lost
Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$3	0.8¢	Lost
Will the US next strike Iran on March 17, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$2	0.7¢	Lost
Will the US next strike Iran on February 12, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$1	1.5¢	Lost
Will the US next strike Iran on March 20, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$2	1.7¢	Lost
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 12, 2026?	Yes	$19	37.0¢	Won
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	Yes	$100	76.0¢	Won
Will the US next strike Iran on March 16, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$2	0.6¢	Lost
Will the US next strike Iran on March 12, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$2	0.8¢	Lost
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$2	0.5¢	Lost
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$180	53.0¢	Won
Will the US next strike Iran on March 4, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$2	0.7¢	Lost
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$238	19.2¢	Won
Will the US next strike Iran on March 7, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$2	1.6¢	Lost
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$150	41.5¢	Won
Will the US next strike Iran on March 3, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$2	0.9¢	Lost
Will the US next strike Iran on March 5, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$2	0.7¢	Lost
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	$50	15.0¢	Lost
Will the US next strike Iran on February 25, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$3	0.9¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$100	39.0¢	Won
US strikes Iraq by February 28?	Yes	$6	5.9¢	Won
Will the US next strike Iran on February 13, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$1	1.6¢	Lost
Will the US next strike Iran on March 8, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$2	0.8¢	Lost
Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$3	0.9¢	Lost
Will the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$2	1.2¢	Lost
Will the US next strike Iran on March 23, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$2	0.7¢	Lost
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	$10	8.0¢	Won
Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$3	1.0¢	Lost
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?	No	$20	10.0¢	Lost
Will the US next strike Iran on March 2, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$2	1.0¢	Lost
Will the US next strike Iran on March 19, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$2	0.6¢	Lost
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	Yes	$184	10.3¢	Lost
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$3	1.4¢	Lost
Will the US next strike Iran on March 6, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$2	1.7¢	Lost
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 14, 2026?	Yes	$24	65.0¢	Won
Will the US next strike Iran on March 27, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$1	1.1¢	Lost
Will the US next strike Iran on March 10, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$2	0.7¢	Lost
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	Yes	$50	20.0¢	Won
Will the US next strike Iran on February 14, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$1	2.6¢	Lost
Will the US next strike Iran on February 9, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$1	0.7¢	Lost
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$3	1.9¢	Won
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	$70	65.3¢	Won
Will the US next strike Iran on March 25, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$1	0.6¢	Lost
Will the US next strike Iran on February 15, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	$1.2k	29.8¢	Lost
Will the US next strike Iran on March 18, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$2	0.7¢	Lost
Will the US next strike Iran on March 21, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$2	1.7¢	Lost

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.8¢
Will the US next strike Iran on February 11, 2026 (ET)?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.7¢
Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?Lost
Yes$3 @ 1.2¢
Will the US next strike Iran on February 6, 2026 (ET)?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.2¢
Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.8¢
Will the US next strike Iran on March 17, 2026 (ET)?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.7¢
Will the US next strike Iran on February 12, 2026 (ET)?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.5¢
Will the US next strike Iran on March 20, 2026 (ET)?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.7¢
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 12, 2026?Won
Yes$19 @ 37.0¢
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Won
Yes$100 @ 76.0¢
Will the US next strike Iran on March 16, 2026 (ET)?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.6¢
Will the US next strike Iran on March 12, 2026 (ET)?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.8¢
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.5¢
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Won
Yes$180 @ 53.0¢
Will the US next strike Iran on March 4, 2026 (ET)?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.7¢
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Won
Yes$238 @ 19.2¢
Will the US next strike Iran on March 7, 2026 (ET)?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.6¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?Won
Yes$150 @ 41.5¢
Will the US next strike Iran on March 3, 2026 (ET)?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.9¢
Will the US next strike Iran on March 5, 2026 (ET)?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.7¢
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Lost
Yes$50 @ 15.0¢
Will the US next strike Iran on February 25, 2026 (ET)?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.9¢
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Won
Yes$100 @ 39.0¢
US strikes Iraq by February 28?Won
Yes$6 @ 5.9¢
Will the US next strike Iran on February 13, 2026 (ET)?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.6¢
Will the US next strike Iran on March 8, 2026 (ET)?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.8¢
Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.9¢
Will the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.2¢
Will the US next strike Iran on March 23, 2026 (ET)?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.7¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Won
Yes$10 @ 8.0¢
Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?Lost
Yes$3 @ 1.0¢
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?Lost
No$20 @ 10.0¢
Will the US next strike Iran on March 2, 2026 (ET)?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.0¢
Will the US next strike Iran on March 19, 2026 (ET)?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.6¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Lost
Yes$184 @ 10.3¢
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?Lost
Yes$3 @ 1.4¢
Will the US next strike Iran on March 6, 2026 (ET)?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.7¢
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 14, 2026?Won
Yes$24 @ 65.0¢
Will the US next strike Iran on March 27, 2026 (ET)?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.1¢
Will the US next strike Iran on March 10, 2026 (ET)?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.7¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Won
Yes$50 @ 20.0¢
Will the US next strike Iran on February 14, 2026 (ET)?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.6¢
Will the US next strike Iran on February 9, 2026 (ET)?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.7¢
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?Won
Yes$3 @ 1.9¢
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?Won
Yes$70 @ 65.3¢
Will the US next strike Iran on March 25, 2026 (ET)?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.6¢
Will the US next strike Iran on February 15, 2026 (ET)?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Lost
Yes$1.2k @ 29.8¢
Will the US next strike Iran on March 18, 2026 (ET)?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.7¢
Will the US next strike Iran on March 21, 2026 (ET)?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.7¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?	Politics	Yes	$309	24.3¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$121	9.5¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?	Politics	Yes	$100	16.0¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	Yes	$100	34.0¢

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?Politics
Yes$309 @ 24.3¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics
Yes$121 @ 9.5¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?Politics
Yes$100 @ 16.0¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
Yes$100 @ 34.0¢