← Smart money
0xf67f…31cf
ProfitableEdge
-15.5pp
ROI
+15%
Win rate
61% @ 76.6¢
Brier
0.289
Resolved
90
Avg size
$1.2k
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 33% (2/6) | -62% | 6 |
| Politics | 100% (2/2) | +27% | 2 |
| Crypto | 100% (2/2) | +384% | 2 |
- Other6 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (2/6)
- ROI
- -62%
- Politics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +27%
- Crypto2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +384%
Track record
60% hit · 6/10| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over $25M committed to the RipCars public sale? | No | $280 | 14.0¢ | Lost |
| Over $250k committed to the Printr public sale? | Yes | $5 | 83.0¢ | Won |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? | No | $7.5k | 83.3¢ | Lost |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | No | $3.2k | 81.0¢ | Lost |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | No | $10.1k | 20.7¢ | Won |
| Will MEXC be accused of insider trading? | No | $15.0k | 83.3¢ | Won |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | $39.4k | 78.9¢ | Won |
| Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by April 30? | No | $14 | 52.0¢ | Won |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | No | $26.6k | 78.2¢ | Lost |
| Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale? | Yes | $2.7k | 83.0¢ | Won |
- No$280 @ 14.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 83.0¢
- No$7.5k @ 83.3¢
- No$3.2k @ 81.0¢
- No$10.1k @ 20.7¢
- No$15.0k @ 83.3¢
- No$39.4k @ 78.9¢
- No$14 @ 52.0¢
- No$26.6k @ 78.2¢
- Yes$2.7k @ 83.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Politics | Yes | $150.4k | 50.0¢ |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Politics | No | $150.4k | 50.0¢ |
- Yes$150.4k @ 50.0¢
- No$150.4k @ 50.0¢